AAOI Stock Price Prediction

Applied Optoelectronics Inc

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17.880

+0.270(+1.530%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Applied Optoelectronics Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AAOI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

AAOI stock price ended at $17.88 on Friday, after rising 1.53%

The Applied Optoelectronics Inc stock price increased by 1.53% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 16.8 to 17.88. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.69% , ranging from a day low of $16.75 to a day high of 18.0389. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 21.88% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 264.97K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.24M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 38.95M.

AAOI Technical Signals

AAOI(Applied Optoelectronics Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-17. The total price change during this trend is -14.78%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of AAOI over the last 5 trading days is 44.88M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

AAOI Moving Average Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $21.835866666666668, and $23.89866666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $15.16146666666667, and $13.098666666666668. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AAOI Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Applied Optoelectronics Inc(AAOI) as of 16 May 2025 is 17.26%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 18.87 to 18.69. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.814

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

3.21

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.063

Bullish

1 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

AAOI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Applied Optoelectronics Inc(AAOI), our algorithm predicts AAOI's 1-month price at $17.45, with an -6.64%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.24%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -6.64% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CG.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.24%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AAOI

Future prediction

Up: -6.64%

Down: -6.64%Similarity: 98.24%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

CG.O

98.24%

-6.64%

ALRM.O

97.82%

-5.26%

CMI.N

97.54%

-5.16%

WSM.N

97.54%

-9.20%

ENS.N

97.50%

-19.69%

MOG.B.N

97.50%

+8.54%

DIOD.O

97.43%

-7.34%

FLEX.O

97.43%

+17.27%

W.N

97.39%

-8.61%

ZBRA.O

97.38%

-5.46%

AAOI Seasonality Analysis

Based on AAOI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AAOI. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.