The Implied Analyst 12-Month Target For XSMO
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 04 2025
0mins
Should l Buy SLVM?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Invesco S&P SmallCap Momentum ETF (XSMO) has an implied analyst target price of $78.80, indicating a potential upside of 24.72% from its current trading price of $63.18.
Stock Performance Insights: Notable underlying holdings like Liberty Energy Inc, Sylvamo Corp, and Piper Sandler Companies show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, raising questions about the validity of these targets in light of recent market developments.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy SLVM?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on SLVM
Wall Street analysts forecast SLVM stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 52.060
Low
53.00
Averages
61.67
High
75.00
Current: 52.060
Low
53.00
Averages
61.67
High
75.00
About SLVM
Sylvamo Corporation is a paper company, which produces uncoated freesheet (UFS) for paper products such as cutsize and offset paper, as well as market pulp. The Company's segments include Europe, Latin America and North America. Europe segment produces a broad portfolio of uncoated freesheet papers for numerous uses and applications, and market pulp. The Company operates two integrated mills in the region, one in Saillat, France and one in Nymolla, Sweden. Its Saillat mill produces both paper and market pulp. Latin America segment is focused on uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp, supported by the management of approximately 250,000 acres of certified eucalyptus forestlands in Brazil. North America segment’s paper business manufactures uncoated freesheet papers at its mills in Eastover, South Carolina and Ticonderoga, New York. North America segment’s papers business comprises three product lines: Imaging Papers, Commercial Printing Papers and Converting Papers.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Sylvamo Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Sylvamo reported adjusted EBITDA of $125 million in Q4 2025, down from $151 million in the previous quarter, primarily due to an unfavorable price and mix impact of $21 million, indicating increasing market pressures.
- Strategic Transformation Plans: CEO John Sims emphasized that the company will discontinue quarterly adjusted EBITDA guidance to attract long-term investors and focus on long-term value creation, reflecting the company's confidence and commitment to future growth.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: Capital spending for 2026 is projected at $245 million, mainly for the Eastover mill investment, with management anticipating $85 million in one-time costs in 2026, indicating financial pressures during the transition period.
- Market Challenges and Responses: Management noted ongoing margin compression and high wood costs in the European market, although a decline in wood costs is expected; however, the company must still navigate a $95 million negative EBITDA impact in North America during the transition.
See More
Sylvamo (SLVM) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Sylvamo Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Sylvamo reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.08, exceeding expectations by $0.02, indicating stable profitability and enhanced market confidence.
- Revenue Performance: Despite an 8.2% year-over-year decline in revenue to $890 million, the figure surpassed analyst expectations by $31.24 million, demonstrating the company's resilience in challenging market conditions.
- Net Income and EBITDA: The company generated a net income of $33 million in Q4, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $125 million, reflecting a 14% margin, showcasing successful cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cash Flow Position: Operating cash flow was $94 million, with free cash flow at $38 million, indicating robust cash management that supports future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Sylvamo to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 12
- Earnings Announcement: Sylvamo (SLVM) is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 12 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.06, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 45.9%, indicating substantial pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Decline: The expected revenue for Q4 is $858.76 million, down 11.5% year-over-year, which highlights weak market demand and industry challenges that could pose risks to the company's future growth.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Sylvamo has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, although recent downward revisions of 3 for both EPS and revenue suggest a weakening market confidence.
- Leadership Changes: The newly appointed CEO of Sylvamo has been added to the board, indicating a strategic shift in leadership aimed at addressing current market challenges and driving future business development.
See More
Packaging & Containers Sector Declines 1.5% on Friday
- Market Weakness: The packaging and containers sector experienced a decline of approximately 1.5% on Friday, indicating a weak trend that may affect investor confidence in the industry.
- Stock Underperformance: Eightco Holdings fell by about 2.6%, while Ranpak Holdings dropped approximately 2.3%, making them the primary contributors to the sector's decline, reflecting market concerns about their future performance.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: Given the overall market sentiment, investors may reassess their investment strategies in the packaging and containers sector, potentially impacting future capital inflows.
- Investor Vigilance: As market volatility increases, investors should closely monitor fundamental changes within the industry to timely adjust their portfolios and mitigate potential risks.
See More
Sylvamo (NYSE:SLVM) Releases Shareowner Letter from CEO, 2024 Net Sales Projected at $3.8 Billion
- Company Overview: Sylvamo is the world's leading paper company with mills across Europe, Latin America, and North America, focused on transforming renewable resources into papers essential for education, communication, and entertainment.
- Employee Base: Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company employs over 6,500 colleagues, reflecting its significant position in the industry and commitment to human resources.
- Sales Performance: Projected net sales for 2024 are expected to reach $3.8 billion, indicating strong market performance and ongoing growth potential for the company.
- Investor Relations: CEO John Sims has released a letter to shareholders, emphasizing the company's vision to be the employer, supplier, and investment of choice, further enhancing communication with investors.
See More
Sylvamo Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Sylvamo reported adjusted EBITDA of $125 million in Q4 2025, down from $151 million in the previous quarter, primarily due to an unfavorable price and mix impact of $21 million, indicating increasing market pressures.
- Strategic Transformation Plans: CEO John Sims emphasized that the company will discontinue quarterly adjusted EBITDA guidance to attract long-term investors and focus on long-term value creation, reflecting the company's confidence and commitment to future growth.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: Capital spending for 2026 is projected at $245 million, mainly for the Eastover mill investment, with management anticipating $85 million in one-time costs in 2026, indicating financial pressures during the transition period.
- Market Challenges and Responses: Management noted ongoing margin compression and high wood costs in the European market, although a decline in wood costs is expected; however, the company must still navigate a $95 million negative EBITDA impact in North America during the transition.
See More
Sylvamo (SLVM) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Sylvamo Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Sylvamo reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.08, exceeding expectations by $0.02, indicating stable profitability and enhanced market confidence.
- Revenue Performance: Despite an 8.2% year-over-year decline in revenue to $890 million, the figure surpassed analyst expectations by $31.24 million, demonstrating the company's resilience in challenging market conditions.
- Net Income and EBITDA: The company generated a net income of $33 million in Q4, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $125 million, reflecting a 14% margin, showcasing successful cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cash Flow Position: Operating cash flow was $94 million, with free cash flow at $38 million, indicating robust cash management that supports future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Sylvamo to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 12
- Earnings Announcement: Sylvamo (SLVM) is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 12 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.06, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 45.9%, indicating substantial pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Decline: The expected revenue for Q4 is $858.76 million, down 11.5% year-over-year, which highlights weak market demand and industry challenges that could pose risks to the company's future growth.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Sylvamo has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, although recent downward revisions of 3 for both EPS and revenue suggest a weakening market confidence.
- Leadership Changes: The newly appointed CEO of Sylvamo has been added to the board, indicating a strategic shift in leadership aimed at addressing current market challenges and driving future business development.
See More
Packaging & Containers Sector Declines 1.5% on Friday
- Market Weakness: The packaging and containers sector experienced a decline of approximately 1.5% on Friday, indicating a weak trend that may affect investor confidence in the industry.
- Stock Underperformance: Eightco Holdings fell by about 2.6%, while Ranpak Holdings dropped approximately 2.3%, making them the primary contributors to the sector's decline, reflecting market concerns about their future performance.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: Given the overall market sentiment, investors may reassess their investment strategies in the packaging and containers sector, potentially impacting future capital inflows.
- Investor Vigilance: As market volatility increases, investors should closely monitor fundamental changes within the industry to timely adjust their portfolios and mitigate potential risks.
See More
Sylvamo (NYSE:SLVM) Releases Shareowner Letter from CEO, 2024 Net Sales Projected at $3.8 Billion
- Company Overview: Sylvamo is the world's leading paper company with mills across Europe, Latin America, and North America, focused on transforming renewable resources into papers essential for education, communication, and entertainment.
- Employee Base: Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company employs over 6,500 colleagues, reflecting its significant position in the industry and commitment to human resources.
- Sales Performance: Projected net sales for 2024 are expected to reach $3.8 billion, indicating strong market performance and ongoing growth potential for the company.
- Investor Relations: CEO John Sims has released a letter to shareholders, emphasizing the company's vision to be the employer, supplier, and investment of choice, further enhancing communication with investors.
See More
