Trump's Tariff Policies Drive Novartis U.S. Expansion
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVS?
Source: seekingalpha
- Manufacturing Expansion: Novartis announced plans to build multiple manufacturing plants in the U.S. driven by Trump's tariff policies, including new facilities in North Carolina and California, reflecting the company's commitment to the U.S. market.
- Investment Commitment: Last year, Novartis pledged $23 billion to build and expand 10 facilities in the U.S., a move that not only responds to tariff threats from the Trump administration but also aims to enhance its competitive edge in the U.S. market.
- New Therapy Network: The company plans to expand its radioligand therapy manufacturing network with a new site in Florida, a strategic initiative that will further strengthen Novartis's position in emerging treatment areas and meet the growing patient demand.
- Policy Impact: Novartis reached an agreement with the Trump administration to cap U.S. drug prices and offer some treatments directly to patients, demonstrating the company's adaptability in response to changing policy environments.
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Analyst Views on NVS
Wall Street analysts forecast NVS stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 163.920
Low
112.00
Averages
127.75
High
143.00
Current: 163.920
Low
112.00
Averages
127.75
High
143.00
About NVS
Novartis AG is a Switzerland-based pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets branded and generic prescription drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), biosimilars and ophthalmic products. The Company uses science and digital technologies for treatments in the disease areas of immunology, dermatology, cancer, ophthalmology, neuroscience, respiratory, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism. The business activities of the Company are divided into two segments: Innovative Medicines, which includes innovative patent-protected prescription medicines for blood pressure, cancer and other ailments, and Sandoz, which includes generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Manufacturing Expansion: Novartis announced plans to build multiple manufacturing plants in the U.S. driven by Trump's tariff policies, including new facilities in North Carolina and California, reflecting the company's commitment to the U.S. market.
- Investment Commitment: Last year, Novartis pledged $23 billion to build and expand 10 facilities in the U.S., a move that not only responds to tariff threats from the Trump administration but also aims to enhance its competitive edge in the U.S. market.
- New Therapy Network: The company plans to expand its radioligand therapy manufacturing network with a new site in Florida, a strategic initiative that will further strengthen Novartis's position in emerging treatment areas and meet the growing patient demand.
- Policy Impact: Novartis reached an agreement with the Trump administration to cap U.S. drug prices and offer some treatments directly to patients, demonstrating the company's adaptability in response to changing policy environments.
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- Stake Sale Plan: Novartis plans to sell its 70.68% stake in its publicly listed Indian unit for approximately $159 million, indicating a strategic shift as part of a broader global restructuring effort.
- Consortium Composition: The acquiring consortium includes WaveRise Investments, ChrysCapital Fund X, and Two Infinity Partners, with the transaction executed through a share purchase agreement, highlighting ongoing market interest in Novartis' Indian operations.
- Strategic Review Context: This transaction follows a two-year strategic review of Novartis India, reflecting the company's commitment to reassessing its Mumbai-based operations and optimizing resource allocation.
- Future Outlook: This move not only aids Novartis' global restructuring strategy but may also provide funding for investments in other markets, further enhancing the company's long-term growth potential.
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- Tariff Ruling Impact: The Supreme Court's 6-3 decision deemed Trump's tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act unconstitutional, yet it does not affect tariffs under the Trade Expansion Act, leaving certain sectors to face ongoing cost pressures.
- Automotive Industry Strain: Major U.S. automakers like General Motors expect tariff costs between $3 billion and $4 billion this year, while Ford anticipates a flat $2 billion impact, although the Supreme Court ruling's immediate effects on these forecasts remain unclear.
- Pharmaceutical Uncertainty: The Trump administration has threatened tariffs on pharmaceuticals that could reach 250%, which, if enacted, would push drug companies to increase U.S. manufacturing, thereby impacting the industry's strategic direction despite current exemptions.
- Furniture Sector Challenges: The furniture industry continues to face a 25% tariff post-ruling, with expectations of an increase to 50% by 2027, disproportionately affecting smaller firms and leading to bankruptcies, such as that of American Signature Furniture.
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- Tariff Ruling Impact: The Supreme Court's ruling that Trump's 'reciprocal' tariffs are unconstitutional provides some relief for consumer companies facing high import costs, yet it does not eliminate the burden of existing tariffs across various sectors.
- Automotive Industry Pressure: The automotive sector continues to face billions in tariff costs, with a 25% tariff imposed on imported vehicles and parts last year, although some countries have negotiated reductions to 10%-15%, the overall impact on the industry remains unclear.
- Pharmaceutical Uncertainty: The pharmaceutical industry is at risk of potential tariffs reaching 250%, as Trump has threatened such measures, which, if enacted, would compel drug manufacturers to produce domestically, adding significant uncertainty to the sector.
- Furniture Industry Struggles: The furniture industry still faces a 25% tariff post-ruling, with expectations of an increase to 50% by 2027, severely impacting smaller companies and leading to bankruptcies, highlighting the ongoing challenges in this sector.
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- Deal Scale: Unnatural Products has entered into a research and licensing agreement with Novartis worth up to $1.8 billion, aimed at developing orally delivered peptide therapies for cardiovascular diseases, showcasing a powerful collaboration in the biopharmaceutical sector.
- Complementary Expertise: This partnership leverages Unnatural Products' AI-enhanced macrocycle platform alongside Novartis' global expertise in drug development and commercialization, which is expected to accelerate the development of new therapies.
- Clinical Development Responsibility: Novartis will lead the clinical trials, production, and commercialization of the products, while Unnatural Products will receive up to $100 million in upfront and pre-IND milestone payments, ensuring liquidity during the project's early stages.
- Potential Revenue: In addition to the initial funding, Unnatural Products is eligible for up to $1.7 billion in other milestone payments and mid-single to low double-digit royalties on net sales of products, further enhancing its financial stability and market competitiveness.
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- Trial Success: Novartis' pivotal Phase 3 RemIND trial for oral remibrutinib in chronic inducible urticaria (CIndU) met its primary endpoint, achieving significantly higher complete response rates compared to placebo, indicating the drug's potential in treatment.
- First Targeted Therapy: The data signifies remibrutinib's potential as the first targeted therapy for CIndU, with Global Head of Immunology Development Angelika Jahreis highlighting its positive trial results as a foundation for recent FDA approval in chronic spontaneous urticaria.
- Regulatory Progress: Novartis has submitted a supplemental New Drug Application (sNDA) to the U.S. FDA for remibrutinib's approval in symptomatic dermographism, enhancing its market position in urticaria treatment.
- Strong Stock Performance: Novartis shares rose 0.98% to $167.80 in premarket trading on Wednesday, reaching a new 52-week high, reflecting strong buying pressure, although the RSI of 83.54 suggests potential for a pullback.
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