ALAR Valuation

Alarum Technologies Ltd

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14.390

+0.7(5.113%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ALAR Relative Valuation

ALAR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ALAR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 2.20 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 6.79. The fair price of Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) is between 6.26 to 21.68 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.26-21.68

Current Price：13.69

Fair

18.25

Trailing

Forward

14.88

EV/EBITDA

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 14.88. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -11.11, Undervalued between -11.11 and -3.22, Fairly Valued between 12.56 and -3.22, Overvalued between 12.56 and 20.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.45. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 14.88 falls within the Overvalued range.

17.28

EV/EBIT

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) has a current EV/EBIT of 17.28. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 6.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -16.07, Undervalued between -16.07 and -4.79, Fairly Valued between 17.79 and -4.79, Overvalued between 17.79 and 29.07, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.07. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 17.28 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.05

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) has a current PS of 2.05. The 5-year average PS is 2.10. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.00, Undervalued between -1.00 and 0.55, Fairly Valued between 3.65 and 0.55, Overvalued between 3.65 and 5.19, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.19. The current Forward PS of 2.05 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.22. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -22.21, Undervalued between -22.21 and -9.50, Fairly Valued between 15.93 and -9.50, Overvalued between 15.93 and 28.65, and Strongly Overvalued above 28.65. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

17.09

P/FCF

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) has a current P/FCF of 17.09. The 5-year average P/FCF is 9.89. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -32.21, Undervalued between -32.21 and -11.16, Fairly Valued between 30.93 and -11.16, Overvalued between 30.93 and 51.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 51.98. The current Forward P/FCF of 17.09 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 32.99. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 8.31 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 297.01% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 5.43, the current P/B ratio is about 507.17% higher. Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 2.58%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -11.56%, the current FCF yield is approximately -122.34% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -13.46% , the current FCF yield is about -119.20% lower.

32.99

P/B

Median3y

8.31

Median5y

5.43

2.77

FCF Yield

Median3y

-11.56

Median5y

-13.46

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ALAR's competitors is 2.39, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Alarum Technologies Ltd Corp (ALAR) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.05, which is -14.19% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -14.84%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ALAR.O

Alarum Technologies Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ALAR increased by 28.67% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 96.54 to 202.95.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -14.84%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ALAR in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-14.84%

8.38M → 7.13M

Revenue Growth

-66.72%

17.19 → 5.72

Margin Expansion

110.23%

96.54 → 202.95

P/E Change

28.67%