The chart below shows how FIX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FIX sees a +1.24% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +10.79% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.19%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Per Share Surge: Record annual and fourth quarter earnings reported, with a 60% increase in earnings per share to $4.09 compared to last year.
Quarterly Revenue Surge: Fourth quarter same store revenue growth of 22%, with full year revenue increasing by 35% to $7 billion.
Record High Backlog: Backlog reached an all-time high of $6 billion, with strong demand across various sectors, particularly technology.
Strong Operating Cash Flow: Operating cash flow for 2024 was $849 million, indicating strong underlying trends in execution and customer relationships.
Gross Profit Increase: Gross profit for the fourth quarter increased by $154 million year-over-year, with gross profit margins improving to 23.2%.
Fourth Quarter Operating Income Surge: Operating income for the fourth quarter increased by 88% to $226 million, reflecting strong gross profit margins and favorable SG&A leverage.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Full year free cash flow was $1.176 billion, significantly exceeding earnings, showcasing effective cash collection.
Dividend Increase Announcement: A quarterly dividend increase of five cents to forty cents per share was announced, reflecting strong cash flow and commitment to shareholders.
Revenue Contribution from Acquisition: Acquisition of Century Contract expected to generate approximately $90 million in revenue this year, contributing to growth.
Record Service Revenue: Service revenue achieved a record $1.1 billion in 2024, continuing to be a reliable source of profit and cash flow.
Negative
Operating Cash Flow Analysis: Operating cash flow for 2024 was $849 million, which is strong but may not be sustainable in the long term due to potential market fluctuations.
Revenue Growth Slowdown: The company anticipates facing tough comparables in 2025, estimating that same store revenue growth will likely be in the high single-digit percentage range, indicating a slowdown from previous growth rates.
Backlog Growth Analysis: The increase in backlog is positive, but it is important to note that the backlog growth of $800 million (16%) year-over-year may not be indicative of future performance if market conditions change.
Tax Payment Deferral Impact: The company had a significant tax payment deferral of approximately $80 million due to Hurricane Barrel, which has now been paid and will reduce cash flow in the first quarter of 2025.
Gross Profit Margin Challenges: While gross profit margins improved, the company is still facing challenges in maintaining these margins in the face of rising costs and competitive pressures in the industry.
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
FIX.N
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