Two Cryptocurrency Stocks Benefit from Bitcoin's All-Time Highs
Recent Performance of Bullish and MARA Holdings: Both Bullish and MARA Holdings have seen significant gains of over 30% in the past month, with Bullish launching a spot crypto exchange for U.S. institutional investors and MARA reporting a 4% increase in Bitcoin production.
Market Trends in Cryptocurrency: October has been favorable for cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin rising 7% this month, driven by factors such as the government shutdown, which has increased interest in alternative assets like crypto and gold.
Investment Considerations: When investing in Bitcoin-related companies, it's important to assess how integral Bitcoin is to their business model, including the amount held and the potential risks associated with price fluctuations.
Stock Advisor Recommendations: The Motley Fool's Stock Advisor has identified ten top stocks for investment, notably excluding Bullish, while highlighting the historical success of their recommendations compared to the S&P 500.
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Analyst Views on MARA
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- Tech Stock Weakness: Apple’s stock fell over 6% after raising prices on Macs, iPads, and Vision Pro to offset memory chip shortages, significantly dragging down the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, highlighting the vulnerability of tech stocks in the current market.
- Chip Sector Strength: Micron Technology’s forecast of $50 billion in Q4 revenue, well above the $43.24 billion consensus, led to a 15% stock surge, bolstering investor confidence in the AI sector and potentially driving growth across related industries.
- Positive Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 215,000, below the expected 225,000, indicating a robust labor market, while May personal spending and income exceeded expectations, suggesting sustained consumer spending that could support the stock market.
- International Market Rally: European and Asian stock markets closed higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 and Japan’s Nikkei 225 rising by 0.85% and 4.61%, respectively, reflecting global optimism about the US economic recovery, which may provide support for US stocks.
- Chipmaker Surge: US stocks rose today, led by Micron Technology's forecast of $50 billion in Q4 revenue, significantly above the $43.24 billion consensus, resulting in an 11% stock price increase and bolstering the bullish case for AI trades.
- Positive Economic Indicators: US economic data revealed an upward revision of Q1 GDP to 2.1%, surpassing the expected 1.6%, while weekly initial jobless claims fell by 12,000 to 215,000, indicating a robust labor market that enhances market confidence.
- Improved Inflation Expectations: The May core PCE price index rose 3.4% year-over-year, aligning with expectations, and the 10-year Treasury yield dropped to a 6-week low of 4.36%, providing support for stocks and alleviating investor concerns about rate hikes.
- Apple's Stock Decline: Despite overall market gains, Apple's stock fell over 5% after raising prices on Macs and iPads to offset memory chip shortages, which limited the broader market's upward momentum.
- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.10% and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 0.43%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.35%, indicating a divergence in market sentiment, particularly under pressure from chipmakers.
- Chip Sector Pressure: Ahead of Micron Technology's earnings report, chipmakers saw declines, reflecting market concerns over AI infrastructure demand, despite Micron's stock rising over 260% this year, highlighting the volatility in tech stocks.
- Oil Price Impact: WTI crude oil prices sank to a 3.5-month low, leading to a drop in bond yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling to 4.40%, benefiting sectors like homebuilders and airlines by enhancing profit outlooks amid lower fuel costs.
- Decline in New Home Sales: U.S. May new home sales unexpectedly fell by 7.3% to 580,000 units, below the expected 640,000, indicating weakness in the housing market that could affect future economic growth expectations.
- Market Performance Outlook: Citizens has initiated Buy ratings on MARA, BTDR, CLSK, and KEEL, anticipating that these companies will benefit from the growing demand for high-performance computing, particularly as they transition from bitcoin mining capabilities, with expected market performance surpassing the S&P 500.
- Price Target Setting: The price targets are set at $35 for BTDR, $27 for CLSK, $10 for KEEL, and $24 for MARA, reflecting analysts' optimistic expectations for these companies' future performance and demonstrating strong market confidence.
- Improved Economic Conditions: Analyst Greg Miller noted that since coverage began a year ago, the economic terms for suppliers have significantly improved, indicating a sustained increase in market demand for powered capacity, further enhancing the growth potential of these companies.
- Industry Trend Analysis: As more companies repurpose power resources originally used for bitcoin mining into high-performance computing, this trend not only enhances the competitiveness of these firms but also provides excellent opportunities for expanding their market share among large enterprise clients.
- Citi Upgrade: Citi upgraded Macerich from Neutral to Buy, raising the target price from $24 to $28, indicating strong balance sheet strength that is expected to drive stock price appreciation.
- Citizens Initiation: Citizens initiated coverage on Bitdeer Holdings and Mara Holdings, stating that these bitcoin miners have significant potential to outperform the market by repurposing existing power capacity for high-performance computing.
- Mizuho's Biotech Outlook: Mizuho initiated coverage of Sol-Gel Technologies with an Outperform rating and a $285 price target, suggesting that the biotech firm is well-positioned for future growth in a competitive landscape.
- Goldman on Twilio: Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Twilio with a Buy rating and a 12-month price target of $300, highlighting expected margin upside that reflects strong confidence in the company's financial prospects.
- Price Target Setting: Citizens has set price targets of $24 for MARA Holdings, $27 for CleanSpark, and $35 for Bitdeer Technologies, indicating potential upside of 59% to 106% from Tuesday's closing prices, reflecting confidence in the future profitability of these miners.
- Market Performance Analysis: Analyst Greg Miller noted that as Bitcoin miners pivot to high-performance computing (HPC), these companies will leverage power originally used for mining to meet the growing demand for computing capacity, thereby enhancing their market competitiveness and improving economic viability.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Despite Bitdeer showing the highest potential gain of 106%, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains in the 'bearish' zone, while MARA and CleanSpark are rated 'neutral' and 'bearish', respectively, indicating cautious market sentiment regarding their profitability prospects.
- Profitability Challenges: While Citizens maintains an optimistic outlook for these miners, all three are facing significant losses, with MARA reporting a net loss of approximately $1.26 billion in its latest quarter, CleanSpark losing $378.3 million, and Bitdeer showing a negative gross margin in Q1, highlighting severe operational challenges.











