Six Key ETFs to Monitor as Wall Street Enters Its Strongest Six-Month Period
Halloween Effect in Investing: The Halloween Effect suggests that stocks tend to outperform from November to April, with historical data showing average returns of 5.2% during this period compared to 2.6% from May to October.
ETFs for Seasonal Gains: Investors are looking at specific ETFs to capitalize on the upcoming seasonal rally, particularly in healthcare, financials, and semiconductor sectors, which are expected to perform well.
Healthcare ETFs: The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) and SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) are gaining traction, with XLV up over 4% and XBI over 12% in the past month, making them attractive defensive investments.
Financial and Semiconductor ETFs: The iShares U.S. Financials ETF (IYF) and iShares U.S. Financial Services ETF (IYG) are positioned for a rebound, while the VanEck Semiconductor ETFs (SMH and SMHX) are benefiting from strong demand in AI and data centers.
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- Financial Overview: JPMorgan has a direct lending balance sheet of approximately $12 billion, which can increase to $50 billion.
- Growth Potential: The company's lending capabilities indicate a significant potential for expansion in its financial services.
Excitement for Health Care Deals: J.P. Morgan's leadership expresses strong enthusiasm for upcoming health care deals, indicating a strategic focus in this sector.
Strategic Importance: The emphasis on health care deals highlights J.P. Morgan's commitment to expanding its influence and operations within the health care industry.

Co-CEO Insights: J.P. Morgan's Co-CEO discusses the ongoing strength of the deal pipeline in the commercial and investment banking sectors.
M&A Outlook: The outlook for mergers and acquisitions remains positive as the deal pipeline continues to thrive into 2026.
- Executive Appointment: JPMorgan Chase has appointed Guy Halamish as COO of its commercial and investment banking division, tasked with overseeing data and AI strategy to enhance overall operational efficiency.
- New Structural Implementation: The new organizational structure will have chief data and analytics officers for payments, global banking, securities services, and markets reporting jointly to Halamish and their respective business heads, thereby enhancing cross-departmental collaboration.
- Data Governance Enhancement: The revamped team will focus on improving data quality, strengthening governance, preparing infrastructure for AI agents, and driving end-to-end transformation in areas like credit and client onboarding to enhance customer experience.
- Strategic Transformation Goals: Through this series of changes, JPMorgan aims to maintain its competitive edge in the fast-paced financial market while laying the groundwork for future technological innovations.
- Diverse ETF Themes: Fundstrat's GRNY ETF launched in November 2024, encompasses various investment themes including value investing, despite a year-to-date decline of 0.32%, it has risen 18.31% over the past 52 weeks, indicating some market appeal.
- Overlap with Dow Jones: The GRNY ETF shares eight stocks with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, including well-known tech stocks like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia, with respective weights of 2.55%, 2.16%, 2.11%, and 2.51% in GRNY, reflecting a similarity in investment strategies.
- Differing Investment Styles: The GRNY ETF employs a rules-based stock selection process focusing on stocks that meet two or more key themes, with current themes including PMI recovery, energy stocks, and cybersecurity, aimed at attracting millennial investors.
- Market Performance Comparison: In contrast to the GRNY ETF, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF has increased by 3.46% year-to-date and 12.08% over the past 52 weeks, showcasing the relative strength of Dow components, which may impact investor confidence in GRNY.
- Home Sales Decline: The National Association of Realtors reported an 8.4% month-over-month drop and a 4.4% year-over-year decline in existing home sales for January, primarily due to low inventory, indicating weak market demand that could affect future home prices.
- Improving Affordability: Despite the sales decline, the Housing Affordability Index indicates that housing is the most affordable since March 2022, as wage growth outpaces home price increases and mortgage rates are lower than last year, suggesting potential recovery opportunities in the market.
- Russian Policy Shift: The Russian government is considering a new economic partnership with the U.S., including a return to the dollar settlement system, which could weaken ties with Beijing and significantly impact global financial markets, marking a notable shift in Russian economic strategy.
- Credit Card Rate Controversy: White House trade advisor urged JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon to lower credit card interest rates, criticizing the high charges to American consumers, reflecting the administration's focus on reducing living costs and potentially affecting the bank's public image and policy direction.






