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ALL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Allstate Corp (ALL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
216.160
1 Day change
1.07%
52 Week Range
219.480
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/16
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Given the investor's long-term strategy and beginner level, Allstate Corp (ALL) is not a strong buy at the moment. While the company has demonstrated strong financial performance in the latest quarter and has positive growth trends, the recent price decline, mixed analyst ratings, and neutral trading sentiment suggest that this is not an optimal entry point for a long-term investment. Holding off for now is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.877 but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 54.717. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 212.066. However, the recent price decline of -2.00% in the regular market suggests short-term weakness.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The put-call ratios indicate a slightly bearish sentiment in the options market, with more puts being traded relative to calls. Implied volatility is high at 27.7, with an IV percentile of 75.9, suggesting elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 2025 financial performance with revenue up 5.08% YoY and net income up 100.26% YoY.

  • Launch of free identity theft protection for 6.8 million customers, which could enhance customer loyalty and retention.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent price decline of -2.00% in the regular market.

  • Mixed analyst ratings, with some downgrades and concerns about premium growth and market positioning.

  • Zacks downgraded Allstate to 'hold' ahead of Q1 earnings.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Allstate reported strong financial growth: revenue increased by 5.08% YoY to $17.35 billion, net income surged by 100.26% YoY to $3.8 billion, and EPS grew by 103.26% YoY to 14.35.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. While firms like BofA and Mizuho maintain Buy/Outperform ratings with price targets as high as $297, others like Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Neutral due to concerns about market positioning and premium growth. The current average price target range varies from $208 to $297.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALL stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALL stock price to rise
9 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 216.160
sliders
Low
207
Averages
239.64
High
281
Current: 216.160
sliders
Low
207
Averages
239.64
High
281
BofA
Joshua Shanker
Buy
maintain
$279 -> $297
AI Analysis
2026-04-14
Reason
BofA
Joshua Shanker
Price Target
$279 -> $297
AI Analysis
2026-04-14
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst Joshua Shanker raised the firm's price target on Allstate to $297 from $279 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm adjusted price target among its U.S. insurance coverage to reflect Q4 events and changes to peer multiples.
Barclays
Alex Scott
Underweight
maintain
$207 -> $208
2026-04-08
Reason
Barclays
Alex Scott
Price Target
$207 -> $208
2026-04-08
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Barclays analyst Alex Scott raised the firm's price target on Allstate to $208 from $207 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the insurance group as part of a Q1 preview. Premium growth and broker organic growth "are likely to remain sluggish," the analyst tells investors in a research note. However, Barclays sees solid margins and strong capital deployment still contributing to reported book value growth in Q1.
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