AGO Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, AGO remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 205.83M and an EPS of 1.68.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -9.58%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.42%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -6.05% . These revisions correlate with a 11.79% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in AGO long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-9.58%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-1.42%
In Past 3 Month
Unlock the reason behind revisions!
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-6.05%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
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+11.79%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AGO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AGO sees a -2.00% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.81% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.22%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 6.52% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 7.96% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of AGO's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
AGO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 207.00M against an estimate of 196.76M, resulting in a 5.21% surprise. The EPS was 2.57, surpassing the expected 1.46 by 76.03% . The stock experienced a 6.52% price change on the earnings day and a 7.36% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did AGO's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following AGO's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by 6.52% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 7.36% change. Historically, AGO's stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.00% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.81% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AGO for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AGO’s annual revenue to reach 205.83M, while the EPS is projected at 1.68. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -9.58% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -6.05% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does AGO's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between AGO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -9.58%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -6.05% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from AGO's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, AGO's stock price typically moves by -2.00% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.81% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.68 and revenue of 205.83M.
What is the sentiment in Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, record high metrics, and a robust share repurchase program, suggesting positive sentiment. The Q&A section reveals confidence in managing risks and exploring new opportunities, with analysts generally satisfied despite some unclear responses. Adjustments for potential risks are minor compared to the positive financial indicators. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive reaction in the 2% to 8% range.