Should I Buy AIN? AIN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Albany International Corp (AIN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

56.070

1 Day change

0.92%

52 Week Range

83.650

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

AIN is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who wants to act immediately. The stock’s technicals lean bearish, options positioning is defensive (heavy put open interest), and the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) showed sharp deterioration (revenue down, large loss, negative gross margin). With analysts broadly Neutral/Hold and reduced targets, the risk/reward is unfavorable today—avoid new buys (and if already owned, consider exiting/reducing).

Technical Analysis

Pre-market price is 56.57, sitting below the pivot (57.598) and just above S1 support (56.299), which signals weak near-term structure. MACD histogram is -0.103 and negatively expanding (bearish momentum building). RSI(6) at ~45.5 is neutral but slightly weak—no oversold bounce signal. Moving averages are converging (no clear uptrend), and pattern-based forecast suggests downside probabilities: ~80% chance of -1.23% next day, -2.09% next week, and -7.2% next month. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest is put-heavy (put OI 130 vs call OI 36; OI put/call 3.61), which typically reflects defensive positioning/bearish sentiment or hedging demand. Near-term trading activity is extremely light (total volume 2; put volume 0), so the signal comes more from positioning than active flow. Implied volatility is very elevated (30D IV 92.6; IV percentile 96.8) versus historical volatility (51.35), suggesting the options market is pricing significant uncertainty/risk around upcoming events (notably earnings).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Next earnings: QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-16 after hours (EPS est. 0.64). A clean beat and improved commentary could re-rate sentiment.
- If the strategic review of Albany Engineered Composites leads to a value-unlocking outcome (e.g., divestiture/streamlining), that could become a catalyst.
- Internal efficiency initiatives in Machine Clothing could improve margins if execution is strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

showed major deterioration: revenue -12.38% YoY, net income deeply negative, EPS -3.37, and gross margin negative—this is a fundamental red flag.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. Growth trends were sharply negative: Revenue fell to 261.434M (-12.38% YoY). Profitability worsened materially: Net Income dropped to -97.76M (down -642.24% YoY) and EPS to -3.37 (down -691.23% YoY). Gross margin was -19.1, indicating severe margin pressure and/or significant charges. Overall, the quarter reflects deteriorating fundamentals rather than a stable long-term compounding profile.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent Street stance is cautious and trending down on targets: - 2026-01-16 JPMorgan: Neutral; target raised slightly to $47 (still below the current pre-market price ~56.6). - 2025-11-08 Truist: Hold; target cut to $50 from $55 after a broad miss and guidance pulled. - 2025-11-07 Baird: Neutral; target cut to $64 from $79 after Q3 results. Wall Street pros: potential value from strategic actions in AEC and any margin recovery in Machine Clothing. Cons: weak/uncertain fundamentals, lack of clear uptrend, and targets/rating tone that do not strongly support buying at current levels. Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported as Neutral with no significant recent trends.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AIN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AIN is 54.75 USD with a low forecast of 45 USD and a high forecast of 64 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

3 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 55.560

Low

Averages

54.75

High

Current: 55.560

Low

Averages

54.75

High

JPMorgan

Neutral

maintain

$45 -> $47

AI Analysis

2026-01-16

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$45 -> $47

AI Analysis

2026-01-16

maintain

Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Albany International to $47 from $45 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the electrical equipment and multi-industry group as part of its Q4 earnings preview. JPMorgan is more positive on "growth related names into and out of the quarter."

Truist

Michael Ciarmoli

Hold

downgrade

$55 -> $50

2025-11-08

Reason

Truist

Michael Ciarmoli

Price Target

$55 -> $50

2025-11-08

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Truist analyst Michael Ciarmoli lowered the firm's price target on Albany International to $50 from $55 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company's quarterly results missed all around while guidance was pulled due to uncertainty around the strategic review of the Albany Engineered Composites segment structures business and MC - Machine Clothing - faced headwinds from Asian end-markets as the segment continues work to return margins to historical levels through internal efficiency initiatives, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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AIN Should I Buy

AIN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Albany International Corp (AIN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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