Quarterly Results
AFRM Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, AFRM remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q2 project quarter revenue of 1.06B and an EPS of 0.85.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 2.38%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 14.43%. For the upcoming Q2 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.65% . These revisions correlate with a 5.60% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in AFRM long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AFRM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AFRM sees a -7.08% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +11.66% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.23%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 11.61% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -5.18% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of AFRM's latest earnings report for FY2026Q1?
AFRM reported its FY2026Q1 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 933.34M against an estimate of 880.65M, resulting in a 5.98% surprise. The EPS was 0.23, surpassing the expected 0.11 by 109.09% . The stock experienced a 11.61% price change on the earnings day and a 19.69% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did AFRM's stock price react after the FY2026Q1 earnings release?
Following AFRM's FY2026Q1 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by 11.61% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 19.69% change. Historically, AFRM's stock price tends to shift by an average of -7.08% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +11.66% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AFRM for 2026/Q2?
For 2026/Q2, analysts estimate AFRM’s annual revenue to reach 1.06B, while the EPS is projected at 0.85. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.38% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.65% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does AFRM's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between AFRM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Upward by 2.38%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.65% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from AFRM's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, AFRM's stock price typically moves by -7.08% in the 10 days before its earnings and +11.66% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.85 and revenue of 1.06B.
What is the sentiment in Affirm Holdings Inc (AFRM) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call summary and Q&A session indicate positive sentiment due to growth acceleration, strategic partnerships with Amazon and Shopify, and improved operating margins. The extension of the Amazon agreement and focus on 0% APR promotions are favorable. However, management's reluctance to provide specific guidance on expenses and GMV growth by product type introduces some uncertainty. Overall, strong growth drivers and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement.
