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AGL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy agilon health inc (AGL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
0.580
1 Day change
-3.00%
52 Week Range
6.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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Agilon Health Inc (AGL) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock is facing significant negative sentiment due to ongoing legal investigations, declining price trends, and weak financial performance. Additionally, there are no strong technical or proprietary trading signals to support a buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.039 and expanding, indicating slight bullish momentum. However, RSI at 66.673 is neutral, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 0.684), with a high probability of further downside (-5.31% in the next week).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The extremely low put-call ratios indicate a lack of significant bearish sentiment in the options market, but the overall volume is very low, suggesting limited interest in the stock.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds and insiders are increasing their holdings significantly, with hedge fund buying up 1326.49% and insider buying up 490.98% over recent periods. Additionally, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services' new LEAD model is seen as a positive for value-based care providers like Agilon Health.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Multiple class action lawsuits and investigations into alleged financial misrepresentation are creating significant negative sentiment. Recent price target downgrades from analysts and a Q4 earnings miss further weigh on the stock. The stock's price is down significantly in pre-market, regular market, and post-market trading.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 3.09% YoY to $1.57 billion. However, the company reported a net loss of $188.88 million, though this was an improvement of 78.54% YoY. EPS improved to -0.46, up 76.92% YoY, and gross margin improved significantly to -5.02%. Despite these improvements, the company remains unprofitable.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are negative. Citi lowered the price target to 75c from 85c with a Neutral rating, and Barclays reduced the target to 50c from $1 with an Underweight rating. Analysts acknowledge some positive long-term potential but remain cautious due to near-term challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast AGL stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AGL stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.600
sliders
Low
0.88
Averages
0.88
High
0.88
Current: 0.600
sliders
Low
0.88
Averages
0.88
High
0.88
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Citi
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Agilon Health to 75c from 85c and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Barclays
Andrew Mok
Underweight
downgrade
$1
2026-02-27
Reason
Barclays
Andrew Mok
Price Target
$1
2026-02-27
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
Barclays analyst Andrew Mok lowered the firm's price target on Agilon Health to 50c from $1 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The company reported a Q4 miss but guided 2026 above consensus.
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