U.S. to Eliminate Additional 25% Tariff on Indian Imports and Lower Tariffs to 18% as India Decreases Russian Oil Purchases, According to White House Official.
U.S. Tariff Changes: The U.S. will eliminate the additional 25% tariff on Indian imports and reduce tariffs to 18%.
India's Oil Purchases: The tariff reduction comes as India decreases its purchases of Russian oil.
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Government Funding Bill: President Donald Trump announced he would sign a bill to grant full-year funding for the federal government, effectively ending a partial government shutdown that began over the weekend.
DHS Funding Extension: The Department of Homeland Security received a funding extension only through February 13, while the House of Representatives approved a funding package to avoid a prolonged shutdown.
Democratic Proposals: Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer indicated that Democrats are planning to present a detailed proposal on reforms for the Department of Homeland Security soon.
Market Impact: The partial shutdown has already affected key data releases, including the January jobs report, and has led to declines in major stock indices, reflecting negative retail sentiment.
Silver's Recovery: Silver is experiencing a significant recovery, outperforming gold, stocks, Treasuries, and Bitcoin.
Investor Caution: Investors are advised to consider silver's historical performance before investing in the current rally.

Nomination of Kevin Warsh: Economist Jeremy Siegel views the nomination of Kevin Warsh as a significant upgrade for the Federal Reserve, believing it will positively impact both bonds and equities by maintaining a tough stance on inflation.
Concerns about Warsh's Hawkishness: Siegel acknowledges investor concerns regarding Warsh's hawkish tendencies, suggesting that while he supports a gradual reduction of the Fed's mortgage-backed securities, it should not be done too quickly.
Constructive Outlook for Equities: Siegel expresses a constructive outlook for equity markets, despite uncertainties surrounding changes at the Fed and government shutdown risks, highlighting recent performance disparities between Meta and Microsoft shares.
AI and Capital Spending Trends: Siegel predicts that 2023 will be the year of AI users, with capital spending continuing to rise as firms leverage AI to enhance productivity, contrasting with those merely selling traditional products.
Market Performance: Despite significant geopolitical events and news, the Treasury market has shown minimal movement, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) yielding almost no returns in January.
Geopolitical Events: President Donald Trump made headlines with actions against Venezuela, threats towards Iran, and a controversial stance on Greenland, yet these did not impact Treasury yields significantly.
Partial Government Shutdown: The U.S. government entered a partial shutdown on January 31, 2026, due to a funding deadline lapse for the 2026 budget without Congressional approval, impacting key reports scheduled for release this week.
Delayed Reports: Key reports, including the latest jobs report and labor turnover survey, will be delayed due to the shutdown, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics not releasing the January jobs report as planned.
Funding Negotiations: The Senate has voted to extend funding, but the measure must still pass the House, which is scheduled to return on Monday to address the issue and avoid a prolonged shutdown.
Market Reactions: Despite the shutdown, U.S. equities saw gains, with various ETFs tracking major indices rising, while retail sentiment around the S&P 500 ETF remained bearish.

U.S. Tariff Changes: The U.S. will eliminate the additional 25% tariff on Indian imports and reduce tariffs to 18%.
India's Oil Purchases: The tariff reduction comes as India decreases its purchases of Russian oil.








