AAOI Stock Price Prediction

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

1-Day-Price-Prediction

+0.25%

1-Week Prediction

+1.18%

1-Month Prediction

+0.56%

2026 Prediction

+4.57%

2030 Prediction

+578.77%

Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that AAOI stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $25.9, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $26.14. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $25.98. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $27.02, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $175.39. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!

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25.980

Should I Buy Applied Optoelectronics Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AAOI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

AAOI stock price ended at $27.13 on Friday, after rising 4.99%

The Applied Optoelectronics Inc stock price increased by 4.99% on the last trading day (25 Jul 2025), rising from 26.43 to 27.13. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 8.10% , ranging from a day low of $25.79 to a day high of 27.88. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -4.47% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 1.12M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 4.19M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 112.70M.

AAOI Technical Signals

AAOI(Applied Optoelectronics Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-06-26. The total price change during this trend is -6.95%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of AAOI over the last 5 trading days is 98.36M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

AAOI Moving Average Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, July 25, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $32.18, and $34.54. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $24.54, and $22.18. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AAOI Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Applied Optoelectronics Inc(AAOI) as of 23 Jul 2025 is 19.64%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 26.35 to 26.30. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

5 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20

17.888

Bullish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.688

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.547

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-92.88

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-2.41

Bearish

Closing price

close < fibonacci_S1

25.84

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

AAOI Stock Forecast

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI

Jan 2026	$23.03	$28.61	$36.88	+9.06%
Feb 2026	$29.69	$34.62	$35.19	+31.98%
Mar 2026	$26.45	$26.52	$30.98	+1.10%
Apr 2026	$24.00	$27.06	$34.27	+3.18%
May 2026	$28.02	$34.62	$40.47	+31.98%
Jun 2026	$30.20	$34.62	$42.81	+31.98%
Jul 2026	$24.19	$27.02	$28.63	+3.01%
Aug 2026	$28.06	$34.62	$37.05	+31.98%
Sep 2026	$33.73	$34.62	$41.70	+31.98%
Oct 2026	$18.30	$25.59	$28.93	-2.45%
Nov 2026	$19.52	$25.36	$32.45	-3.31%
Dec 2026	$21.31	$25.36	$30.66	-3.31%

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In 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $18.30 and $42.81.

Applied Optoelectronics Inc Stock Forecast 2026

Jan 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 9.06%

In Jan 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $28.61. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $23.03 and a high of $36.88.

Feb 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 31.98%

In Feb 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $34.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $29.69 and a high of $35.19.

Mar 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 1.10%

In Mar 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $26.52. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $26.45 and a high of $30.98.

Apr 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 3.18%

In Apr 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $27.06. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.00 and a high of $34.27.

May 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 31.98%

In May 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $34.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $28.02 and a high of $40.47.

Jun 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 31.98%

In Jun 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $34.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $30.20 and a high of $42.81.

Jul 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 3.01%

In Jul 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $27.02. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.19 and a high of $28.63.

Aug 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 31.98%

In Aug 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $34.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $28.06 and a high of $37.05.

Sep 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 31.98%

In Sep 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $34.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $33.73 and a high of $41.70.

Oct 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -2.45%

In Oct 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.30 and a high of $28.93.

Nov 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -3.31%

In Nov 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $19.52 and a high of $32.45.

Dec 2026: AAOI Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -3.31%

In Dec 2026, Applied Optoelectronics Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.31 and a high of $30.66.

AAOI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Applied Optoelectronics Inc(AAOI), our algorithm predicts AAOI's 1-month price at $31.61, with an 10.41%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.00%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 20, 2025 , forecasts a 10.41% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with RGEN.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AAOI

Future prediction

Up: 10.41%

RGEN

Up: 10.41%Similarity: 99%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

RGEN.O

99.00%

+10.41%

MYRG.O

98.85%

+13.95%

FTK.N

98.84%

+4.64%

RELY.O

98.78%

+9.46%

ALNT.O

98.75%

-2.03%

NWG.N

98.72%

-6.04%

SPB.N

98.67%

+11.04%

GEG.O

98.64%

-12.50%

LQDT.O

98.62%

+26.48%

BAC.N

98.62%

+8.31%

AAOI Seasonality Analysis

Based on AAOI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AAOI. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.