The chart below shows how TIGO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TIGO sees a -8.57% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.02% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +6.31%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Record Equity Free Cash Flow: 1. Record Equity Free Cash Flow: Millicom achieved a record equity free cash flow of $271 million in Q3 2024, more than doubling from $100 million in Q3 2023.
Customer Growth Surge: 2. Strong Customer Growth: The company reported nearly 300,000 postpaid net additions and almost 70,000 home net additions, marking the strongest customer growth since 2021.
EBITDA Increase Despite Costs: 3. EBITDA Growth: EBITDA increased by 9.8% year-on-year to $585 million, despite $73 million in restructuring costs, demonstrating operational efficiency.
B2B Service Revenue Growth: 4. B2B Revenue Growth: The B2B segment saw a 5% organic growth in service revenue, with digital solutions growing by 27% in Q3 2024.
Leverage Ratio Improvement: 5. Improved Leverage Ratio: The company's leverage ratio improved to 2.59 times, down from 2.77 in the previous quarter, reflecting effective debt management.
Negative
Rising One-off Charges: 1. Increased One-off Costs: The company incurred $73 million in restructuring and other one-off charges in Q3 2024, significantly higher than the $33 million in Q3 2023, impacting overall profitability.
Home Service Revenue Decline: 2. Declining Home Service Revenue: The Home business in Colombia experienced a double-digit decline in service revenue, indicating ongoing challenges in this segment despite some customer growth.
Guatemala Market Challenges: 3. Competitive Pressure in Guatemala: Increased competition in Guatemala has led to pressure on ARPU and customer growth, with a reported negative gross add of 90,000 in the quarter, highlighting market challenges.
Cash Flow Guidance Reduction: 4. Lowered Full-Year Cash Flow Guidance: The company adjusted its full-year equity free cash flow guidance down to around $650 million, citing expected pressures from increased cash CapEx and reduced working capital tailwinds in Q4.
Paraguay Service Revenue Stagnation: 5. Weak Performance in Paraguay: Service revenue in Paraguay increased only 1.1% year-on-year, with low single-digit declines in mobile, indicating stagnation in growth in this market.
Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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