Trump Signs Proclamation to Strengthen Tariffs on Steel, Aluminum, and Copper
President Trump signed a proclamation to strengthen tariffs imposed on imported steel, aluminum, and copper in order to more effectively address the national-security threat posed by such imports. The proclamation "defines the way that tariffs are assessed, ensuring that they reflect the full value of imported steel, aluminum, and copper products-not an artificially low foreign price." The proclamation also establishes clear rules for calculating Section 232 metals tariffs. Articles made entirely or almost entirely of aluminum, steel, or copper will pay a flat 50% on their full value - for example, steel coils and aluminum sheet. Derivative articles substantially made of steel, aluminum, or copper will pay a flat 25% on their full value. Publicly traded companies in the steel space include ArcelorMittal (MT), Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF), Nucor (NUE), Steel Dynamics (STLD) and U.S. Steel (X). Publicly traded companies in the aluminum space include Alcoa (AA), Kaiser Aluminum (KALU), and Century Aluminum (CENX). Publicly traded companies in the copper space include Freeport McMoRan (FCX).
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- Century Aluminum Surge: Century Aluminum (CENX) has seen its stock price soar by 245% over the past year, significantly outperforming its peers and benchmarks, indicating a strong competitive position in the U.S. aluminum market.
- Steel Sector Performance: Steel Dynamics (STLD) and Nucor (NUE) reported gains of 48% and 45%, respectively, surpassing the S&P 500's 17% and Nasdaq's 13% increases, reflecting a positive trend across the industry.
- Tariff Policy Impact: The Trump administration's increase of aluminum and steel import tariffs from 25% to 50% has led to a mere 2% rise in Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF), highlighting performance disparities within the sector, with high-cost imports creating an aluminum sheet supply deficit exceeding 1.4 million tons.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment towards Century Aluminum remained predominantly 'bullish', with message volumes rising from 'low' to 'extremely high', while sentiment for other companies largely remained 'neutral'.
- Tariff Adjustment Plan: The Trump administration is preparing to announce changes to the tariff regime for finished steel and aluminum products this week, aiming to simplify compliance processes and potentially impacting the overall cost structure of the steel and aluminum industry.
- New Tariff Rates: The tariff on finished steel and aluminum products will be reduced from 50% to 25%, applying to the entire value of the finished product rather than just the steel or aluminum content, which may increase tariff costs for certain products.
- Scope of Impact: While many goods will see a lower tariff rate, the new policy's full-value taxation could lead to increased import costs for some products, affecting market prices and consumer spending.
- Stock Volatility: Stocks related to steel and aluminum, such as Nucor, Cleveland-Cliffs, and Alcoa, may experience fluctuations due to this policy change, prompting investors to monitor these companies' market performance and strategies in response to the new tariff regulations.
- Oil Prices and Market Pressure: Rising oil prices and bond yields, coupled with Washington's negotiations with Iran, are creating significant challenges for the stock market, as futures indicate a lower open, making it difficult for investors to commit substantial capital in this environment.
- Qualcomm Downgrade: Bernstein downgraded Qualcomm from buy to hold, citing concerns that soaring memory prices are pressuring the smartphone market, indicating a loss of confidence in Qualcomm as Wall Street shifts preference towards Arm Holdings.
- Adobe Faces Competitive Pressure: William Blair downgraded Adobe from buy to hold, highlighting intense AI competition in its core Creative Cloud business, suggesting that Adobe's high valuation may be unsustainable amid declining earnings power.
- Tyson Foods Receives Buy Rating: Mizuho initiated coverage of Tyson Foods with a buy rating, noting that increased consumer demand for nutrient-rich diets will drive growth, while the company's heavy reinvestment over the past five years is expected to enhance profitability.
- Investment Opportunity: UBS upgraded Nucor's rating from neutral to buy and raised its price target from $184 to $190, indicating a 15% upside potential, suggesting that investors should consider buying on the recent sell-off.
- Market Isolation: Analyst Andrew Jones noted that while the Iran conflict has caused supply chain bottlenecks affecting chemicals, steel, and aluminum, U.S. steel producers remain relatively insulated, with Nucor's stock down 6% over the past month but poised for recovery.
- Policy Support: Increased federal contracts for steel manufacturers and a decline in U.S. steel imports could bolster Nucor's stock, particularly in a federally supported high-price/high-volume environment, indicating a positive growth outlook for the company.
- Industry Outlook: With President Trump raising steel tariffs from 25% to 50%, increasing overseas sourcing costs, UBS's view aligns with Wall Street consensus, as two-thirds of the 18 analysts covering Nucor have a buy or strong buy rating, reflecting confidence in its future performance.
- Board Leadership Change: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has appointed Ralph “Mike” Michael III as the new Lead Independent Director, succeeding Douglas Taylor who resigned due to a change in professional circumstances, ensuring stability and continuity in the board's leadership.
- Enhanced Strategic Perspective: New director Mike Michael previously served as Chairman of AK Steel, successfully guiding its acquisition by Cleveland-Cliffs, and his extensive experience in the steel industry and capital markets will provide a more strategic perspective for the company and its shareholders.
- New Compensation Committee Chair: Edilson Camara has been appointed as the Chairman of the Compensation and Organization Committee, replacing the resigned Taylor; Camara is well-respected in the global executive search and leadership advisory field, enhancing the board's overall governance capabilities.
- Company Overview: Cleveland-Cliffs is a leading North American steel producer focused on value-added sheet products for the automotive industry, employing approximately 30,000 people and demonstrating strong market competitiveness and vertical integration capabilities.
- Board Leadership Change: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has appointed Ralph 'Mike' Michael III as the new Lead Independent Director, succeeding Douglas Taylor who resigned due to a change in professional circumstances, ensuring continued stability and governance efficiency on the Board.
- Enhanced Strategic Perspective: Michael's extensive experience in the steel industry and deep understanding of capital markets will provide a strategic perspective that further drives Cleveland-Cliffs' long-term growth and shareholder value.
- New Compensation Committee Chair: The company also named Edilson Camara as Chairman of the Compensation and Organization Committee, replacing Taylor; Camara is well-respected in the global executive search field, and his leadership will enhance the overall effectiveness of the Board.
- Company Background: Cleveland-Cliffs is a leading North American steel producer focused on value-added sheet products, particularly for the automotive industry, employing approximately 30,000 people, showcasing strong market competitiveness and industry integration capabilities.











