Viper Energy Highlights Transformational 2025 Earnings Call
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy VNOM?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strategic Acquisitions and Growth: Viper Energy executed over $8 billion in mineral acquisitions in 2025, expanding its Permian Basin acreage by nearly 2.5 times and achieving a 7% year-over-year increase in oil production per share, demonstrating strong capabilities in resource integration and market expansion.
- Enhanced Capital Returns: The company announced a 15% increase in its base dividend and a $1 billion increase in share repurchase authorization, with an expected payout ratio of 50% of estimated 2026 free cash flow, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns and financial health.
- Debt Management Optimization: Following the non-Permian divestiture, Viper successfully repaid a $500 million term loan, reducing net debt to approximately $1.6 billion with a leverage ratio just above 1x, enhancing the company's financial flexibility and future acquisition capacity.
- Future Outlook and Production Guidance: Management anticipates mid-single-digit organic production growth for 2026, emphasizing that current visibility on drilling and permits could allow for upward adjustments if activity increases in the second half of the year, showcasing the company's keen awareness of market dynamics.
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Analyst Views on VNOM
Wall Street analysts forecast VNOM stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 44.960
Low
41.00
Averages
50.80
High
64.00
Current: 44.960
Low
41.00
Averages
50.80
High
64.00
About VNOM
Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America, with a focus on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in oil-weighted basins, primarily the Permian Basin. The Company owns approximately 85,700 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Growth: Viper Energy executed over $8 billion in mineral acquisitions in 2025, expanding its Permian Basin acreage by nearly 2.5 times and achieving a 7% year-over-year increase in oil production per share, demonstrating strong capabilities in resource integration and market expansion.
- Enhanced Capital Returns: The company announced a 15% increase in its base dividend and a $1 billion increase in share repurchase authorization, with an expected payout ratio of 50% of estimated 2026 free cash flow, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns and financial health.
- Debt Management Optimization: Following the non-Permian divestiture, Viper successfully repaid a $500 million term loan, reducing net debt to approximately $1.6 billion with a leverage ratio just above 1x, enhancing the company's financial flexibility and future acquisition capacity.
- Future Outlook and Production Guidance: Management anticipates mid-single-digit organic production growth for 2026, emphasizing that current visibility on drilling and permits could allow for upward adjustments if activity increases in the second half of the year, showcasing the company's keen awareness of market dynamics.
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- Quarterly Dividend Increase: Viper Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share, representing a 15.2% increase from the previous $0.33, indicating ongoing improvements in cash flow management and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of this dividend stands at 3.38%, providing shareholders with a stable return while potentially increasing demand for the company's stock, thereby enhancing its price performance.
- Variable Cash Dividend: The company also announced a variable cash dividend of $0.14 per Class A common share for Q4 2025, payable on March 12, 2026, further enhancing shareholder return expectations and reflecting confidence in future profitability.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The record date for this dividend is set for March 5, with the ex-dividend date also on March 5, ensuring that shareholders can receive their dividends promptly, thereby strengthening investor holding intentions.
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Market Performance: The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes ended their multi-week losing streaks, increasing by 1.5% and 1.1%, respectively.
Supreme Court Ruling: A significant factor in the market rise was the Supreme Court's decision to strike down some of President Trump's tariffs.
White House Response: Despite the ruling, the White House announced plans to explore alternative methods to enforce its tariff policy.
Investor Sentiment: The combination of the court ruling and the White House's response influenced investor sentiment positively, contributing to the uptick in equities.
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- Supreme Court Decision: The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 to strike down President Trump's tariffs, leading to a boost in stock prices on Friday.
- New Tariffs Introduced: Following the ruling, the White House announced the implementation of new 10% global tariffs, raising further questions about trade policy.
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- Earnings Announcement: Viper Energy is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 23 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.31 and revenue estimate at $422.79 million, indicating significant investor interest in the company's performance.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Viper Energy has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, although it has only surpassed revenue estimates 38% of the time, suggesting a stable performance in profitability but challenges in revenue growth.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates, with 9 downward adjustments, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and 8 downward adjustments, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future growth.
- Market Analysis: Despite the downward revisions, Goldman Sachs remains optimistic about further upside in the energy sector, highlighting Viper Energy among 10 buy-rated stocks that could benefit from the overall positive market trends.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: VNOM's 52-week low is $34.71, with a high of $52.03, and the last trade at $38.63 indicates stability within this range, potentially influencing investor buying decisions.
- Market Trend Observation: The current price of $38.63 is close to the 52-week low, suggesting a cautious short-term market sentiment towards the stock, prompting investors to monitor future market dynamics to assess risk.
- Technical Indicator Reference: VNOM's stock price has crossed above the 200-day moving average, which may attract more technical analysis investors, thereby impacting future trading volume and price movements.
- Industry Comparison: Compared to other energy stocks, VNOM's price performance shows notable volatility, leading investors to consider overall industry trends and individual stock performance differences to formulate more effective investment strategies.
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