NI Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how NI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NI sees a -2.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.22%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
NI Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.59B
11.66%
47.52%
Gross Margin
58.77%
0.72%
-1.31%
Operating Margin
26.57%
3.22%
31.27%
Net Margin
15.39%
14.00%
70.81%
EPS
0.48
-4.00%
152.63%
No Data Available
NI Earnings Analysis
NiSource Inc Corporation (NI.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Adjusted EPS Growth: NiSource achieved an adjusted EPS of $1.75 per share for 2024, exceeding the top end of the guidance range and representing a 9.4% year-over-year increase from 2023.
Adjusted EPS Guidance Increase: The company raised its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $1.85 to $1.89 per share, reflecting a consistent annual growth outlook of 6% to 8%.
Capital Plan and Growth: NiSource's five-year base capital plan is set at $19.4 billion, driving an expected rate base growth of 8% to 10% from 2025 to 2029, which supports continued earnings growth.
Incremental Revenue Growth: In 2024, NiSource reported $367 million in incremental revenue driven by capital investments, demonstrating effective capital deployment and operational efficiency.
Dividend Increase Announcement: The company increased its annualized dividend target from $1.06 to $1.12 per share, marking a continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders and maintaining a payout ratio at the low end of its guidance.
Negative
Q4 2024 Adjusted EPS Decline: Adjusted EPS for Q4 2024 was $0.01 per share, a decline from the previous year, primarily due to increased non-controlling interest and depreciation costs.
Customer Base Stagnation: Customer growth is projected to be only 0% to 1.5% annually, indicating stagnation in expanding the customer base.
Operating Expenses Impact: Operating expenses increased significantly, contributing to a $367 million reduction in net revenue despite incremental investments.
Weather-Related Financial Impact: The company faced a $100 million impact from unfavorable weather conditions, which negatively affected financial performance compared to normal weather patterns.
Regulatory Approval Delays Revenue: The regulatory approval process for the NIPSCO GENCO entity is expected to take until Q3 2025, delaying potential revenue generation from new customer contracts.
NI FAQs
How does NI typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is NiSource Inc (NI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
NI Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: NiSource Q4 2024 sees revenue beat, stock rises
NI.N
0.25%Positive
The earnings call summary shows mixed signals: strong adjusted EPS growth and increased dividends are positive, but lack of clarity in management's responses during the Q&A and potential risks related to capital expenditures and economic factors balance these positives. The reaffirmed guidance and shareholder return plan are promising, yet the cautious economic outlook and operational risks temper expectations. Without market cap information, a neutral sentiment is appropriate as the stock may not exhibit strong movements.
