Peabody Announces Q3 Earnings Per Share of 58 Cents, Down from 74 Cents Last Year
Q3 Revenue Performance: Peabody reported Q3 revenue of $1.01 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $992.53 million, driven by strong Powder River Basin shipments and improved seaborne thermal coal volumes.
Operational Highlights: CEO Jim Grech noted that Peabody's operations showed solid performance, with the lowest metallurgical coal costs in years and favorable U.S. thermal coal fundamentals.
Investment and Growth Strategy: CFO Mark Spurbeck highlighted over $680 million invested in developing the Centurion project, which aims to enhance Peabody's position in the premium hard coking coal market.
Financial Stability: Peabody maintains a strong balance sheet with substantial liquidity and a cash-positive net-debt position, allowing for protection against market volatility and maximizing shareholder returns during favorable pricing conditions.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on BTU
About BTU
About the author

- Record Safety Achievement: Peabody Energy reported a record incident rate of 0.71 per 200,000 hours in Q4 2025, a 12% improvement over previous records, enhancing employee safety and bolstering the company's reputation in the industry.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The Centurion mine commenced longwall mining ahead of schedule, with expected shipments of 3.5 million tons in 2026 ramping up to 4.7 million by 2028, projecting a net present value of $2.1 billion at $225 benchmark pricing, indicating a strategic pivot towards higher-margin metallurgical coal.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $10.4 million in Q4, with diluted earnings per share at $0.09 and adjusted EBITDA of $118 million, a 19% increase from the prior quarter, reflecting effective cost control and improved seaborne thermal realizations.
- Positive Future Outlook: Management anticipates a decline in seaborne thermal volumes to 12.5 million tons in 2026 due to mine closures, while metallurgical coal volumes are expected to rise to 10.8 million tons with Centurion's startup, showcasing the company's adaptability to market changes.
- Earnings Performance: Peabody Energy reported a GAAP EPS of $0.08 for Q4 2025, beating estimates by $0.03, indicating a slight improvement in profitability despite an 8.9% year-over-year revenue decline to $1.02 billion, reflecting weak market demand.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The company's adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $118.1 million, significantly down from $176.7 million in Q4 2024, highlighting pressure on profitability due to cost control and changing market conditions, which may impact future investment decisions.
- Cash Flow and Liquidity: Peabody generated operating cash flow of $336 million from continuing operations, with cash and cash equivalents reaching $575 million as of December 31, 2025, demonstrating robust liquidity management that can support future capital expenditures.
- Dividend Declaration: The company declared a dividend of $0.075 per share on February 5, 2026, payable on March 10, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 23, 2026, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns while maintaining stable cash flow, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Peabody Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stability in the current market despite valuation challenges.
- Yield Information: The forward yield of this dividend stands at 0.86%, reflecting investor choices for stable income, although the market remains cautious about the future performance of energy stocks.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 10, with a record date of February 23 and an ex-dividend date also on February 23, providing investors with a clear timeline for their investment decisions.
- Market Reaction Analysis: While power stocks have surged due to AI demand, analysts caution that Peabody Energy's current valuation is hard to justify, advising investors to proceed with caution, which may impact future stock performance.
- Declining Financial Performance: Peabody reported a net loss of $52.9 million for 2025, translating to a loss of $0.43 per share, a stark contrast to a net income of $370.9 million in 2024, indicating significant adverse impacts from sharply lower coal prices on profitability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Decline: The company's adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $454.9 million, down 48% from $871.7 million in 2024, reflecting challenges in profitability amid changing market conditions and cost control efforts.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The commencement of longwall mining at the Centurion mine is expected to start two months ahead of schedule, with a targeted annual production of 4.7 million tons, which is anticipated to significantly enhance Peabody's competitiveness in the metallurgical coal market and improve future cash flows and shareholder value.
- Favorable Market Conditions: The rising demand for coal in the U.S., particularly thermal coal, coupled with expanding West Coast export capabilities, positions Peabody to benefit from increased coal generation in the coming years, potentially improving its financial outlook.
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Peabody's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, payable on March 10, 2026, to stockholders of record on February 23, 2026, demonstrating the company's ongoing commitment to stable cash flow and shareholder returns.
- Sustainability Commitment: As a leading coal producer, Peabody emphasizes its critical role in providing affordable and reliable energy and steel production, indicating that sustainability will be a core element of its future strategy.
- Financial Health Considerations: The payment of dividends will depend on the company's financial results, cash flow, and cash requirements, reflecting the Board's cautious approach to future economic conditions and operational performance.
- Forward-Looking Statements: Peabody cautions investors that future dividend payments and financial performance are subject to various economic, competitive, and regulatory factors, highlighting the necessity for the company to remain flexible in an uncertain environment.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Peabody Energy (BTU) is scheduled to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 5th before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.06 and revenue estimate at $1.02 billion, reflecting an 8.9% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, BTU has exceeded EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of stability in the company's profitability.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four upward revisions, suggesting increased market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Environment Impact: Despite power stocks surging due to AI demand, analysts caution that Peabody Energy's current valuation is hard to justify, advising investors to proceed with caution as the stock may face market correction risks.








