Should You Buy Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
7.730
1 Day change
-4.45%
52 Week Range
14.620
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a Beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. ACHR is still pre-revenue with ongoing large losses, the chart trend is decisively bearish (down ~40% from the Oct-2025 peak), and there are no Intellectia buy signals today. Despite some positive catalysts (certification progress, a notable institutional purchase, and bullish options positioning), the current setup looks more like a speculative rebound attempt than a solid long-term entry for a beginner. If you already own it, holding (not adding) makes the most sense here.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside momentum. MACD histogram is negative (-0.0546) and expanding lower, suggesting weakening price action. RSI(6) ~36.4 is near oversold but not showing a confirmed reversal signal. Key levels: support S1 ~8.086 (price is sitting right on this area pre-market ~8.19), then S2 ~7.765. Resistance/pivot overhead at ~8.605, then R1 ~9.125. For an impatient buyer, this is a low-quality entry because price is still below the pivot with momentum pointed down.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
implying traders are positioned more for upside than downside.
{OPTION_CHART:Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Other read-throughs: IV is high (30D IV ~88.82 vs historical vol ~74.96), suggesting the market expects big moves. Volume is elevated versus typical OI/averages (today vs OI avg ~110.9), which aligns with active speculation. Net: options are optimistic, but this is also consistent with a high-volatility, news-driven stock rather than a stable long-term compounder.
Technical Summary
Sell
10
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
- Certification progress update (commercialization pathway for eVTOL is a key catalyst).
- Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne bought ~1,000,000 shares (~$7.52M), a supportive institutional confidence signal.
- Prior commentary around expanding the operating model (powertrain tech availability to third parties) suggests potential future revenue avenues (per analyst note).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Stock is down ~40% from the Oct-2025 peak; sentiment reflects uncertainty and competitive disadvantages vs peers (notably Joby).
- Company remains pre-revenue (reported revenue still 0), with significant ongoing losses; this increases financing/dilution risk.
- Technical momentum remains negative; the chart has not confirmed a trend reversal.
- No supportive insider-trading trend (insiders neutral) and hedge fund activity neutral.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue remained 0 (no commercialization yet). Net income improved to -$129.9M (loss narrowed ~12.66% YoY), but EPS fell to -0.20 (down ~31.03% YoY), indicating per-share profitability deteriorated despite a slightly smaller total loss. Overall: still a high-cash-burn, pre-revenue profile—more speculative than long-term-beginner friendly.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst trend: mixed but slightly constructive at higher targets from Canaccord and more cautious from JPMorgan. JPMorgan (2025-11-07) kept Neutral and cut PT to $8 (close to the current price zone, implying limited upside near-term). Canaccord reiterated Buy, first lowering PT to $12 (2025-11-11) on weaker profitability/dilution-related items, then raising PT to $13 (2025-11-21) on potential new revenue stream from powertrain tech availability.
Wall Street pros: optionality from certification progress + potential new business lines; targets above current price suggest upside if execution improves.
Wall Street cons: commercialization uncertainty, ongoing losses/dilution risk, and competitive pressure.
Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure trade data provided beyond the institutional purchase noted in news.
Wall Street analysts forecast ACHR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACHR is 12.4 USD with a low forecast of 8 USD and a high forecast of 18 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ACHR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACHR is 12.4 USD with a low forecast of 8 USD and a high forecast of 18 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 8.090
Low
8
Averages
12.4
High
18
Current: 8.090
Low
8
Averages
12.4
High
18
Canaccord
Buy
maintain
$12 -> $13
AI Analysis
2025-11-21
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$12 -> $13
AI Analysis
2025-11-21
maintain
Buy
Reason
Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Archer Aviation to $13 from $12 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted the company announcement of making its proprietary, dual-use battery-electric powertrain technology available to a third party, signalling a material shift in the company's operating model that introduces a new revenue stream for the business. Omen is a Group 3 hover-to- cruise autonomous air vehicle being co-developed by Anduril and EDGE Group in the UAE and powered by Anduril's Lattice mission AI software.
Canaccord
Austin Moeller
Buy
downgrade
$13 -> $12
2025-11-11
Reason
Canaccord
Austin Moeller
Price Target
$13 -> $12
2025-11-11
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord analyst Austin Moeller lowered the firm's price target on Archer Aviation to $12 from $13 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted their shareholder letter which disclosed adjusted EBITDA came in at the low end of management's previous guidance for Q3 and reflects a roughly 24% year-over-year widening of the bottom line. They also anounced the company will acquire Hawthorne Airport in the LA metro area for $126M and the launching of a $650M equity raise which will partly fund the airport purchase and reddevelopment at the site.
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