ADVM Stock Price Prediction

Adverum Biotechnologies Inc

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3.430

-0.160(-4.460%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Adverum Biotechnologies Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ADVM has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

ADVM stock price ended at $3.43 on Tuesday, after losing -4.46%

The Adverum Biotechnologies Inc stock price decreased by -4.46% on the last trading day (06 May 2025), dropping from 3.52 to 3.59. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.12% , ranging from a day low of $3.43 to a day high of 3.64. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 31.50% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -489.87K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 266.30K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 944.79K.

ADVM Technical Signals

ADVM(Adverum Biotechnologies Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-04-28. The total price change during this trend is +24.65%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of ADVM over the last 5 trading days is 2.37M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

ADVM Moving Average Analysis

Adverum Biotechnologies Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 6, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $3.760333333333333, and $4.142333333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.5243333333333333, and $2.142333333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ADVM Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Adverum Biotechnologies Inc(ADVM) as of 02 May 2025 is 10.56%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 3.33 to 3.49. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.86

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

3.59

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.52

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.204

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-11.215

Bearish

ADVM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Adverum Biotechnologies Inc(ADVM), our algorithm predicts ADVM's 1-month price at $2.94, with an -15.87%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.56%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Adverum Biotechnologies Inc (ADVM.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -15.87% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with VS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.56%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ADVM

Future prediction

Up: -15.87%

Down: -15.87%Similarity: 98.56%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

VS.O

98.56%

-15.87%

AMKR.O

98.52%

+4.67%

SBLK.O

98.42%

-17.56%

LPSN.O

98.32%

+18.64%

CVRX.O

98.31%

-27.53%

TLSA.O

98.29%

-10.32%

ASYS.O

98.28%

-10.20%

TNDM.O

98.23%

-7.57%

VMAR.O

98.11%

-23.90%

ADVM Seasonality Analysis

Based on ADVM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in ADVM. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at60.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Adverum Biotechnologies Inc (ADVM.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (60.00%), while August has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Adverum Biotechnologies Inc. (ADVM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.