AAOI Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how AAOI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AAOI sees a +3.48% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +10.45% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.58%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
AAOI Key Earning Data
AAOI Earnings Analysis
Positive
Record CATV Revenue Growth: Strong demand in the CATV market with the highest quarterly CATV revenue in AOI's history, totaling $64 million, which increased more than 6 times year-over-year and 24% sequentially.
Q1 Revenue Surge: Total revenue for Q1 was $99.9 million, in line with guidance and more than doubled year-over-year, reflecting strong business momentum.
Gross Margin Improvement: Non-GAAP gross margin of 30.7% exceeded guidance and was a significant improvement from 18.9% in Q1 of 2024, driven by a favorable product mix and increased CATV revenue.
Improved Operational Efficiency: Positive non-GAAP EBITDA generated in the quarter, indicating improved operational efficiency and profitability.
Data Center Design Wins: Three new design wins in the data center business, indicating progress and demand in this segment despite a sequential revenue decrease due to inventory digestion.
Production Capacity Expansion: Plans to expand production capacity for 800G and higher transceivers, with expectations to reach approximately 40,000 transceivers per month by the end of the year, enhancing future revenue potential.
Trade Show Success: Successful engagement at the OFC trade show, receiving positive feedback on next-generation technology and products, which strengthens customer relationships and market position.
Onshoring Production Strategy: Continued efforts to onshore production and reduce reliance on imported components, aligning with customer demand for domestic manufacturing and enhancing supply chain resilience.
Negative
Data Center Revenue Decline: Total revenue for data center products decreased 28% sequentially due to inventory digestion by a customer, indicating potential issues with customer demand or inventory management.
CATV Revenue Volatility: Despite a year-over-year increase in CATV revenue, the company expects a modest pullback in CATV revenue in Q2 as they retool production, suggesting potential volatility in this segment.
Non-GAAP Loss Analysis: The company recorded a non-GAAP loss per share of $0.02, which, while within guidance, indicates ongoing financial challenges as they are still not profitable on a non-GAAP basis.
Customer Concentration Risk: The top 10 customers represented 97% of revenue, indicating a high customer concentration risk, which could pose a threat to revenue stability if any major customer reduces orders.
Inventory Increase Concerns: The company ended the quarter with $102.3 million in inventory, up from $88.1 million, which may indicate overproduction or challenges in selling existing inventory, potentially leading to cash flow issues.
Operating Loss Improvement: Non-GAAP operating loss was $4.8 million, which, although improved from the previous year, still reflects ongoing operational challenges and the need for further cost management.
AAOI FAQs
How does AAOI typically perform around its earnings report dates?
AAOI's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +3.48% change leading up to the report and a +10.45% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
AAOI Earning Call Sentiment
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

AAOI.O
24.34%