Should I Buy Adecoagro SA Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AGRO has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
AGRO stock price ended at $9.12 on Tuesday, after rising 2.93%
The Adecoagro SA stock price increased by 2.93% on the last trading day (05 Aug 2025), rising from 8.9 to 9.12. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.15% , ranging from a day low of $8.88 to a day high of 9.16. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -3.70% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 50.67K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 425.05K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.85M.
AGRO Technical Signals
AGRO(Adecoagro SA Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-18. The total price change during this trend is -4.00%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of AGRO over the last 5 trading days is 3.82M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
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AGRO Moving Average Analysis
Adecoagro SA's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Wednesday, August 6, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $9.77, and $10.11. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $8.69, and $8.36. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
AGRO Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Adecoagro SA(AGRO) as of 04 Aug 2025 is 10.53%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 8.81 to 8.86. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
13.475
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-107.506
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
19.571
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.229
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.35
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0785
Bearish
AGRO Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Adecoagro SA (AGRO) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $7.30 and $12.86.
Adecoagro SA Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 32.99%
In Jan 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $12.02. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.16 and a high of $12.86.
Feb 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 26.41%
In Feb 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.43. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.80 and a high of $11.99.
Mar 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -1.35%
In Mar 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.76 and a high of $10.96.
Apr 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -0.55%
In Apr 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.99. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.30 and a high of $9.50.
May 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 32.99%
In May 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $12.02. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $11.97 and a high of $12.08.
Jun 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.62%
In Jun 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.73. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.10 and a high of $10.11.
Jul 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.78%
In Jul 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.49 and a high of $11.44.
Aug 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.88%
In Aug 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.29. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.52 and a high of $11.48.
Sep 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.68%
In Sep 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.01. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.41 and a high of $10.90.
Oct 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.54%
In Oct 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.90. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.63 and a high of $10.31.
Nov 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 15.89%
In Nov 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.48. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.62 and a high of $12.08.
Dec 2026: AGRO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 16.85%
In Dec 2026, Adecoagro SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.56. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.50 and a high of $12.07.
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AGRO Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Adecoagro SA(AGRO), our algorithm predicts AGRO's 1-month price at $9.03, with an -4.57%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.55%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Adecoagro SA (AGRO.N) stock, as of Sunday, July 27, 2025 , forecasts a -4.57% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with GD.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.55%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
AGRO
No Data
GD
Down: -4.57%Similarity: 90.55%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
GD.N
90.55%
-4.57%
AGRO Seasonality Analysis
Based on AGRO's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in August is42.86%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in AGRO. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at58.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Adecoagro SA (AGRO.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (58.33%), while June has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Adecoagro SA. (AGRO)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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