Should I Buy ALAR? ALAR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

7.610

1 Day change

-3.43%

52 Week Range

18.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who doesn’t want to wait for a cleaner entry. Despite strong YoY revenue growth and a bullish analyst view, the stock is in a clear downtrend with weakening momentum and sharply deteriorated profitability (near-breakeven). With price sitting right on key support (~7.66) and no proprietary buy signals today, the risk of near-term downside is too high to justify buying immediately.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: - Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating a sustained downtrend. - MACD histogram is negative (-0.128) and expanding downward, suggesting bearish momentum is strengthening. - RSI_6 is ~20.45 (oversold/very weak). While this can precede bounces, it more importantly confirms strong selling pressure right now. Key Levels: - Support: S1 ~7.655 (price 7.69 is hovering just above it). A break below can open downside toward S2 ~6.982. - Resistance: Pivot ~8.743, then R1 ~9.832. Quant/Pattern-based short-horizon trend (similar candlestick patterns): - Indicates a weak bias: next week expected move -3.73% (probability-weighted). **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

- Very strong top-line growth in 2025/Q3 (revenue +80.86% YoY), indicating demand traction.
- Analyst (Canaccord) reiterated Buy with a $27 target, citing a “landmark quarter” and validation of the AI data-collection pivot.
- Upcoming earnings date (2026-02-25 pre-market) could act as a catalyst if margins/profits rebound and guidance is strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No recent news flow in the last week to shift sentiment or provide a near-term upside catalyst.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: $13.01M, up +80.86% YoY (strong growth). - Net income: $0.053M, down -98.75% YoY (profit collapse). - EPS: ~0, down -100% YoY. - Gross margin: 55.59%, down -22.58% YoY (margin compression). Takeaway: Growth is strong, but the quarter shows a major profitability/margin setback. For a beginner long-term investor buying “right now,” this mismatch (strong sales, weak earnings quality) combined with a falling chart is unfavorable.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst trend: - 2025-11-28: Canaccord reiterated Buy; raised/maintained a $27 price target after Q3, calling it a “landmark quarter” and a buying opportunity post-selloff. Wall Street pro view (pros/cons): - Pros: Belief that the AI data-collection pivot is working and demand is ramping; very large implied upside vs the current ~$7.69 price. - Cons: The market is currently voting against the story via price action; Q3 profitability and margins weakened sharply, which can keep valuation pressure on the stock until evidence of sustainable earnings returns. Influential/political trading check: - No recent congress trading data available. - Insider activity: Neutral (no significant recent trend). Hedge funds: Neutral.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ALAR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALAR is 23.5 USD with a low forecast of 20 USD and a high forecast of 27 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 7.880

Low

Averages

23.5

High

Current: 7.880

Low

Averages

23.5

High

Canaccord

Buy

maintain

$27

AI Analysis

2025-11-28

Reason

Canaccord

Price Target

$27

AI Analysis

2025-11-28

maintain

Buy

Reason

Canaccord reiterates a Buy rating on Alarum with a $27 price target following the Q3 report. The firm views the print as a "landmark quarter," saying Alarum's strategic pivot toward the artificial intelligence data collection is now yielding "record" sales growth and validates the company's new product portfolio. Canaccord sees a buying opportunity on the post-earnings selloff. Alarum is "sitting at a critical intersection within AI data pipelines with rapidly ramping customer demand," it contends.

Canaccord

Kingsley Crane

Buy

maintain

$22 -> $27

2025-08-29

Reason

Canaccord

Kingsley Crane

Price Target

$22 -> $27

2025-08-29

maintain

Buy

Reason

Canaccord analyst Kingsley Crane raised the firm's price target on Alarum to $27 from $22 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted Alarum reported Q2 results within the guided ranges as the company continues to invest in expanding its network capacity as well as hire key developer talent. Perhaps more important than the Q2 results was the Q3 guidance implying 78% yoy growth and overall constructive commentary on large AI-driven customer engagements.

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ALAR Should I Buy

ALAR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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