Tesla Shifts Focus to FSD and Robotaxis Ahead of Q4 Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: Benzinga
- Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Tesla's Q4 revenue at $24.9 billion, down from $25.71 billion year-over-year, indicating challenges in the electric vehicle market and fluctuating demand.
- Profitability Analysis: Expected earnings per share of $0.40, significantly lower than last year's $0.73, reflects pressure on Tesla's profitability, which may impact investor confidence.
- Robotaxi Strategy: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives highlights Tesla's focus on robotaxi progress, with Cybercab production expected to ramp up in April/May, a strategy that could reshape the company's growth outlook.
- Shareholder Questions: Key shareholder inquiries for the earnings call include whether long-term investors will receive priority access to the SpaceX IPO, a question that could influence Tesla's stock price volatility.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 399.830
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 399.830
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Significant Sales Decline: Cybertruck sales dropped from 39,965 units in 2024 to 20,237 units in 2025, marking a 48% year-over-year decrease, indicating weak market demand and necessitating a reassessment of production plans to address lower-than-expected demand.
- Production Capacity Adjustments: Musk initially planned for an annual production of 250,000 Cybertrucks, but current demand is less than 10% of that target, and Tesla faces challenges in balancing resources between producing the Optimus Bot humanoid robot and the Cybertruck.
- International Market Expansion: The Cybertruck has recently begun sales in international markets, yet Tesla must closely monitor actual demand growth and consider whether to publicly share sales figures to bolster market confidence.
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- Weak Demand Impact: Despite Musk's prediction of up to 500,000 annual Cybertruck sales, actual sales in 2025 were only 50,850 units, reflecting lower-than-expected market acceptance, which could adversely affect Tesla's overall performance.
- Product Design Controversy: The Cybertruck's angular design has sparked mixed opinions, with some consumers deeming it unattractive, potentially impacting purchase decisions, especially given its higher-than-expected price compared to the 2019 unveiling.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Although TSLA stock has gained 24% over the past year, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains in the 'bullish' territory, suggesting investors are cautiously optimistic about future performance.
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- Insufficient AI Investment: Compared to Tesla and Rivian, Lucid's limited financial power restricts its ability to invest in AI, and its delay in launching vehicles priced under $50,000 hampers its scalability and data generation capabilities.
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- Market Expansion Potential: This partnership could open new market opportunities for SpaceX, especially in light of its existing contracts with the Department of Defense and NASA, potentially supporting its future IPO plans and boosting investor confidence.
- Technology Accessibility Goals: Microsoft set a goal in 2022 to provide internet access to over 250 million people by the end of 2025, and it has already extended coverage to over 299 million people, demonstrating its proactive role and strategic positioning in the global digital transformation.
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