ACEL Valuation

Accel Entertainment Inc

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11.620

+0.3(2.650%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ACEL Relative Valuation

ACEL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ACEL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 11.41 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 13.81. The fair price of Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) is between 12.85 to 20.21 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 11.62 USD , Accel Entertainment Inc is Undervalued By 9.55%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

12.85-20.21

Current Price：11.62

9.55%

Undervalued

11.41

Trailing

Forward

6.06

EV/EBITDA

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.06. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.06, Undervalued between 3.06 and 5.29, Fairly Valued between 9.76 and 5.29, Overvalued between 9.76 and 12.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.06 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.57

EV/EBIT

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.57. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 15.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.76, Undervalued between -9.76 and 3.05, Fairly Valued between 28.68 and 3.05, Overvalued between 28.68 and 41.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 41.49. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.57 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.69

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) has a current PS of 0.69. The 5-year average PS is 1.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.23, Undervalued between 0.23 and 0.61, Fairly Valued between 1.38 and 0.61, Overvalued between 1.38 and 1.77, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.77. The current Forward PS of 0.69 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.69. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -27.31, Undervalued between -27.31 and -10.31, Fairly Valued between 23.70 and -10.31, Overvalued between 23.70 and 40.70, and Strongly Overvalued above 40.70. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 3.67. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 4.36 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -15.82% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 5.65, the current P/B ratio is about -35.01% higher. Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.97%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 6.25%, the current FCF yield is approximately -20.50% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.74% , the current FCF yield is about 4.88% lower.

3.67

P/B

Median3y

4.36

Median5y

5.65

4.97

FCF Yield

Median3y

6.25

Median5y

4.74

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ACEL's competitors is 2.19, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Accel Entertainment Inc Corp (ACEL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.69, which is -68.30% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 8.56%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ACEL.N

Accel Entertainment Inc

Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc

Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc

Golden Entertainment Inc

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp

1.12

0.66%

1.49B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ACEL decreased by 0.34% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 19.43 to 28.22.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 8.56%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ACEL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

8.56%

309.41M → 335.91M

Revenue Growth

-54.14%

4.71 → 2.16

Margin Expansion

45.24%

19.43 → 28.22

P/E Change

-0.34%