Triple Flag Settles with Steppe Gold on Stream Obligations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Settlement Agreement: Triple Flag Precious Metals has reached a settlement with Steppe Gold, which has delivered all overdue gold and silver stream obligations, ensuring stability in their partnership.
- Fixed Gold Delivery Schedule: Under the agreement, Steppe Gold will deliver a total of 34,770 ounces of gold quarterly from Q3 2026 to Q4 2036, providing Triple Flag with a stable cash flow stream.
- Guidance Upgrade: As a result of the settlement and the fixed gold deliveries expected in H2, Triple Flag has raised its FY 2026 guidance to 100,000-110,000 gold equivalent ounces from the previous 95,000-105,000 ounces, reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Security Measures: The fixed gold delivery obligations are secured by the ATO mine and backed by a parent guarantee from Steppe, along with an additional corporate guarantee from Boroo Gold LLC, enhancing investor confidence in Triple Flag's future earnings.
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Analyst Views on TFPM
Wall Street analysts forecast TFPM stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 26.850
Low
31.00
Averages
37.63
High
47.55
Current: 26.850
Low
31.00
Averages
37.63
High
47.55
About TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a precious metal streaming and royalty company. It offers investors exposure to gold and silver from a total of 237 assets, consisting of 17 streams and 220 royalties, primarily from the Americas and Australia. These streams and royalties are tied to mining assets at various stages of the mine life cycle, including about 30 producing mines and 207 development and exploration stage projects. It has a diversified portfolio of properties in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d’Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa and the United States. Its diversified portfolio of streams and royalties provides exposure to production from a suite of long-life mining assets, including the Northparkes copper-gold mine in Australia (Evolution Mining), the Cerro Lindo polymetallic mine in Peru (Nexa), the Fosterville gold mine in Australia (Agnico Eagle), the Buritica gold mine in Colombia (Zijin) and the Impala Bafokeng Operations in South Africa (Implats).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Settlement Agreement: Triple Flag Precious Metals has reached a settlement with Steppe Gold, which has delivered all overdue gold and silver stream obligations, ensuring stability in their partnership.
- Fixed Gold Delivery Schedule: Under the agreement, Steppe Gold will deliver a total of 34,770 ounces of gold quarterly from Q3 2026 to Q4 2036, providing Triple Flag with a stable cash flow stream.
- Guidance Upgrade: As a result of the settlement and the fixed gold deliveries expected in H2, Triple Flag has raised its FY 2026 guidance to 100,000-110,000 gold equivalent ounces from the previous 95,000-105,000 ounces, reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Security Measures: The fixed gold delivery obligations are secured by the ATO mine and backed by a parent guarantee from Steppe, along with an additional corporate guarantee from Boroo Gold LLC, enhancing investor confidence in Triple Flag's future earnings.
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- Increased Credit Facility: Triple Flag's credit facility has been raised from $700 million to $1 billion, with an additional uncommitted accordion of up to $300 million, enhancing the company's financial flexibility and supporting future investment opportunities.
- Reduced Interest Rates: The amended credit agreement lowers the interest rate spread by 12.5 basis points, with rates set at SOFR plus 1.325% to 2.75%, which will decrease the company's financing costs and improve profitability.
- Credit Term Stability: The revised credit facility has a four-year term, maturing in May 2030, providing a stable funding source to support the company's operations and expansion plans over the coming years.
- Strong Financial Backing: The amendment was jointly led by National Bank Capital Markets, Bank of Nova Scotia, and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, reflecting market confidence in Triple Flag's business model and enhancing the company's reputation among investors.
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- Record Revenue Growth: Wheaton Precious Metals reported Q1 2026 revenue of $901.5 million, up 91.6% year-on-year, driven by a $4.3 billion silver stream deal with BHP, marking the largest transaction in the company's history and showcasing its robust performance in the precious metals market.
- Strong Profitability: Royal Gold achieved record revenue of $469.1 million in the same quarter, a 142.5% increase, with an 83% adjusted EBITDA margin reflecting the successful integration of its 2025 acquisitions of Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper, further solidifying its position in the mid-tier royalty space.
- Diversified Asset Portfolio: Franco-Nevada's 2026 Asset Handbook reveals 121 cash-flow producing assets generating $1.66 billion of adjusted EBITDA in 2025, with no debt and a 19-year streak of dividend increases, illustrating its stability and attractiveness in the precious metals sector.
- Project Potential Unveiled: Greenland Mines' recent sensitivity analysis on the Skaergaard project indicates a 45% and 55% uplift in palladium-equivalent grades for indicated and inferred resources, respectively, highlighting the project's potential value in a rising metal price environment and attracting increased investor interest.
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- Election Results: At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 6, 2026, all nine nominated directors of Triple Flag were elected, with Dawn Whittaker receiving 94.42% of the votes, indicating strong shareholder confidence in the management team.
- Voting Details: The voting results revealed that Susan Allen and Mark Cicirelli garnered support rates of 99.64% and 99.91%, respectively, highlighting the stability of the company's governance structure and shareholder confidence in its future direction.
- Auditor Appointment: Shareholders unanimously approved the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as the company's auditor, enhancing financial transparency and compliance, which is crucial for maintaining investor trust in financial reporting.
- Say-on-Pay Resolution: The shareholders supported the advisory resolution on executive compensation, reflecting approval of the company's pay policies aimed at attracting and retaining top talent to drive long-term growth.
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- Earnings Beat: Triple Flag Precious Metals reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.45, exceeding estimates by $0.03, indicating a robust profitability trend that underscores its strong positioning in the gold and silver markets.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $146.99 million in Q1, representing a 78.7% year-over-year increase, aligning with market expectations and demonstrating effective strategies in resource extraction and sales.
- Guidance Maintained: Triple Flag maintains its sales guidance for 2026 at 95,000 to 105,000 GEOs and its 2030 outlook at 140,000 to 150,000 GEOs, reflecting confidence in future growth and a stable operational plan.
- Commodity Sales Breakdown: In Q1, GEOs sold included 18,249 ounces of gold, 11,567 ounces of silver, and 350 ounces of copper and others, totaling 30,166, showcasing the company's success in a diversified product portfolio that enhances its market competitiveness.
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- Earnings Announcement: Triple Flag Precious Metals is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on May 5th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.42, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 110%, indicating strong profitability.
- Strong Revenue Expectations: The revenue for Q1 is projected to reach $147 million, representing a 78.7% year-over-year growth, showcasing robust market demand and growth potential in the gold streaming sector.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Triple Flag has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating reliability in financial forecasting and performance.
- Upward Revision Trend: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen four upward revisions with no downward adjustments, indicating increased analyst confidence in the company's future performance, which may further drive stock price appreciation.
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