Trump Signs Proclamation to Strengthen Tariffs on Steel, Aluminum, and Copper
President Trump signed a proclamation to strengthen tariffs imposed on imported steel, aluminum, and copper in order to more effectively address the national-security threat posed by such imports. The proclamation "defines the way that tariffs are assessed, ensuring that they reflect the full value of imported steel, aluminum, and copper products-not an artificially low foreign price." The proclamation also establishes clear rules for calculating Section 232 metals tariffs. Articles made entirely or almost entirely of aluminum, steel, or copper will pay a flat 50% on their full value - for example, steel coils and aluminum sheet. Derivative articles substantially made of steel, aluminum, or copper will pay a flat 25% on their full value. Publicly traded companies in the steel space include ArcelorMittal (MT), Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF), Nucor (NUE), Steel Dynamics (STLD) and U.S. Steel (X). Publicly traded companies in the aluminum space include Alcoa (AA), Kaiser Aluminum (KALU), and Century Aluminum (CENX). Publicly traded companies in the copper space include Freeport McMoRan (FCX).
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- Price Range Analysis: The XME ETF has a 52-week low of $65.09 and a high of $135.6764, with the latest trade at $121.31, indicating relative stability and potential investment appeal in the current market.
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- Rating Upgrade: GLJ Research upgraded Cleveland-Cliffs from Sell to Hold with a price target of approximately $15, reflecting a significant change in evidence since last month's bearish note, despite a 0.8% decline in stock price on Tuesday.
- Market Dynamics: Analyst Gordon L. Johnson notes that hot-rolled coil prices have continued to rise during the expected weakest period, indicating a supply-led squeeze, with an unusually tight physical market colliding with a structural import wall, providing more price support than anticipated.
- Demand Analysis: Current underlying demand is running at 1.0x-1.25x normal levels, contrasting sharply with the 3x-4x post-stimulus surge of 2021, suggesting that the market is supply-driven, which may keep prices firm in the near future.
- Policy Risk Assessment: Johnson sees little risk of President Trump easing steel tariffs this year, as it could be viewed as a political liability in key Senate races in states like Ohio and Michigan.
- Market Sentiment Recovery: After a significant drop on Friday, U.S. stock futures rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.30% despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 0.17%, indicating a slight improvement in investor sentiment.
- Rising Interest Rates Impact: The S&P 500 opened with its largest gap in eight weeks, but the rise in long-term Treasury yields, with the 30-year bond closing at 5.04%, weakened market support, preventing bulls from maintaining their initial gains.
- Oil Price Volatility: Global oil inventories continue to decline despite ceasefire efforts, with Brent crude closing at $94.22, up 1.21%, reflecting market expectations for rising oil prices that could influence investment decisions in related sectors.
- Cryptocurrency Market Recovery: Bitcoin rebounded to nearly $64,200 after shedding approximately $235 billion in market value, indicating market stabilization, although investor sentiment remains cautious, which may affect future investment flows.
- Attractive Stock Screening: Companies with market capitalizations between $2B and $10B, such as Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS), Avient (AVNT), and Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (BVN), are highlighted for their relative valuation advantages, attracting the attention of value-oriented investors.
- Valuation Grades: According to Seeking Alpha's valuation grades, these companies all received a B rating, indicating they are relatively cheap within the materials sector, making them suitable candidates for investors seeking opportunities.
- Valuation Metrics Analysis: The valuation grades are based on various metrics, including P/E, PEG, EV/Sales, and EV/EBITDA, using both current and forward estimates to provide a comprehensive assessment of the companies' relative values.
- Industry Outlook: These companies not only have solid valuation foundations but may also perform well amid future market fluctuations, positioning them as focal points for investor interest.
- Honor Recognition: Cleveland-Cliffs was awarded the 2025 Supplier of the Year by General Motors at its 34th annual Supplier of the Year event, being the only North American steel producer recognized this year, highlighting its leadership in the automotive steel supply chain.
- Strategic Partnership: GM's Senior Vice President Shilpan Amin emphasized that suppliers' outstanding performance is crucial for vehicle development, and Cleveland-Cliffs' support in new technology and execution enables GM to respond faster and compete more effectively in the market.
- Commitment to Excellence: Cleveland-Cliffs' CEO Lourenco Goncalves stated that receiving this award reflects the company's commitment to providing a secure, reliable domestic supply chain and best-in-class steel products in North America, further solidifying its market position.
- Global Impact: The 2025 GM Supplier Awards recognized 103 suppliers from 14 countries, underscoring Cleveland-Cliffs' exceptional performance in key areas such as safety, innovation, and customer support, showcasing its significant role in the global automotive industry.
- Sector Performance: The materials sector, accounting for only 1.9% of the S&P 500, has outperformed the index by 700 basis points so far in 2026, indicating strong investment returns and attracting increased investor interest.
- Steel Industry Transformation: Cleveland-Cliffs, the largest U.S. producer of flat-rolled steel, has seen its stock price rise nearly 50% over the past year, and its partnership with Palantir Technologies to leverage AI in logistics and manufacturing enhances its market position.
- Gas Supplier Advantage: Air Products and Chemicals, with a $9 billion order backlog, has established itself as a major supplier of industrial gases needed for electronic component manufacturing, and its stock has risen 23.5% year-to-date, reflecting strong execution and potential for earnings growth.
- Helium Market Challenges: Linde, forming an oligopoly with Air Products in the helium market, faces supply constraints due to the war in Iran and Western sanctions, yet its long-term commitments position it well to meet helium demand, potentially driving long-term share appreciation.










