<Research> BOCI Maintains Buy Rating on XIAOMI-W with Target Price of HKD 47.88
Electric Vehicle Performance: XIAOMI-W delivered over 39,000 electric vehicles in January, marking a 70% year-over-year increase but a 20% month-over-month decline, outperforming peers due to reserved orders and promotional schemes.
Profit Margin Outlook: A decline in high-margin SU7-ultra models is expected to reduce XIAOMI-W's gross profit margin by 1-2 percentage points in Q4 2025, although revenue growth and economies of scale may boost operating profit.
Analyst Ratings: Citi has lowered its adjusted net profit forecasts for XIAOMI-W and reduced the target price to $43, reflecting concerns about profitability.
Investment Potential: BOCI maintains a Buy rating with a target price of HKD47.88, highlighting the company's ongoing investments in AI, robotics, and chips as key factors supporting its valuation.
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Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 123 points (0.5%) to 25,593, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stocks like Alibaba and Tencent saw slight increases, with Alibaba closing at $133.6 (up 1.5%) and Tencent at $552.5 (up 1.1%), while other heavyweights like HSBC and MTR Corporation faced significant declines.
Top Gainers and Losers: Bright Smart surged by 37.6% to $9.52, while DeepExi Tech dropped by 24.4% to $52.8, highlighting the volatility in smaller stocks.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed across various stocks, with MTR Corporation and Xinyi Glass showing particularly high ratios, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
Xiaomi SU7 Release: The new generation Xiaomi SU7 is set to be officially released this month, as announced by Lei Jun, the founder and chairman of Xiaomi.
Production and Delivery Plans: Current efforts are focused on production preparation, with plans for large-scale delivery following the vehicle's release.

Stellantis' Strategic Shift: Stellantis is considering collaboration with Chinese automakers as it refocuses its investments towards the Americas market.
Meetings with Chinese Companies: The company has held discussions with XIAOMI and XPENG regarding potential restructuring of its European operations, which may include sharing stakes in brands like Maserati.
Chinese Expansion in Europe: The negotiations are part of a broader strategy by Chinese firms to expand their presence in Europe, including acquiring auto manufacturing capabilities.
Market Context: UBS has indicated that companies like BYD, CATL, and Li Auto present favorable risk-reward scenarios amid fluctuating oil prices, making electric vehicle ownership more appealing.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 182 points (0.7%) to close at 25,716, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Tencent, and Meituan saw slight declines, with Alibaba closing at $131.6 (-1.2%) and Tencent at $546.5 (-1%).
Notable Movers: Xpeng and JD Logistics were among the gainers, with Xpeng rising 4.4% to $78.45, while CSPC Pharma and Nongfu Spring faced significant losses, dropping 4.5% and 4.4%, respectively.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, including Meituan (46.5%) and Nongfu Spring (53.8%), indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.

Investment in R&D: XIAOMI-W has invested RMB105 billion in core technology R&D over the past five years and plans to increase this to RMB200 billion in the next five years to drive technological innovation.
Technological Ecosystem: Lei Jun emphasized the convergence of AI, robotics, autos, and smart manufacturing, positioning XIAOMI-W's 'Human x Car x Home' ecosystem to leverage these trends.
AI Applications: The company is exploring AI technology beyond smartphones and smart devices, including advancements in smart home and robotics, with a humanoid robot already working in auto factories.
Market Performance: CLSA has downgraded XIAOMI-W to Outperform and reduced its target price to HKD45 amid ongoing short selling activity.
Profitability Outlook: BMW expects its profitability to remain flat this year due to tariff costs and increased competition in China, with automotive manufacturing margins projected between 4% and 6%.
Electric Vehicle Investment: The company has invested approximately EUR10 billion in developing its new electric vehicle series, "Neue Klasse," and plans to release a sedan from this series next week.
Market Competition: BMW aims to compete with brands like BYD, Tesla, and Xiaomi in the electric vehicle market as it launches its new model.
Sales Stability in China: Despite the challenges, BMW anticipates that sales in the Chinese market will remain stable overall.






