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ALL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Allstate Corp (ALL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
207.500
1 Day change
-0.09%
52 Week Range
216.750
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Allstate Corp (ALL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the company has shown strong financial performance in the latest quarter, the recent downgrade by Goldman Sachs, concerns around market positioning, and the absence of strong trading signals suggest that waiting for clearer positive catalysts or a better entry point may be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The stock's technical indicators are mixed. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 52.629, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 203.822, and resistance is at 214.74. The stock is currently trading near its pivot point of 209.281, showing no strong directional momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data suggests a bullish sentiment with a low put-call volume ratio of 0.13, but the open interest put-call ratio of 0.85 indicates a more balanced outlook.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 2025 financial performance with revenue up 5.08% YoY, net income up 100.26% YoY, and EPS up 103.26% YoY.

  • Bullish moving averages indicating potential upward momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Neutral, citing concerns about market positioning, autonomous vehicle exposure, and premium growth.

  • Rising competition in the insurance sector, as evidenced by State Farm's premium reductions and dividend payouts.

  • Broader market sentiment is weak, with SP500 down 0.56%.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Allstate reported strong financial results: Revenue increased to $17.35 billion (up 5.08% YoY), net income increased to $3.8 billion (up 100.26% YoY), and EPS rose to 14.35 (up 103.26% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. Recent downgrades include Goldman Sachs lowering its rating to Neutral with a price target of $231, citing concerns about market positioning and fair valuation. However, other analysts like Keefe Bruyette and Mizuho maintain Outperform ratings with price targets of $260 and $281, respectively, reflecting optimism about Allstate's growth potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALL stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALL stock price to rise
9 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 207.690
sliders
Low
207
Averages
239.64
High
281
Current: 207.690
sliders
Low
207
Averages
239.64
High
281
Goldman Sachs
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
$238 -> $231
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$238 -> $231
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs downgraded Allstate to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $231, down from $238, implying a 10% total return opportunity. The firm has concerns around Allstate's market positioning due to its policy distribution and exposure to autonomous vehicles, affordability, and premium growth. In addition, the shares are screening more fairly valued on normalized earnings, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Keefe Bruyette
Meyer Shields
Outperform
maintain
$254 -> $260
2026-02-11
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Meyer Shields
Price Target
$254 -> $260
2026-02-11
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Meyer Shields raised the firm's price target on Allstate to $260 from $254 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
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