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VNOM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Viper Energy Inc (VNOM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
45.400
1 Day change
-3.92%
52 Week Range
49.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Viper Energy Inc (VNOM) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock is positioned to benefit from rising oil prices, strong analyst sentiment, hedge fund buying, and a robust buyback plan. Despite short-term technical weakness and a recent decline in financial performance, the long-term outlook driven by favorable oil market conditions and valuation makes it a compelling investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below zero and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 64.217. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 47.12), with support at 44.79. Short-term technical indicators are not strongly bullish.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment among options traders. Implied volatility is moderate, with a 30-day IV at 37.37 and an IV percentile of 58.8, suggesting options are moderately priced.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have consistently raised price targets, with the latest upgrades citing higher oil prices, inflationary tailwinds, and valuation discounts.

  • Hedge funds are aggressively buying VNOM, with a 698.01% increase in buying activity last quarter.

  • Viper Energy's planned largest-ever stock buyback in 2026 signals confidence in its valuation and future performance.

  • Rising oil prices and increased production volumes in the Permian region are expected to benefit the company.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant drop in net income (-149.58% YoY) and EPS (-130.39% YoY), raising concerns about profitability.

  • Gross margin declined by 38.88% YoY, indicating cost pressures.

  • Short-term technical indicators do not show strong bullish signals, and pre-market price is down by 0.55%.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 90.21% YoY to $435 million, but net income dropped to -$104 million (-149.58% YoY), and EPS fell to -0.62 (-130.39% YoY). Gross margin also declined to 39.54% (-38.88% YoY). While revenue growth is strong, profitability metrics are weak.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly positive on VNOM, with multiple firms upgrading ratings and raising price targets. Recent upgrades highlight the company's strong positioning amid higher oil prices, inflationary trends, and valuation discounts. Price targets range from $49 to $68, with a consensus view of significant upside potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast VNOM stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VNOM stock price to rise
11 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 47.250
sliders
Low
41
Averages
50.8
High
64
Current: 47.250
sliders
Low
41
Averages
50.8
High
64
Jefferies
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$43 -> $55
AI Analysis
2026-04-12
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$43 -> $55
AI Analysis
2026-04-12
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Jefferies upgraded Viper Energy to Buy from Hold with a price target of $55, up from $43. The firm says the company is well positioned to take advantage of higher oil prices. With the higher price environment "here to stay," Viper will post its largest annual buyback in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Jefferies' 2026 EBITDA estimate is 45% above the Street with production toward the upper end of the company's guidance. It views the shares as "cheap" following the recent multiple compression. Jefferies cites its higher long-tern oil price outlook and an environment "looking increasingly inflationary" for the upgrade.
KeyBanc
Tim Rezvan
Overweight
maintain
$56 -> $65
2026-04-02
Reason
KeyBanc
Tim Rezvan
Price Target
$56 -> $65
2026-04-02
maintain
Overweight
Reason
KeyBanc analyst Tim Rezvan raised the firm's price target on Viper Energy to $65 from $56 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. With Q1 over, the firm is resetting its oil price deck. Much has changed since KeyBank's last mid-January update. The firm sees dislocations for global crude and refined products persisting into summer and views the week-to-date oil/equities selloff as a head-fake and buying opportunity.
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