Trump Administration Pushes for Year-Round E15 Gasoline Sales
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Policy Initiative: The Trump administration formally requested Congress to pass legislation allowing year-round sales of 15% ethanol blended gasoline (E15), marking the first push by the White House to support the biofuels industry despite refiners' warnings about potential cost increases.
- Price Control Efforts: This initiative represents Trump's latest attempt to address rising gasoline prices, with supporters arguing that E15 offers consumers a cheaper alternative to conventional gasoline, as the national average for regular gasoline stands at $3.93 per gallon.
- Legislative Hurdles: Although the legislation permitting year-round E15 sales narrowly passed the House, it faces significant challenges in the Senate, where major bills typically require 60 votes for passage, highlighting the complexities of implementing this policy.
- Industry Impact: The policy could significantly affect several related companies, including Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Bunge (BG), and Green Plains (GPRE), which hold substantial positions in the biofuels and agriculture sectors and may benefit from the implementation of this policy.
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Analyst Views on ADM
Wall Street analysts forecast ADM stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
2 Hold
3 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 75.840
Low
50.00
Averages
56.80
High
61.00
Current: 75.840
Low
50.00
Averages
56.80
High
61.00
About ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is a global agricultural supply chain manager and processor, providing food security by connecting local needs with global capabilities. It is a human and animal nutrition provider. Its Ag Services and Oilseeds segment includes global activities related to the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, and the crushing and further processing of oilseeds, such as soybeans and soft seeds into vegetable oils and protein meals. Carbohydrate Solutions segment is engaged in corn and wheat wet and dry milling and other activities. Nutrition segment is engaged in the creation, manufacturing, sale, and distribution of a wide array of ingredients and solutions, including plant-based proteins, flavors and colors derived from nature, flavor systems, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, botanical extracts, and other specialty food and feed ingredients and systems.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Policy Initiative: The Trump administration formally requested Congress to pass legislation allowing year-round sales of 15% ethanol blended gasoline (E15), marking the first push by the White House to support the biofuels industry despite refiners' warnings about potential cost increases.
- Price Control Efforts: This initiative represents Trump's latest attempt to address rising gasoline prices, with supporters arguing that E15 offers consumers a cheaper alternative to conventional gasoline, as the national average for regular gasoline stands at $3.93 per gallon.
- Legislative Hurdles: Although the legislation permitting year-round E15 sales narrowly passed the House, it faces significant challenges in the Senate, where major bills typically require 60 votes for passage, highlighting the complexities of implementing this policy.
- Industry Impact: The policy could significantly affect several related companies, including Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Bunge (BG), and Green Plains (GPRE), which hold substantial positions in the biofuels and agriculture sectors and may benefit from the implementation of this policy.
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- Historical Shift: Cramer noted a significant change in his perspective on ADM and Tyson since 1847, which may prompt investors to reevaluate the investment potential of these two stocks in light of his endorsement.
- Market Positioning: ADM processes agricultural raw materials like corn, wheat, and oilseeds to manufacture human and animal nutrition products, highlighting its crucial role in the agricultural supply chain and potential benefits from future market demand growth.
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- Archer-Daniels-Midland Growth: Zacks Rank #2 Archer-Daniels-Midland is projected to achieve revenue and earnings growth rates of 6.5% and 32.4% for 2023, respectively, driven by a rebound in its human nutrition segment and strong North American demand.
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- Legal Disputes Impact Development: Joby Aviation's lawsuit against Archer for corporate espionage has led to declining investor confidence in the eVTOL sector, with Archer's stock down 9% this year and losing over a third of its value, indicating the negative impact of legal issues on market sentiment.
- Certification Delays: Despite the Trump administration's eVTOL Integration Pilot Program aimed at accelerating industry growth, ongoing legal battles threaten to prolong certification timelines and increase costs, as warned by H2 Advisors' Mike Hirschberg, which could hinder overall industry progress.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Archer's patent infringement lawsuit against Vertical Aerospace is ongoing, with Vertical claiming the lawsuit is
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- Price Target Upgrade: UBS raised its price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland from $70 to $90, reiterating a Buy rating, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's growth potential.
- Strong Financial Performance: In its Q1 2026 earnings call, ADM reported an adjusted EPS of $0.71 and total operating profit of $764 million, with cash flow from operations at $442 million, indicating robust profitability and cash flow management.
- Improved Market Conditions: CEO Juan Luciano noted that market conditions for biofuels improved, particularly with significant gains in soybean crush and ethanol margins, driven by expectations for renewable volume obligations in 2026 and 2027.
- Upgraded Outlook: ADM raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 to a range of $4.15 to $4.70, up from the previous range of $3.60 to $4.25, demonstrating a positive outlook for future performance.
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