U.S. Stock Futures Modestly Lower Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty
Stock futures are modestly lower reflecting a cautious response to renewed geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty after the volatility of the past week and before a key Federal Reserve meeting later this week. Markets look set to open mixed to slightly softer as traders navigate a heavy news and event calendar. Investors are bracing for a busy slate of major tech earnings from companies such as Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Tesla, prompting selective positioning ahead of potentially market-moving reports.One of the biggest themes shaping markets is the surge in precious metals as safe-haven demand has risen, with gold topping $5,000 an ounce for the first time and silver hitting new records as traders hedge against uncertainty. The dollar has weakened against major currencies, including the Japanese yen, amid speculation of currency intervention and broader risk rebalancing, which further supports commodities and metals.In pre-market trading, S&P 500 fell 0.08%, Nasdaq futures fell 0.28% and Dow futures fell 0.02%.Check out this morning's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER -USA Rare Earthup 21% after announcing its entry into a non-binding $1.6B letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce and a collaboration with the U.S. Department of EnergySareptaup 2% after reporting topline three-year results from Part 1-treated patients in EMBARK, the placebo-controlled Phase 3 study evaluating Elevidys in ambulatory individuals with Duchenne muscular dystrophy who were aged four to seven at time of treatmentAllied Gold Corporationup 3% after announcing that it has entered into a definitive agreement, pursuant to which Zijin Gold International has agreed to acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of Allied Gold at a price of C$44 per share in cashMannKindup 3% after reporting that the FDA has approved an update to the prescribing information for Afrezza inhalation powder, revising recommendations for the starting mealtime dosage when patients switch from subcutaneous mealtime insulin regimensSkyWater Technologyand IonQup 8% and 2%, respectively, after the companies announced they have entered into a definitive agreement pursuant to which IonQ will acquire SkyWater for $35.00 per share in a cash-and-stock transactionCoreWeaveup 8% after Nvidiainvested $2B in CoreWeave Class A common stock at a purchase price of $87.20 per shareLOWER -Revolution Medicinesdown 20% after The Wall Street JournalMerckis no longer in discussions to acquire the companyBlackRock TCP Capitaldown 16% after reporting preliminary Q4 resultsEnphase Energydown 3% after notifying employees the company will be reducing headcount and moving certain functions to cost-efficient regions, affecting less than 6% of its workforce
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Fourth Quarter Financial Results: The U.S. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, highlighting key economic indicators and performance metrics.
Full-Year Financial Overview: A comprehensive analysis of the financial performance for the entire year of 2025 was provided, showcasing trends and significant changes in various sectors.

Earthquake Expectations: The U.S. Geological Survey anticipates a significant earthquake in 2026.
Funding Agreement: A definitive funding agreement and award are expected to be signed with the U.S. government in April 2026.
- Disappointing Earnings: USA Rare Earth reported an adjusted diluted loss per share of $0.19 for Q4 2025, failing to meet analysts' expectations of a $0.14 loss, indicating a continued decline in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Stock Price Decline: Following a more than 5% drop last week, USA Rare Earth’s stock plummeted 7% today, reflecting market disappointment over its financial performance and outlook, potentially prompting further sell-offs by investors.
- Price Target Reduction: Roth Capital lowered its price target for USA Rare Earth from $35 to $25 while maintaining a buy rating, indicating a cautious market sentiment based on updated valuations rather than the company's reported metrics.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates commissioning its hydrometallurgical demonstration facility in Colorado in Q2 2026 and completing the Round Top Preliminary Feasibility Study by Q3 2026; failure to meet these timelines could jeopardize its expectation of starting commercial production by late 2028, raising significant concerns for investors in mining stocks.
- Earnings Miss: USA Rare Earth reported a disappointing adjusted diluted loss per share of $0.19 for Q4 2025, failing to meet analysts' expectations of a $0.14 loss, which contributed to a 7% drop in stock price.
- Market Reaction: The company’s adjusted diluted EPS for 2025 was reported at negative $0.82, significantly worse than the negative $0.40 reported in 2024, leading to investor disappointment and further sell-offs.
- Price Target Downgrade: Roth Capital lowered its price target for USA Rare Earth from $35 to $25 while maintaining a buy rating, reflecting a pessimistic sentiment in the market regarding rare-earth stocks, which may impact investor confidence.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates commissioning its hydrometallurgical demonstration facility in Colorado in Q2 2026 and completing the Round Top Preliminary Feasibility Study by Q3 2026; failure to meet these targets could jeopardize expectations for starting commercial production in late 2028.
- Disappointing Earnings: USA Rare Earth reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.19, missing expectations by $0.05, indicating challenges in profitability that could impact investor confidence moving forward.
- Strong Cash Position: The company ended 2025 with $359.9 million in cash and cash equivalents and no significant debt, providing a solid financial foundation for future operations and investments despite current profitability issues.
- Commercial Shipments Launch: USA Rare Earth is set to commence commercial shipments of magnets from its Stillwater plant, marking a significant step in expanding its presence in the rare earth magnet market, which could lay the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Strategic Partnership: The partnership with Arnold Magnetic Technologies for rare earth magnet supply not only strengthens the stability of the supply chain but also enhances the company's competitive position in the rare earth sector, supporting long-term growth prospects.

- USA Rare Earth's Role: The company is evolving from a mining operation to a significant contributor in the U.S. rare earth elements sector.
- Countering China: USA Rare Earth aims to reduce the United States' reliance on China for rare earth elements.







