Redwire Shares Rise 7.06% to $23.59
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Moderately bullish activity in Redwire (RDW), with shares up $1.55, or 7.06%, near $23.59. Options volume more than double the daily average with 111k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.22, compared to a typical level near 0.34. Implied volatility (IV30) is higher by 4.8 points near 160.08, in the highest 10% of observations over the past year, suggesting an expected daily move of $2.38. Put-call skew steepened, indicating increased demand for downside protection.
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Analyst Views on RDW
Wall Street analysts forecast RDW stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 25.900
Low
6.00
Averages
12.50
High
22.00
Current: 25.900
Low
6.00
Averages
12.50
High
22.00
About RDW
Redwire Corporation is an integrated aerospace and defense company focused on advanced technologies. The Company is focused on aerospace infrastructure, autonomous systems and multi-domain operations leveraging digital engineering and AI automation. Its capabilities include avionics, sensors, power solutions, critical structures, mechanisms, radio frequency systems, platforms, missions, microgravity payloads and uncrewed airborne system (UAS) technology. It specializes in core avionics, such as scalable power distribution and on-board computing capabilities. These specialized avionics and sensors can be applied across multiple space environments, including Low Earth Orbit, Geostationary Orbit, Cis-lunar and deep space missions. It provides a range of sensors, including star trackers and sun sensors, which are critical for navigation and control of spacecraft. It offers a variety of solar array solutions for spacecraft spanning the spectrum of size, power needs, and orbital location.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Blue Origin Rocket Explosion Triggers Decline in Space Stocks
- Launch Schedule Risks Heightened: Following the Blue Origin rocket explosion, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) shares fell 5% in premarket trading, with analyst Tim Farrar warning that only 3-5 Falcon 9 launches are realistic this year, potentially delaying ASTS's satellite coverage network deployment to 2028, which could negatively impact future revenues.
- Blue Origin Issues Escalate: Blue Origin confirmed an 'anomaly' during a hotfire test of its New Glenn rocket, marking the second major setback in less than two months; while all personnel are safe, this incident has heightened investor concerns regarding launch execution risks, affecting valuations across the space sector.
- Market Sentiment Shift: As ASTS shares declined, other space stocks like RKLB, LUNR, RDW, and RKTO also faced sell-offs, prompting investors to reassess launch risks and lunar program timelines, reflecting broader uncertainty about the future of the space industry.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: Despite the overall market sentiment turning cautious, retail sentiment for ASTS, LUNR, and RDW on Stocktwits remains 'extremely bullish', while RKLB holds a 'neutral' stance, indicating ongoing investor interest and expectations for future potential in the space sector.
See More
Redwire Stock Soars 60.1% Amid SpaceX IPO Excitement
- Significant Price Surge: Redwire's stock surged 60.1% this week despite the absence of major company-specific news, a remarkable increase occurring alongside a 1.8% rise in the S&P 500 and a 2.6% gain in the Nasdaq Composite, highlighting strong investor interest in space stocks.
- Outstanding Year-to-Date Performance: Year-to-date, Redwire's stock has risen 223%, reflecting optimistic sentiment among investors towards the space sector, particularly driven by the upcoming $2 trillion IPO of SpaceX, which is expected to command a substantial valuation premium.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite pullbacks in space stocks following the explosion of Blue Origin's rocket, Redwire still achieved significant valuation gains, indicating robust market confidence in the space industry, with investor excitement surrounding SpaceX's IPO contributing positively to Redwire's valuation.
- High-Risk, High-Reward Dynamic: Redwire's valuation is likely to remain influenced by the outlook for SpaceX stock; if SpaceX's IPO is successful and its stock surges post-debut, Redwire and other space stocks may benefit from valuation tailwinds, creating a dynamic that presents both opportunities and risks for investors.
See More
Redwire Stock Surges 60.1% Amid SpaceX IPO Excitement
- Significant Stock Surge: Redwire's stock price increased by 60.1% this week, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.8% and Nasdaq's 2.6% gains, reflecting strong market enthusiasm for space technology.
- Year-to-Date Performance: Year-to-date, Redwire's stock has surged 223%, significantly boosting the company's market valuation and attracting more investor interest in the potential of the space sector.
- Impact of SpaceX IPO: SpaceX is set to IPO on June 12 at an estimated valuation of $2 trillion, and the market's anticipation of its success has driven up valuations for other space stocks, benefiting Redwire and illustrating inter-industry dynamics.
- Future Outlook: Redwire's valuation will likely continue to be influenced by SpaceX's stock performance; if SpaceX's IPO is successful, it could provide positive valuation tailwinds for Redwire and other space stocks, while a rocky start could lead to valuation declines across the sector.
See More
Redwire Stock Soars 60.1% Amid SpaceX IPO Excitement
- Significant Price Surge: Redwire's stock surged 60.1% this week, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gained 1.8% and 2.6%, respectively, indicating strong performance in the space tech sector.
- Space Stock Market Momentum: Despite pullbacks from the Blue Origin rocket explosion, Redwire achieved a remarkable 223% year-to-date increase, reflecting sustained investor optimism in the space industry.
- Impact of SpaceX IPO: With SpaceX set to IPO on June 12 at an estimated valuation of $2 trillion, investor excitement surrounding its debut has driven up valuations for other space stocks, including Redwire, creating a rising tide effect.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: Redwire's valuation will likely remain influenced by SpaceX's stock performance; if SpaceX's IPO is successful, it could provide valuation tailwinds for Redwire, but a rocky start could lead to a retreat in industry valuations.
See More
Space Industry IPO Frenzy Sparks Interest
- Intuitive Machines' Lunar Focus: Intuitive Machines is dedicated to lunar access and exploration, recently securing over $428 million in new contracts, boosting its backlog to $1.1 billion, with Q1 2026 revenue hitting $186 million, nearly tripling year-over-year, and full-year guidance set between $900 million and $1 billion, resulting in a stock price increase of over 110% year-to-date.
- Redwire's Defense Expansion: Known for its reasonable valuation and diversified revenue streams, Redwire reported Q1 2026 revenue of $97 million, a nearly 58% year-over-year increase, and boasts a record backlog of $498 million, with its stock rising about 190% since the start of the year, highlighting strong growth potential in the defense sector.
- Spire Global's Financial Stability: As a lesser-known entity, Spire Global focuses on Earth observation, anticipating revenue between $75 million and $85 million in 2026, representing a 50% year-over-year growth, with its stock gaining 145% year-to-date, showcasing its potential in satellite networks and multi-industry applications.
- Space Industry Investment Surge: With capital flooding into space-related companies, despite headline-grabbing firms like SpaceX, many financially sound and undervalued stocks present lucrative long-term investment opportunities, indicating a promising outlook for the space industry.
See More
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- Significant Contract Growth: Intuitive Machines has secured over $428 million in new contracts, boosting its backlog to $1.1 billion, indicating strong growth potential in lunar exploration and expected revenue increases that will enhance its market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a record revenue of $186 million in Q1 2026, nearly tripling the year-ago figure, and management reaffirmed its full-year guidance of $900 million to $1 billion, reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Robust Performance of Redwire: Redwire achieved Q1 revenue of $97 million, a nearly 58% year-over-year increase, and boasts a record backlog of $498 million, demonstrating the effectiveness of its diversification strategy in defense, with shares rising about 190% since the start of the year.
- Growth Potential of Spire Global: Spire Global anticipates revenue between $75 million and $85 million in 2026, representing a 50% year-over-year growth, with its stock gaining 145% year-to-date, highlighting strong demand and financial health in the satellite network and earth observation sectors.
See More
Blue Origin Rocket Explosion Triggers Decline in Space Stocks
- Launch Schedule Risks Heightened: Following the Blue Origin rocket explosion, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) shares fell 5% in premarket trading, with analyst Tim Farrar warning that only 3-5 Falcon 9 launches are realistic this year, potentially delaying ASTS's satellite coverage network deployment to 2028, which could negatively impact future revenues.
- Blue Origin Issues Escalate: Blue Origin confirmed an 'anomaly' during a hotfire test of its New Glenn rocket, marking the second major setback in less than two months; while all personnel are safe, this incident has heightened investor concerns regarding launch execution risks, affecting valuations across the space sector.
- Market Sentiment Shift: As ASTS shares declined, other space stocks like RKLB, LUNR, RDW, and RKTO also faced sell-offs, prompting investors to reassess launch risks and lunar program timelines, reflecting broader uncertainty about the future of the space industry.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: Despite the overall market sentiment turning cautious, retail sentiment for ASTS, LUNR, and RDW on Stocktwits remains 'extremely bullish', while RKLB holds a 'neutral' stance, indicating ongoing investor interest and expectations for future potential in the space sector.
See More
Redwire Stock Soars 60.1% Amid SpaceX IPO Excitement
- Significant Price Surge: Redwire's stock surged 60.1% this week despite the absence of major company-specific news, a remarkable increase occurring alongside a 1.8% rise in the S&P 500 and a 2.6% gain in the Nasdaq Composite, highlighting strong investor interest in space stocks.
- Outstanding Year-to-Date Performance: Year-to-date, Redwire's stock has risen 223%, reflecting optimistic sentiment among investors towards the space sector, particularly driven by the upcoming $2 trillion IPO of SpaceX, which is expected to command a substantial valuation premium.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite pullbacks in space stocks following the explosion of Blue Origin's rocket, Redwire still achieved significant valuation gains, indicating robust market confidence in the space industry, with investor excitement surrounding SpaceX's IPO contributing positively to Redwire's valuation.
- High-Risk, High-Reward Dynamic: Redwire's valuation is likely to remain influenced by the outlook for SpaceX stock; if SpaceX's IPO is successful and its stock surges post-debut, Redwire and other space stocks may benefit from valuation tailwinds, creating a dynamic that presents both opportunities and risks for investors.
See More
Redwire Stock Surges 60.1% Amid SpaceX IPO Excitement
- Significant Stock Surge: Redwire's stock price increased by 60.1% this week, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.8% and Nasdaq's 2.6% gains, reflecting strong market enthusiasm for space technology.
- Year-to-Date Performance: Year-to-date, Redwire's stock has surged 223%, significantly boosting the company's market valuation and attracting more investor interest in the potential of the space sector.
- Impact of SpaceX IPO: SpaceX is set to IPO on June 12 at an estimated valuation of $2 trillion, and the market's anticipation of its success has driven up valuations for other space stocks, benefiting Redwire and illustrating inter-industry dynamics.
- Future Outlook: Redwire's valuation will likely continue to be influenced by SpaceX's stock performance; if SpaceX's IPO is successful, it could provide positive valuation tailwinds for Redwire and other space stocks, while a rocky start could lead to valuation declines across the sector.
See More
Redwire Stock Soars 60.1% Amid SpaceX IPO Excitement
- Significant Price Surge: Redwire's stock surged 60.1% this week, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gained 1.8% and 2.6%, respectively, indicating strong performance in the space tech sector.
- Space Stock Market Momentum: Despite pullbacks from the Blue Origin rocket explosion, Redwire achieved a remarkable 223% year-to-date increase, reflecting sustained investor optimism in the space industry.
- Impact of SpaceX IPO: With SpaceX set to IPO on June 12 at an estimated valuation of $2 trillion, investor excitement surrounding its debut has driven up valuations for other space stocks, including Redwire, creating a rising tide effect.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: Redwire's valuation will likely remain influenced by SpaceX's stock performance; if SpaceX's IPO is successful, it could provide valuation tailwinds for Redwire, but a rocky start could lead to a retreat in industry valuations.
See More
Space Industry IPO Frenzy Sparks Interest
- Intuitive Machines' Lunar Focus: Intuitive Machines is dedicated to lunar access and exploration, recently securing over $428 million in new contracts, boosting its backlog to $1.1 billion, with Q1 2026 revenue hitting $186 million, nearly tripling year-over-year, and full-year guidance set between $900 million and $1 billion, resulting in a stock price increase of over 110% year-to-date.
- Redwire's Defense Expansion: Known for its reasonable valuation and diversified revenue streams, Redwire reported Q1 2026 revenue of $97 million, a nearly 58% year-over-year increase, and boasts a record backlog of $498 million, with its stock rising about 190% since the start of the year, highlighting strong growth potential in the defense sector.
- Spire Global's Financial Stability: As a lesser-known entity, Spire Global focuses on Earth observation, anticipating revenue between $75 million and $85 million in 2026, representing a 50% year-over-year growth, with its stock gaining 145% year-to-date, showcasing its potential in satellite networks and multi-industry applications.
- Space Industry Investment Surge: With capital flooding into space-related companies, despite headline-grabbing firms like SpaceX, many financially sound and undervalued stocks present lucrative long-term investment opportunities, indicating a promising outlook for the space industry.
See More
Space Industry Secures Over $428 Million in New Contracts
- Significant Contract Growth: Intuitive Machines has secured over $428 million in new contracts, boosting its backlog to $1.1 billion, indicating strong growth potential in lunar exploration and expected revenue increases that will enhance its market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a record revenue of $186 million in Q1 2026, nearly tripling the year-ago figure, and management reaffirmed its full-year guidance of $900 million to $1 billion, reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Robust Performance of Redwire: Redwire achieved Q1 revenue of $97 million, a nearly 58% year-over-year increase, and boasts a record backlog of $498 million, demonstrating the effectiveness of its diversification strategy in defense, with shares rising about 190% since the start of the year.
- Growth Potential of Spire Global: Spire Global anticipates revenue between $75 million and $85 million in 2026, representing a 50% year-over-year growth, with its stock gaining 145% year-to-date, highlighting strong demand and financial health in the satellite network and earth observation sectors.
See More
