AGI Valuation

Alamos Gold Inc

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31.140

-0.23(-0.733%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AGI Relative Valuation

AGI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AGI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 16.52 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 20.16. The fair price of Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) is between 30.98 to 44.70 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

30.98-44.70

Current Price：31.37

Fair

16.40

Trailing

Forward

9.90

EV/EBITDA

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.90. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.83, Undervalued between 4.83 and 6.35, Fairly Valued between 9.39 and 6.35, Overvalued between 9.39 and 10.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.91. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.90 falls within the Overvalued range.

11.35

EV/EBIT

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.35. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.74, Undervalued between 5.74 and 9.26, Fairly Valued between 16.30 and 9.26, Overvalued between 16.30 and 19.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.82. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.52

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) has a current PS of 6.52. The 5-year average PS is 4.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.42, Undervalued between 2.42 and 3.41, Fairly Valued between 5.38 and 3.41, Overvalued between 5.38 and 6.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.36. The current Forward PS of 6.52 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

12.30

P/OCF

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) has a current P/OCF of 12.30. The 5-year average P/OCF is 9.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.09, Undervalued between 6.09 and 7.83, Fairly Valued between 11.31 and 7.83, Overvalued between 11.31 and 13.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.05. The current Forward P/OCF of 12.30 falls within the Overvalued range.

28.09

P/FCF

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) has a current P/FCF of 28.09. The 5-year average P/FCF is 79.45. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -634.03, Undervalued between -634.03 and -277.29, Fairly Valued between 436.20 and -277.29, Overvalued between 436.20 and 792.94, and Strongly Overvalued above 792.94. The current Forward P/FCF of 28.09 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 3.51. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.11 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 66.68% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.72, the current P/B ratio is about 104.61% higher. Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.18%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 1.48%, the current FCF yield is approximately -20.19% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.32% , the current FCF yield is about -10.49% lower.

3.49

P/B

Median3y

2.11

Median5y

1.72

1.19

FCF Yield

Median3y

1.48

Median5y

1.32

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AGI's competitors is 5.60, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Alamos Gold Inc Corp (AGI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 6.56, which is 17.14% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 31.75%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA

Pan American Silver Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AGI increased by 57.53% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 21.08 to 36.38.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 31.75%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AGI in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

31.75%

332.60M → 438.20M

Revenue Growth

72.58%

21.08 → 36.38

Margin Expansion

-46.80%

71.67 → 38.13

P/E Change

57.53%