AJG Should I Buy
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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The stock is currently in a bearish trend with weak technical indicators, declining financial performance, and negative sentiment from both hedge funds and insiders. Additionally, Congress members have been selling the stock, and analysts have been lowering their price targets. While the options data shows a balanced sentiment, there are no strong positive catalysts to support a buy decision.
The stock is in a bearish trend with MACD histogram at -4.826 (negatively expanding), RSI at 9.643 (oversold), and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The current price is near the key support level of 204.226, but the overall trend remains negative.
NULL identified. No recent news or events suggest a positive catalyst for the stock.
Hedge funds and insiders are selling the stock significantly. Hedge fund selling increased by 5037.71%, and insider selling rose by 238.64% over the last month.
Congress members have made 4 sale transactions in the last 90 days, with no purchases.
Analysts have been lowering price targets and ratings, citing valuation compression, organic growth headwinds, and margin pressures.
The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant decline in net income (-41.54% YoY), EPS (-48.21% YoY), and gross margin (-23.06% YoY).
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 33.58% YoY to $3.63 billion. However, net income dropped by 41.54% YoY to $151 million, EPS fell by 48.21% YoY to $0.58, and gross margin declined by 23.06% YoY to 29.13%. This indicates that while the company is growing its top line, profitability is under significant pressure.
Analysts have been lowering price targets and ratings on AJG. Recent changes include UBS lowering the target to $283, Citi raising it slightly to $280, and multiple firms like Truist, Keefe Bruyette, and Piper Sandler lowering targets significantly. The consensus sentiment is neutral to bearish, with concerns about valuation compression, organic growth headwinds, and margin pressures.
