ADVM Stock Price Prediction

Adverum Biotechnologies Inc

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2.210

-0.020(-0.900%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Adverum Biotechnologies Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ADVM has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

ADVM stock price ended at $2.21 on Friday, after losing -0.9%

The Adverum Biotechnologies Inc stock price decreased by -0.9% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 2.17 to 2.21. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.71% , ranging from a day low of $2.1 to a day high of 2.22. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -21.35% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 52.53K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 212.60K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 461.31K.

ADVM Technical Signals

ADVM(Adverum Biotechnologies Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-05. The total price change during this trend is -38.44%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of ADVM over the last 5 trading days is 646.53K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

ADVM Moving Average Analysis

Adverum Biotechnologies Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $3.1043833333333333, and $3.572333333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $1.5902833333333333, and $1.1223333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ADVM Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Adverum Biotechnologies Inc(ADVM) as of 16 May 2025 is 26.88%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 2.05 to 2.12. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.686

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.6

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.349

Bearish

ADVM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Adverum Biotechnologies Inc(ADVM), our algorithm predicts ADVM's 1-month price at $2.69, with an 27.11%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.88%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Adverum Biotechnologies Inc (ADVM.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 27.11% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with BOXL.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.88%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ADVM

Future prediction

Up: 27.11%

BOXL

Up: 27.11%Similarity: 96.88%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

BOXL.O

96.88%

+27.11%

NA.O

96.41%

-34.29%

VMD.O

96.31%

-13.04%

TEL.N

96.28%

-8.21%

MGRC.O

96.25%

-6.91%

BFH.N

95.97%

-26.53%

ESI.N

95.90%

-8.55%

CRAI.O

95.60%

-5.97%

ESI.N

95.44%

-7.14%

AMBC.N

95.41%

+18.30%

ADVM Seasonality Analysis

Based on ADVM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in ADVM. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at60.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Adverum Biotechnologies Inc (ADVM.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (60.00%), while August has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Adverum Biotechnologies Inc. (ADVM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.