Should I Buy Arthur J Gallagher & Co Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AJG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
AJG stock price ended at $338.04 on Friday, after rising 0.76%
The Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock price increased by 0.76% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 336.27 to 338.04. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.78% , ranging from a day low of $333.47 to a day high of 339.41. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.04% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 87.77K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 859.46K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 290.48M.
AJG Technical Signals
AJG(Arthur J Gallagher & Co Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-19. The total price change during this trend is -1.68%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of AJG over the last 5 trading days is 272.29M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
AJG Moving Average Analysis
Arthur J Gallagher & Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $347.5113133333333, and $354.8113333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $323.8913533333333, and $316.5913333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
AJG Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Arthur J Gallagher & Co(AJG) as of 16 May 2025 is 18.99%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 338.28 to 342.24. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
9.26
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
2.448
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.14
Bearish
AJG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Arthur J Gallagher & Co(AJG), our algorithm predicts AJG's 1-month price at $336.42, with an -1.7%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.14%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -1.7% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HUM.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.14%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
AJG
No Data
HUM
Down: -1.7%Similarity: 90.14%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
HUM.N
90.14%
-1.70%
AJG Seasonality Analysis
Based on AJG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AJG. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while December has the lowest probability (40.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Arthur J Gallagher & Co. (AJG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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