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ACEL Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Accel Entertainment Inc(ACEL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Accel Entertainment Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04After Hours0.170.16-5.88327.96M329.69M+0.53+2.11+4.83
FY2025Q22025-08-05After Hours0.190.22+15.79332.48M335.91M+1.03-15.25-10.49
FY2025Q12025-05-05After Hours0.150.22+46.67318.75M323.91M+1.62+4.74+6.05
FY2024Q42025-02-27After Hours0.190.16-15.79306.07M317.52M+3.74-8.03-13.15
FY2024Q32024-10-30After Hours0.160.19+18.75297.04M302.23M+1.75-2.73+1.50
FY2024Q22024-07-30-0.190.22+15.79301.33M309.41M+2.68+1.09-4.65
FY2024Q12024-05-08-0.180.20+11.11295.75M301.82M+2.05+0.96-14.43
FY2023Q42024-02-28-0.150.23+53.33284.99M297.07M+4.24+0.48+6.48
FY2023Q32023-11-07-0.140.20+42.86278.53M287.50M+3.22-0.39+2.50
FY2023Q22023-08-03-0.150.21+40.00279.69M292.65M+4.63+0.36+2.43
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ACEL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Accel Entertainment Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.16, compared to analyst estimates of 0.17 by -5.88% . Revenue for the quarter reached 329.69M compared to expectations of 327.96M by 0.53% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.11% one-day change and a 4.83% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Accel Entertainment Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ACEL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Accel Entertainment Inc(ACEL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 336.11M and an EPS of 0.21.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.15%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.6%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.11% . These revisions correlate with a -9.24% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Accel Entertainment Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ACEL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.15%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-2.6%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.11%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-9.24%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.33B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.91
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Stock Price10.41
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Financial AI Agent

ACEL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Accel Entertainment Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.16 (Actual) vs.0.17 (Estimate) (-5.88%)
Revenue: 329.69M (Actual) vs. 327.96M (Estimate) (0.53%)
Price Reaction: 2.11%(1-Day), 4.83%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.22 (Actual) vs.0.19 (Estimate) (15.79%)
Revenue: 335.91M (Actual) vs. 332.48M (Estimate) (1.03%)
Price Reaction: -15.25%(1-Day), -10.49%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.22 (Actual) vs.0.15 (Estimate) (46.67%)
Revenue: 323.91M (Actual) vs. 318.75M (Estimate) (1.62%)
Price Reaction: 4.74%(1-Day), 6.05%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ACEL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ACEL sees a +0.30% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.32% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.11% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.41% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-04
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth across most markets, with a notable increase in adjusted EBITDA and net income. The company is strategically expanding into new markets and optimizing existing ones, such as Illinois. Despite a minor decline in Nevada, the overall financial performance is robust. The Q&A session provided insights into strategic initiatives and M&A opportunities, boosting confidence in future growth. While some responses lacked detail, the optimistic outlook on market expansion and disciplined financial strategies suggest a positive stock price movement.
Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-05
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record revenue and solid EBITDA growth. The company is actively engaging in share repurchases, indicating confidence in its financial health. Despite some uncertainties like the Nevada revenue decline and unclear guidance on Fairmount's Phase 2, the overall sentiment is positive. The Illinois market shows robust growth, and new acquisitions are expected to drive further synergies. With no negative guidance and a focus on strategic growth, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement in the short term.
Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-05
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record revenue, substantial growth in key markets, and a solid balance sheet. The share repurchase program and optimistic guidance on free cash flow and EBITDA growth are positive indicators. Despite some risks like competitive pressures and leadership changes, the market's response is likely positive, especially with the significant revenue growth in Georgia and Nebraska. The cautious Q&A responses on tariffs and Fairmount's Phase 2 timing do not overshadow the overall positive sentiment. The stock is expected to see a moderate positive movement in the next two weeks.
Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-05
The earnings call summary indicates a strong financial performance with record revenue, increased EBITDA, and strategic growth in key markets. The share repurchase program and strong liquidity position are positive indicators for shareholder returns. Despite competitive pressures and supply chain challenges, consumer demand remains robust, and there is optimism about new market entries. The Q&A section confirms minimal impact from tariffs and weather, and management's strategic pruning program is ongoing. Overall, the positive financial metrics, strong market performance, and proactive growth strategies suggest a positive stock price movement.
Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-01
The earnings call reveals stable financial performance with revenue and EBITDA growth, but also highlights challenges such as competitive pressures and increased debt levels. The strategic initiatives, like the Fairmont acquisition and share repurchase program, provide positive signals. However, the lack of clear guidance on certain aspects, such as FanDuel revenue, and potential supply chain challenges create uncertainties. The Q&A section suggests cautious optimism, but the overall sentiment remains mixed, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement.
Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-28
The earnings call summary shows mixed signals: positive revenue and EBITDA growth, a strong share repurchase program, and optimistic guidance for new markets like Louisiana. However, there are concerns about regulatory issues, competitive pressures, and supply chain challenges. The Q&A reveals some uncertainties, particularly regarding revenue breakdowns and market trends. Without clear market cap data, a neutral stance is prudent, considering positive and negative factors balance each other.
Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-01
The earnings call reveals a positive outlook with revenue and EBITDA growth, a significant share repurchase program, and strategic expansion plans. The Fairmount acquisition promises future EBITDA growth, and liquidity is strong. Despite some regulatory and economic challenges, management's optimism in overcoming these and the positive market reaction to TITO implementation support a positive sentiment. The Q&A section indicates confidence in strategic decisions, particularly in closures and M&A opportunities. Overall, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-31
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with revenue and EBITDA growth, and a robust share repurchase plan. Despite regulatory and competitive risks, management's optimistic guidance, particularly regarding acquisitions, offsets these concerns. The Q&A reveals confidence in handling challenges and exploring growth opportunities. Given the positive financial metrics and management's proactive approach, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement in the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ACEL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ACEL reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 329.69M against an estimate of 327.96M, resulting in a 0.53% surprise. The EPS was 0.16, surpassing the expected 0.17 by -5.88% . The stock experienced a 2.11% price change on the earnings day and a 4.83% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ACEL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ACEL’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 2.11% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.83% change. Historically, ACEL’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.30% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -3.32% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ACEL for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ACEL’s annual revenue to reach 336.11M, while the EPS is projected at 0.21. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.15% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.11% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ACEL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ACEL’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.15%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.11% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ACEL’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ACEL’s stock price typically moves by +0.30% in the 10 days before its earnings and -3.32% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.21 and revenue of 336.11M.
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What is the sentiment in Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth across most markets, with a notable increase in adjusted EBITDA and net income. The company is strategically expanding into new markets and optimizing existing ones, such as Illinois. Despite a minor decline in Nevada, the overall financial performance is robust. The Q&A session provided insights into strategic initiatives and M&A opportunities, boosting confidence in future growth. While some responses lacked detail, the optimistic outlook on market expansion and disciplined financial strategies suggest a positive stock price movement.
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