SoFi Misses Latest S&P 500 Inclusion but May Qualify Soon
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- Market Entry Threshold: SoFi Technologies currently has a market cap of $22.2 billion, falling short of the $22.7 billion required for S&P 500 inclusion, indicating competitive pressures despite a previous high of $38 billion.
- Profitability Performance: SoFi has reported positive net income for the last 10 quarters, with $0.12 in the most recent quarter and $0.44 over the trailing 12 months, demonstrating stable profitability that could support future market performance.
- Index Inclusion Impact: Should SoFi be included in the S&P 500, it is expected to attract significant institutional investment, particularly from the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF with $1.7 trillion in assets, which would necessitate large stock purchases and potentially boost its price in the short term.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Although currently not included in the S&P 500, SoFi's growth potential in long-term financial innovation continues to attract investor interest, potentially serving as a reason for investment, especially as its business expands.
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Analyst Views on SOFI
Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 18.440
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
Current: 18.440
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
About SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc. is a member-centric, one-stop shop for digital financial services. The Company, through its lending and financial services products, allows members to borrow, save, spend, invest and protect their money. The Company's segments include Lending, Technology Platform and Financial Services. The Lending segment offers personal loans, student loans, home loans and related servicing to help its members with a variety of financial needs. Its platform supports the full transaction lifecycle, including credit application, underwriting, approval, funding and servicing. The Technology Platform segment provides services through a diversified suite of offerings which include an event and authorization platform accessed via application programming interfaces, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform and services related to both platforms. The Financial Services segment offers a suite of financial services solutions, including SoFi Money and SoFi Invest.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SoFi's Transformation After National Bank Charter Boosts Growth
- Business Transformation: SoFi has rapidly evolved from offering alumni loans to a comprehensive digital financial services platform after obtaining its national bank charter, with total deposits skyrocketing from $1.2 billion in 2022 to $40.2 billion, indicating strong market demand and user growth.
- Lower Funding Costs: By acquiring Golden Pacific Bancorp, SoFi significantly reduced its funding costs, with 94% of its total liabilities ($42.9 billion) now represented by deposits, which boosted its net interest income to over $2.2 billion in 2025, a staggering 781% increase from 2021.
- Deposit Attractiveness: SoFi's savings account offers a 3.1% annual percentage yield, well above the national average, attracting substantial customer deposits and enhancing customer stickiness, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management anticipates adjusted earnings per share to grow at a compound annual rate of 40% over the next three years, indicating that with the support of its national bank charter, SoFi's profitability and market outlook will continue to improve.
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Impact of SoFi's Bank Charter Transformation
- Business Transformation: SoFi's acquisition of a national bank charter in 2022 fundamentally changed its funding model, shifting from reliance on expensive securitized debt to more cost-effective deposit funding, significantly enhancing the company's financial flexibility.
- Deposit Growth: As of Q1 2026, SoFi's total deposits reached $40.2 billion, a dramatic increase from $1.2 billion four years prior, indicating strong demand for its tech-enabled platform and bolstering the company's competitive position in the market.
- Surge in Net Interest Income: In 2025, SoFi's net interest income skyrocketed from $252 million in 2021 to over $2.2 billion, a staggering 781% increase, supported by deposits constituting 94% of total liabilities, providing a stable revenue stream for the company.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates adjusted earnings per share to grow at a compound annual rate of 40% over the next three years, suggesting that with the backing of its national bank charter, SoFi is poised for sustainable profit growth, attracting the attention of long-term investors.
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- Diverse Investment Options: The platform offers three primary investment methods, including designing custom strategies from scratch, selecting from over 2,000 community-built strategies, or building diversified portfolios that combine multiple approaches, catering to various investor needs.
- Transparent Control: Unlike autonomous trading bots, Composer uses AI to build transparent, rules-based strategies that allow investors to back-test against historical data before activation, thereby enhancing investor control and confidence.
- Integration and Expansion: Composer will be integrated into the main SoFi platform, with expanded access provided to SoFi Plus members, simplifying the systematic investing process and further strengthening SoFi's competitive position in the fintech sector.
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- Diverse Funding Sources: In addition to the federal government's initial contribution, certain children may receive a $250 donation from tech CEO Michael Dell and his wife Susan, along with potential contributions from their parents' employers, showcasing a diversified funding support mechanism.
- Wealth Growth Potential: Projections on the Trump Accounts website suggest that without additional contributions, a child's account could grow to $243,000 by age 55, although research by Morningstar indicates a more conservative estimate of $38,000, reflecting the impact of investor behavior and family income.
- Importance of Long-Term Investment: Morningstar emphasizes that ongoing contributions from families and employers are crucial for wealth accumulation, with average account holders expected to have $3,324 at age 18, which could rise to $15,154 with an annual contribution of $250, highlighting the necessity of regular investments.
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- SoFi Technologies Performance: SoFi's stock has declined 34% this year, yet its total revenue surged 43% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, indicating strong financial performance that may attract more investor interest despite the short-seller report impact.
- Robinhood Market Dynamics: Robinhood's revenue increased by 15% year-over-year to $1.07 billion, although its cryptocurrency revenue fell 47% to $134 million; however, the 57% growth in Gold premium subscriptions suggests potential for diversified revenue streams.
- TransMedics Group Financial Status: TransMedics reported a 21% year-over-year revenue increase to $173.9 million, despite a drop in operating margin to 7.6%, as the company invests heavily in international expansion and R&D, which is expected to drive future growth.
- Market Outlook Analysis: These three companies possess unique competitive advantages in their respective fields, and despite facing short-term challenges, their long-term growth potential and market positioning make them worthy investment candidates.
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- SoFi Financial Performance: SoFi Technologies reported a 43% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.1 billion, despite a 34% stock price drop due to a short-seller report; however, its adjusted EPS doubled to $0.12, indicating strong performance in the fintech sector and potential to attract more young users in the future.
- Robinhood Revenue Challenges: Robinhood's Q1 revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $1.07 billion, but overall growth was hampered by a 47% decline in cryptocurrency trading revenue to $134 million; however, its Gold subscription service revenue surged 57%, showcasing the potential for diversified income streams.
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- Market Outlook Analysis: Despite facing short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for these three companies remains optimistic, as SoFi and Robinhood's business models cater to younger consumer demands, while TransMedics' innovative technology holds a crucial position in the healthcare market, making them attractive options for investors looking to capitalize on current market dips.
See More
SoFi's Transformation After National Bank Charter Boosts Growth
- Business Transformation: SoFi has rapidly evolved from offering alumni loans to a comprehensive digital financial services platform after obtaining its national bank charter, with total deposits skyrocketing from $1.2 billion in 2022 to $40.2 billion, indicating strong market demand and user growth.
- Lower Funding Costs: By acquiring Golden Pacific Bancorp, SoFi significantly reduced its funding costs, with 94% of its total liabilities ($42.9 billion) now represented by deposits, which boosted its net interest income to over $2.2 billion in 2025, a staggering 781% increase from 2021.
- Deposit Attractiveness: SoFi's savings account offers a 3.1% annual percentage yield, well above the national average, attracting substantial customer deposits and enhancing customer stickiness, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management anticipates adjusted earnings per share to grow at a compound annual rate of 40% over the next three years, indicating that with the support of its national bank charter, SoFi's profitability and market outlook will continue to improve.
See More
Impact of SoFi's Bank Charter Transformation
- Business Transformation: SoFi's acquisition of a national bank charter in 2022 fundamentally changed its funding model, shifting from reliance on expensive securitized debt to more cost-effective deposit funding, significantly enhancing the company's financial flexibility.
- Deposit Growth: As of Q1 2026, SoFi's total deposits reached $40.2 billion, a dramatic increase from $1.2 billion four years prior, indicating strong demand for its tech-enabled platform and bolstering the company's competitive position in the market.
- Surge in Net Interest Income: In 2025, SoFi's net interest income skyrocketed from $252 million in 2021 to over $2.2 billion, a staggering 781% increase, supported by deposits constituting 94% of total liabilities, providing a stable revenue stream for the company.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates adjusted earnings per share to grow at a compound annual rate of 40% over the next three years, suggesting that with the backing of its national bank charter, SoFi is poised for sustainable profit growth, attracting the attention of long-term investors.
See More
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- AI Platform Launch: On June 23, SoFi Technologies launched Composer, an AI-powered investing platform designed to help investors transform ideas into automated strategies, enhancing investment efficiency and lowering technical barriers.
- Diverse Investment Options: The platform offers three primary investment methods, including designing custom strategies from scratch, selecting from over 2,000 community-built strategies, or building diversified portfolios that combine multiple approaches, catering to various investor needs.
- Transparent Control: Unlike autonomous trading bots, Composer uses AI to build transparent, rules-based strategies that allow investors to back-test against historical data before activation, thereby enhancing investor control and confidence.
- Integration and Expansion: Composer will be integrated into the main SoFi platform, with expanded access provided to SoFi Plus members, simplifying the systematic investing process and further strengthening SoFi's competitive position in the fintech sector.
See More
Over 6 Million Families Sign Up for Trump Accounts Ahead of Launch
- Registration Milestone: More than 6 million families have signed up for Trump Accounts ahead of their official launch on July 4, aimed at helping U.S. children build wealth, particularly for those born between 2025 and 2028 who will receive a $1,000 seed contribution.
- Diverse Funding Sources: In addition to the federal government's initial contribution, certain children may receive a $250 donation from tech CEO Michael Dell and his wife Susan, along with potential contributions from their parents' employers, showcasing a diversified funding support mechanism.
- Wealth Growth Potential: Projections on the Trump Accounts website suggest that without additional contributions, a child's account could grow to $243,000 by age 55, although research by Morningstar indicates a more conservative estimate of $38,000, reflecting the impact of investor behavior and family income.
- Importance of Long-Term Investment: Morningstar emphasizes that ongoing contributions from families and employers are crucial for wealth accumulation, with average account holders expected to have $3,324 at age 18, which could rise to $15,154 with an annual contribution of $250, highlighting the necessity of regular investments.
See More
Three Stocks Worth Watching Amid Market Pullback
- SoFi Technologies Performance: SoFi's stock has declined 34% this year, yet its total revenue surged 43% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, indicating strong financial performance that may attract more investor interest despite the short-seller report impact.
- Robinhood Market Dynamics: Robinhood's revenue increased by 15% year-over-year to $1.07 billion, although its cryptocurrency revenue fell 47% to $134 million; however, the 57% growth in Gold premium subscriptions suggests potential for diversified revenue streams.
- TransMedics Group Financial Status: TransMedics reported a 21% year-over-year revenue increase to $173.9 million, despite a drop in operating margin to 7.6%, as the company invests heavily in international expansion and R&D, which is expected to drive future growth.
- Market Outlook Analysis: These three companies possess unique competitive advantages in their respective fields, and despite facing short-term challenges, their long-term growth potential and market positioning make them worthy investment candidates.
See More
Three Stocks Worth Investing In After Market Pullback
- SoFi Financial Performance: SoFi Technologies reported a 43% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.1 billion, despite a 34% stock price drop due to a short-seller report; however, its adjusted EPS doubled to $0.12, indicating strong performance in the fintech sector and potential to attract more young users in the future.
- Robinhood Revenue Challenges: Robinhood's Q1 revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $1.07 billion, but overall growth was hampered by a 47% decline in cryptocurrency trading revenue to $134 million; however, its Gold subscription service revenue surged 57%, showcasing the potential for diversified income streams.
- TransMedics Expansion Strategy: TransMedics Group's revenue increased by 21% year-over-year to $173.9 million, although its operating margin fell to 7.6%, the company is actively expanding internationally and investing in R&D to promote its Organ Care System for more organs, indicating significant future growth potential.
- Market Outlook Analysis: Despite facing short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for these three companies remains optimistic, as SoFi and Robinhood's business models cater to younger consumer demands, while TransMedics' innovative technology holds a crucial position in the healthcare market, making them attractive options for investors looking to capitalize on current market dips.
See More
