PagBank registers a recurrent profit of BRL 571 million, 14% growth in net revenue, and 30% growth in the loanportfolio
Financial Performance: PagBank reported BRL 39.4 billion in deposits and a BRL 4.2 billion loan portfolio in Q3 2025, showing resilience in a high-interest-rate environment, with a 14.4% year-over-year increase in net revenue to BRL 3.4 billion.
Shareholder Returns: The bank distributed over BRL 2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the past year, while maintaining a focus on expanding strategic initiatives and enhancing customer financial experiences.
Leadership Transition: Effective January 1, 2026, Carlos Mauad will succeed Alexandre Magnani as CEO, with Gustavo Sechin taking over as CFO, ensuring continuity and support during the transition.
Commitment to Growth: PagBank aims to broaden access to financial solutions for millions of Brazilians, emphasizing the importance of loan growth and the development of a comprehensive digital banking ecosystem.
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- New Investment Position: Baupost Group established a new stake in Amazon during Q4, making it the fund's second-largest holding at 9.3% of assets, reflecting confidence in the e-commerce and cloud giant despite differing views from Buffett.
- Portfolio Adjustments: The fund completely exited its position in PagSeguro Digital in Q4, indicating a strategic portfolio adjustment likely based on market performance and future expectations.
- Top Holdings: As of December 31, Restaurant Brands International remains Baupost's largest holding, indicating sustained confidence in the restaurant sector, and it was also the top holding in Q3, showcasing stability.
- Market Performance Comparison: Amazon was the worst-performing stock among the Magnificent Seven in 2025, and Baupost's investment decision may be based on optimism regarding its cloud segment growth, which will test the effectiveness of Klarman's strategy against Buffett's reduction in exposure.
- Dividend History Analysis: PagSeguro Digital Ltd's dividend history chart indicates that the recent dividend is likely to continue, with an anticipated annualized dividend yield of 1.4%, providing investors with a stable income expectation.
- Volatility Assessment: The trailing twelve-month volatility for PagSeguro, calculated from the last 251 trading days, stands at 50%, indicating significant price fluctuations, which necessitates cautious risk evaluation by investors.
- Options Trading Dynamics: In Thursday's trading, the put volume among S&P 500 components reached 902,767 contracts, while call volume hit 1.94 million contracts, reflecting a strong preference for call options among investors, indicating optimistic market sentiment.
- Options Market Trends: The current put:call ratio of 0.47 is significantly lower than the long-term median of 0.65, suggesting an increased market expectation for future price increases, which may influence PagSeguro's stock price trajectory.
- EPS Revision Ratings: Mid-cap financial stocks like PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) and Inter & Co, Inc. (INTR) have received a D+ EPS revision grade, indicating weakened momentum in analyst earnings expectations, which may affect investor confidence.
- Quant Rating Performance: PagSeguro's quant rating stands at 3.23, Inter's at 3.18, and Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) at 3.03, all below the bullish threshold of 3.5, suggesting these companies face challenges in earnings growth.
- Market Reaction Expectations: As the earnings season approaches, analysts' downward revisions of earnings expectations for these companies may lead to increased stock price volatility, prompting investors to assess risks carefully.
- Industry-Wide Trends: Overall, the soft EPS revisions in the financial sector may reflect signs of economic slowdown, and investors should monitor policy risks and market volatility's impact on future performance.
Stock Performance: PagSeguro Digital Ltd's shares have surpassed the average analyst 12-month target price of $10.68, currently trading at $10.93/share, prompting potential reassessment by analysts.
Analyst Targets: There are varying analyst targets for PagSeguro, with the lowest at $7.70 and the highest at $13.00, indicating a standard deviation of $2.278 among the eight analysts contributing to the average.
Investor Considerations: The crossing of the average target price signals investors to evaluate whether the stock is on track for higher targets or if it has become overvalued, suggesting a possible need to take profits.
Analyst Ratings: The article references a rating scale from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) for PagSeguro, reflecting the diverse opinions of analysts covering the stock.

Analyst Recommendation: Susquehanna has maintained a Positive recommendation for PagSeguro Digital (NYSE:PAGS) as of November 14, 2025, with an average one-year price target of $11.59/share, indicating a potential upside of 23.44% from its current price of $9.39/share.
Revenue and Earnings Projections: PagSeguro Digital is projected to achieve an annual revenue of 25,069MM, reflecting a 29.83% increase, with a non-GAAP EPS forecast of 9.13.
Fund Sentiment: There are currently 434 funds reporting positions in PagSeguro Digital, with a slight increase in ownership but a decrease in total shares owned by institutions by 7.96% over the last three months.
Shareholder Activity: Notable changes in shareholder positions include Point72 Asset Management reducing its stake by 22.84%, while Artemis Investment Management increased its holdings by 60.12% over the last quarter.

Financial Performance: PagBank reported 39.4 billion BRL in deposits and 4.2 billion BRL in loans for Q3 2025, showing resilience despite high interest rates, with a net income of 571 million BRL and a 14.4% year-over-year increase in net revenue.
Shareholder Returns: The bank distributed over 2 billion BRL to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks in the past year, while focusing on strategic initiatives and enhancing AI usage to improve customer financial experiences.
Leadership Changes: Effective January 1, 2026, Carlos Mauad will become the new CEO, with Gustavo Sechin as the new CFO, ensuring a smooth transition while maintaining the bank's growth trajectory.
Commitment to Innovation: PagBank aims to expand its digital solutions and enhance customer relationships, prioritizing loan growth and sustainable financial access for millions of Brazilians.








