AGI Earnings

AGI reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 462.00M against an estimate of 491.00M, resulting in a -5.86% surprise. The EPS was 0.37, surpassing the expected 0.37 by 0% . The stock experienced a -2.6% price change on the earnings day and a -5.84% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following AGI's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -2.60% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -5.84% change. Historically, AGI's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.23% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.26% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q3, analysts estimate AGI’s annual revenue to reach 491.00M, while the EPS is projected at 1.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.35% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.23% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between AGI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.35%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.23% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, AGI's stock price typically moves by +2.23% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.26% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q3 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.00 and revenue of 491.00M.

The earnings call highlights record-high revenue and operating cash flow, strong free cash flow, and increased cash balance. Despite a cost guidance revision, the company expects costs to decline. The Q&A section addressed potential risks like seismic activity and capacitor failure, with management providing mitigation measures. The expansion projects and production increases across operations support optimistic guidance. However, the delay in the Island Gold expansion study and Lynn Lake development may raise concerns. Overall, the strong financial performance and optimistic outlook suggest a positive stock price movement.