Based on the provided data and recent market events, here's the price analysis and prediction for ALL (Allstate Corporation) for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
- Current RSI (14) at 43.98 indicates neutral territory but slightly oversold
- MACD at -2.18 shows bearish momentum
- Price is currently below both SMA-20 (189.08) and SMA-60 (193.41), indicating short-term bearish trend
News Impact
- Major LA wildfires causing estimated damages between $250-275 billion
- Travelers Insurance has already warned of "material impact" on Q1 earnings
- Historical data shows insurance stocks tend to recover within 3 months after major disasters
Price Targets for Next Week
Using Fibonacci levels:
- Resistance 1: $191.83
- Resistance 2: $195.81
- Support 1: $178.96
- Support 2: $174.98
Price Prediction & Trading Strategy
Monday-Tuesday: Expect initial downward pressure to $182-184 range due to wildfire concerns
Wednesday-Friday: Likely recovery towards $188-190 as market prices in the disaster impact
Trading recommendation: SELL
Entry: Current price ($186.52)
Target exit: $182.00
Stop loss: $191.83
Rationale:
- Immediate pressure from wildfire claims will likely push stock lower
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Historical precedent suggests temporary weakness before recovery
- Q1 earnings will be materially impacted as confirmed by peer companies
Based on the provided data and recent market events, here's the price analysis and prediction for ALL (Allstate Corporation) for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
- Current RSI (14) at 43.98 indicates neutral territory but slightly oversold
- MACD at -2.18 shows bearish momentum
- Price is currently below both SMA-20 (189.08) and SMA-60 (193.41), indicating short-term bearish trend
News Impact
- Major LA wildfires causing estimated damages between $250-275 billion
- Travelers Insurance has already warned of "material impact" on Q1 earnings
- Historical data shows insurance stocks tend to recover within 3 months after major disasters
Price Targets for Next Week
Using Fibonacci levels:
- Resistance 1: $191.83
- Resistance 2: $195.81
- Support 1: $178.96
- Support 2: $174.98
Price Prediction & Trading Strategy
Monday-Tuesday: Expect initial downward pressure to $182-184 range due to wildfire concerns
Wednesday-Friday: Likely recovery towards $188-190 as market prices in the disaster impact
Trading recommendation: SELL
Entry: Current price ($186.52)
Target exit: $182.00
Stop loss: $191.83
Rationale:
- Immediate pressure from wildfire claims will likely push stock lower
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Historical precedent suggests temporary weakness before recovery
- Q1 earnings will be materially impacted as confirmed by peer companies