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AHCO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Adapthealth Corp (AHCO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.860
1 Day change
-0.34%
52 Week Range
12.020
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Adapthealth Corp (AHCO) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus at this time. The company's financial performance has significantly deteriorated, and recent analyst ratings have shown lowered price targets. While there is some insider and hedge fund buying activity, the lack of positive news, weak financials, and mixed technical indicators suggest holding off on investment for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.18), indicating bullish momentum. The RSI (75.869) is in the neutral zone but nearing overbought levels. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at 11.48 and 11.938, while support levels are at 9.998 and 9.54. However, the stock's price has been relatively stagnant with minor fluctuations.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Insiders and hedge funds are significantly increasing their buying activity, with insider buying up 20,850.77% and hedge fund buying up 1,321.21% in recent periods. The stock has a 70% chance to increase by 5.55% in the next week based on historical patterns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • There is no recent news or event-driven catalyst to support a bullish case.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $846.29M (-1.21% YoY), net income fell to -$100.08M (-317.56% YoY), EPS dropped to -$0.74 (-317.65% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 19.17% (-45.68% YoY). These figures indicate a significant decline in the company's financial health.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Deutsche Bank and Canaccord both lowered their price targets recently. Deutsche Bank reduced it to $9.50 with a Hold rating, while Canaccord lowered it to $14 but maintained a Buy rating. Analysts cited operational improvements but highlighted challenges related to debt settlements and forward investment decisions.

Wall Street analysts forecast AHCO stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AHCO stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.900
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Current: 11.900
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Deutsche Bank
Hold
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-02-25
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-02-25
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Deutsche Bank lowered the firm's price target on AdaptHealth to $9.50 from $10.50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares.
Canaccord
Buy
downgrade
$15 -> $14
2026-02-25
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$15 -> $14
2026-02-25
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on AdaptHealth to $14 from $15 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said Adapt closed the year with much accomplished in 2025 from operational improvements, free cash flow generation, and the addition of the largest capitation contract in DME industry history. Unfortunately, the company's decision to pull investment forward to begin to ramp this capitated contract (ahead of previous expectations), plus a debt collection legal settlement in North Carolina, led to a shortfall in adj-EBITDA versus guidance and estimates.
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