SpaceX's IPO Debuts Strongly with 19% Gain
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- First Day Trading Performance: SpaceX began trading on June 12 at $135 per share, reaching a high of $175 on its first day and closing at $160.95, resulting in a more than 19% gain, indicating strong investor enthusiasm.
- Market Valuation Analysis: At IPO, SpaceX was valued at $1.8 trillion with a P/S ratio of 94, and its current market cap is approximately $2.4 trillion, reflecting a lofty P/S ratio of 128, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.7, showcasing high growth expectations.
- Financial Overview: Despite a widened first-quarter loss of $4.3 billion, SpaceX's revenue grew by 15.4% year-over-year to $4.7 billion, with its connectivity segment seeing a 31.6% increase to $3.3 billion, indicating potential profitability.
- Future Growth Expectations: If revenue continues to grow at the first-quarter rate, it could reach $21.5 billion by 2026, but high market expectations may lead to stock volatility, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
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About SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. designs, manufactures, launches, and operates products and services built on technologies, including rockets and spacecraft. The Company's segments include Space, Connectivity, and artificial intelligence (AI). Its Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. Its Connectivity segment operates broadband data and communications network powered by approximately 9,600 Starlink broadband and mobile satellites in Low-Earth orbit, delivering connectivity to consumer, enterprises, and government customers over 164 countries, territories, and other markets. In its AI segment, it operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning its truth-seeking frontier model Grok, AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers, X-its real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform and AI computational infrastructure.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SpaceX Stock Volatility and Long-Term Investment Outlook
- Stock Volatility Analysis: SpaceX closed down 3.6% on its fifth day of trading, marking an 18% decline from its all-time high of $225.64 on June 16, although it remains significantly up from its IPO price of $135, indicating market uncertainty about its future.
- Financial Performance Overview: The company reported a net loss of $4.94 billion in 2025, with its primary revenue driver being the Starlink satellite network; however, its AI initiative through xAI could present greater growth potential, with the first AI compute satellites expected to launch in 2028.
- Market Supply-Demand Dynamics: SpaceX raised $75 billion by selling 555 million shares at $135 each, but currently, only about 5% of total shares are available for trading, which could increase to 37% by late August, highlighting a scarcity of shares in the market.
- Investment Strategy Recommendation: Given its current market cap exceeding $2 trillion, investors should approach SpaceX cautiously, suggesting it be added to a watch list to monitor technological and market developments rather than making investment decisions based solely on stock price fluctuations.
See More
SpaceX's Stock Soars Nearly 50% Post-IPO, Market Value Hits $2.6 Trillion
- Strong IPO Performance: SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share, opened at $150, and closed at $160.95, yielding a roughly 19% gain for investors on the first day, reflecting robust market demand and investor confidence.
- Market Leadership: In 2025, SpaceX completed 161 commercial launches, capturing 82% of the U.S. market share and carrying over 80% of global satellite and spacecraft weight, solidifying its position as an industry leader.
- Starlink Business Growth: Starlink generated $11.4 billion in revenue in 2025, becoming SpaceX's only profitable segment, although the average revenue per user fell to $66, indicating increased competition and pricing pressures in the market.
- AI Revenue Growth and Risks: SpaceX's AI revenue reached $3.2 billion in 2025, up 22.2% year-over-year, but faced $6.4 billion in operating losses and $12.7 billion in capital expenditures, highlighting significant execution risks and uncertainty regarding future profitability.
See More
SpaceX IPO Surge and Investment Opportunities
- IPO Popularity: SpaceX's IPO has emerged as one of the hottest events on the financial calendar this year, with an initial price of $135, and many retail investors unable to secure their desired shares, highlighting strong market interest and demand for space exploration.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain indirect exposure to SpaceX by purchasing ETFs that include the company, such as the ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX), which allocates 9.4% to SpaceX; despite a 0.75% expense ratio, it has generated over 65% returns in the past year, indicating significant investment potential.
- Supplier Investment Potential: Major suppliers to SpaceX, like Redwire and Filtronic, are likely to benefit from the company's substantial funding and increased demand, with Redwire focusing on space infrastructure construction, which is expected to drive its stock price higher.
- Long-Term Investment Perspective: Investors should consider their long-term allocation to SpaceX within their portfolios, as companies like Alphabet hold a 6% stake in SpaceX, reflecting confidence from large tech firms in its future growth, and it is advisable to monitor its performance over the next 5 to 25 years.
See More
Tesla Semi Truck Orders Surge Amid Strong Performance
- Significant Order Growth: ArcBest's recent purchase of two Tesla Semi EVs, based on an impressive average of 1.55 kWh per mile during a 2025 pilot program, indicates strong demand for electric trucks, which is expected to drive Tesla's further penetration into the truck market.
- Notable Efficiency Improvement: The Tesla Semi's efficiency performance exceeded expectations, with ArcBest's testing revealing an efficiency of 1.55 kWh/mile, better than Musk's 2022 promise of 1.7 kWh/mile, showcasing Tesla's technological advancements in the electric truck sector.
- Positive Market Reception: Increasing numbers of truckers are praising the Tesla Semi, with Covenant Logistics expressing amazement at its performance on steep roads during tests in Southern California, providing strong support for Tesla's competitiveness in the electric heavy-duty truck market.
- Accelerated Production and Rising Orders: Tesla began high-volume production in April, with WattEV ordering 370 Semis worth approximately $100 million, indicating a rising demand for electric trucks amid soaring fuel prices and increasing market uncertainty.
See More
US Stock Market Volatility Amid SpaceX Bond Launch
- SpaceX Bond Launch: SpaceX initiated its first bond offering since its IPO, with shares plummeting 16% amid concerns over financial health, which could impact future fundraising capabilities as the company did not disclose pricing or target amounts.
- Divergent Market Performance: The S&P 500 fell 0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.2%, while the Dow Jones rose 0.3%, indicating investor caution towards tech stocks, with the Dow benefiting from lower oil prices, highlighting significant sector disparities.
- International Developments: The U.S. and Iran agreed on a 60-day roadmap for peace and allowed Iran to sell oil internationally, easing war-related market jitters, which contributed to a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude futures closing at $77.90 per barrel.
- Investor Focus on Data: This week, investors will shift their attention to the personal consumption expenditures price index and the Fed's inflation gauge, which are expected to influence market sentiment, especially with Micron Technologies set to release quarterly results, reflecting ongoing demand for storage and memory.
See More
SpaceX Faces Volatile Stock Action Post-IPO
- Volatile Stock Performance: Since going public on June 12, SpaceX's stock has experienced significant volatility, soaring from an IPO price of $135 to a peak of $225, but has since retreated to around $180 to $185, indicating market uncertainty about its future performance.
- Complex Lockup Provisions: Unlike typical IPO stocks, SpaceX's staggered lockup provisions allow insiders to sell shares as early as late summer, which could flood the market with new shares and exert downward pressure on the stock price.
- Diverging Market Confidence: While some investors remain optimistic about SpaceX's long-term prospects, more cautious investors may prefer high-quality dividend stocks for steadier returns, reflecting a growing preference for stability in the current market environment.
- Strong Competitor Performance: In this market context, companies like Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, and Procter & Gamble, known for their stable dividend growth, are viewed as safer investment choices, highlighting a shift in investor sentiment towards more reliable returns.
See More
SpaceX Stock Volatility and Long-Term Investment Outlook
- Stock Volatility Analysis: SpaceX closed down 3.6% on its fifth day of trading, marking an 18% decline from its all-time high of $225.64 on June 16, although it remains significantly up from its IPO price of $135, indicating market uncertainty about its future.
- Financial Performance Overview: The company reported a net loss of $4.94 billion in 2025, with its primary revenue driver being the Starlink satellite network; however, its AI initiative through xAI could present greater growth potential, with the first AI compute satellites expected to launch in 2028.
- Market Supply-Demand Dynamics: SpaceX raised $75 billion by selling 555 million shares at $135 each, but currently, only about 5% of total shares are available for trading, which could increase to 37% by late August, highlighting a scarcity of shares in the market.
- Investment Strategy Recommendation: Given its current market cap exceeding $2 trillion, investors should approach SpaceX cautiously, suggesting it be added to a watch list to monitor technological and market developments rather than making investment decisions based solely on stock price fluctuations.
See More
SpaceX's Stock Soars Nearly 50% Post-IPO, Market Value Hits $2.6 Trillion
- Strong IPO Performance: SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share, opened at $150, and closed at $160.95, yielding a roughly 19% gain for investors on the first day, reflecting robust market demand and investor confidence.
- Market Leadership: In 2025, SpaceX completed 161 commercial launches, capturing 82% of the U.S. market share and carrying over 80% of global satellite and spacecraft weight, solidifying its position as an industry leader.
- Starlink Business Growth: Starlink generated $11.4 billion in revenue in 2025, becoming SpaceX's only profitable segment, although the average revenue per user fell to $66, indicating increased competition and pricing pressures in the market.
- AI Revenue Growth and Risks: SpaceX's AI revenue reached $3.2 billion in 2025, up 22.2% year-over-year, but faced $6.4 billion in operating losses and $12.7 billion in capital expenditures, highlighting significant execution risks and uncertainty regarding future profitability.
See More
SpaceX IPO Surge and Investment Opportunities
- IPO Popularity: SpaceX's IPO has emerged as one of the hottest events on the financial calendar this year, with an initial price of $135, and many retail investors unable to secure their desired shares, highlighting strong market interest and demand for space exploration.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain indirect exposure to SpaceX by purchasing ETFs that include the company, such as the ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX), which allocates 9.4% to SpaceX; despite a 0.75% expense ratio, it has generated over 65% returns in the past year, indicating significant investment potential.
- Supplier Investment Potential: Major suppliers to SpaceX, like Redwire and Filtronic, are likely to benefit from the company's substantial funding and increased demand, with Redwire focusing on space infrastructure construction, which is expected to drive its stock price higher.
- Long-Term Investment Perspective: Investors should consider their long-term allocation to SpaceX within their portfolios, as companies like Alphabet hold a 6% stake in SpaceX, reflecting confidence from large tech firms in its future growth, and it is advisable to monitor its performance over the next 5 to 25 years.
See More
Tesla Semi Truck Orders Surge Amid Strong Performance
- Significant Order Growth: ArcBest's recent purchase of two Tesla Semi EVs, based on an impressive average of 1.55 kWh per mile during a 2025 pilot program, indicates strong demand for electric trucks, which is expected to drive Tesla's further penetration into the truck market.
- Notable Efficiency Improvement: The Tesla Semi's efficiency performance exceeded expectations, with ArcBest's testing revealing an efficiency of 1.55 kWh/mile, better than Musk's 2022 promise of 1.7 kWh/mile, showcasing Tesla's technological advancements in the electric truck sector.
- Positive Market Reception: Increasing numbers of truckers are praising the Tesla Semi, with Covenant Logistics expressing amazement at its performance on steep roads during tests in Southern California, providing strong support for Tesla's competitiveness in the electric heavy-duty truck market.
- Accelerated Production and Rising Orders: Tesla began high-volume production in April, with WattEV ordering 370 Semis worth approximately $100 million, indicating a rising demand for electric trucks amid soaring fuel prices and increasing market uncertainty.
See More
US Stock Market Volatility Amid SpaceX Bond Launch
- SpaceX Bond Launch: SpaceX initiated its first bond offering since its IPO, with shares plummeting 16% amid concerns over financial health, which could impact future fundraising capabilities as the company did not disclose pricing or target amounts.
- Divergent Market Performance: The S&P 500 fell 0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.2%, while the Dow Jones rose 0.3%, indicating investor caution towards tech stocks, with the Dow benefiting from lower oil prices, highlighting significant sector disparities.
- International Developments: The U.S. and Iran agreed on a 60-day roadmap for peace and allowed Iran to sell oil internationally, easing war-related market jitters, which contributed to a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude futures closing at $77.90 per barrel.
- Investor Focus on Data: This week, investors will shift their attention to the personal consumption expenditures price index and the Fed's inflation gauge, which are expected to influence market sentiment, especially with Micron Technologies set to release quarterly results, reflecting ongoing demand for storage and memory.
See More
SpaceX Faces Volatile Stock Action Post-IPO
- Volatile Stock Performance: Since going public on June 12, SpaceX's stock has experienced significant volatility, soaring from an IPO price of $135 to a peak of $225, but has since retreated to around $180 to $185, indicating market uncertainty about its future performance.
- Complex Lockup Provisions: Unlike typical IPO stocks, SpaceX's staggered lockup provisions allow insiders to sell shares as early as late summer, which could flood the market with new shares and exert downward pressure on the stock price.
- Diverging Market Confidence: While some investors remain optimistic about SpaceX's long-term prospects, more cautious investors may prefer high-quality dividend stocks for steadier returns, reflecting a growing preference for stability in the current market environment.
- Strong Competitor Performance: In this market context, companies like Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, and Procter & Gamble, known for their stable dividend growth, are viewed as safer investment choices, highlighting a shift in investor sentiment towards more reliable returns.
See More
