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AGO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
81.200
1 Day change
-1.01%
52 Week Range
92.390
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/19
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Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, hedge fund buying activity, and oversold technical indicators suggest a potential upside. While the stock lacks immediate trading signals, its fundamentals and long-term growth prospects make it an attractive investment.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 18.285, indicating a potential rebound. The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, suggesting bearish momentum in the short term. The current price of $82.03 is near the support level of $81.487, which could act as a floor for the price. Moving averages are converging, indicating a potential trend reversal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
12
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with buying activity up 252.43% over the last quarter.

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed exceptional growth, with revenue up 73.28% YoY and net income up 457.14% YoY.

  • Analysts maintain an Outperform rating, with a price target of $103, indicating a potential upside of 25.5%.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The MACD indicates bearish momentum in the short term.

  • The stock has a historical trend of slight declines over the next day (-0.09%) and week (-0.16%), with a more significant potential drop of -5.16% in the next month.

  • No recent insider or congress trading activity to provide additional confidence.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Assured Guaranty Ltd reported a revenue increase of 73.28% YoY to $227 million. Net income surged by 457.14% YoY to $117 million, and EPS rose by 512.20% YoY to 2.51. These figures highlight strong growth and profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette analyst Tommy McJoynt recently lowered the price target from $108 to $103 but maintained an Outperform rating. The updated target still reflects a significant upside potential of 25.5% from the current price.

Wall Street analysts forecast AGO stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AGO stock price to rise
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 82.030
sliders
Low
94
Averages
104
High
110
Current: 82.030
sliders
Low
94
Averages
104
High
110
Keefe Bruyette
Tommy McJoynt
Outperform -> Outperform
downgrade
$108 -> $103
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
New
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Tommy McJoynt
Price Target
$108 -> $103
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
New
downgrade
Outperform -> Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Tommy McJoynt lowered the firm's price target on Assured Guaranty to $103 from $108 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its estimates following the Q4 earnings report.
Keefe Bruyette
Tommy McJoynt
Outperform
maintain
$105 -> $108
2025-11-19
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Tommy McJoynt
Price Target
$105 -> $108
2025-11-19
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Tommy McJoynt raised the firm's price target on Assured Guaranty to $108 from $105 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Keefe remains confident in the company's $500M annual repurchase goal, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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