AJG Should I Buy

AJG is **not a good buy right now** for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is in a clear technical downtrend heading into **QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-01-29 (after hours)**, options flow is short-term bearish (put-heavy volume), and both **hedge funds, insiders, and Congress have been net sellers** recently. While AJG is a high-quality insurance broker with strong revenue growth and some bullish Wall Street price targets, the near-term setup tilts against buying today.

Price/Trend: Pre-market ~$243.51, sitting just above key support **S1 ~240.81** (next support **S2 ~234.17**) and below pivot **~251.57**, indicating the stock is trading in a weak zone. Momentum: **MACD histogram -1.615 and negatively expanding** = bearish momentum strengthening. RSI: **RSI(6) ~24.26** = deeply oversold (can bounce), but oversold in a downtrend is not a reliable long-term entry trigger by itself. Moving Averages: **SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5** = bearish alignment, confirming a persistent downtrend. Levels to watch: A recovery needs to reclaim **~251.6 (pivot)**; upside resistances sit near **~262.3 (R1)** and **~269.0 (R2)**. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently. Pattern-based short-horizon odds: Similar-pattern study suggests slight downside near-term (next day/week) with modest 1-month upside, which is not strong enough to override the current bearish trend + earnings risk.