Opendoor Stock Pops 4.5% After-Hours Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 05 2025
0mins
Should l Buy OPEN?
Source: Benzinga
Stock Performance: Opendoor Technologies Inc. saw a 4.47% increase in after-hours trading, reaching $2.57, following a 17.14% rise during regular trading, attributed to strong first-quarter results and high short interest.
Market Sentiment: The company has gained meme-stock status, attracting retail investors, but analysts express concerns about its fundamentals amid a softening housing market and rising borrowing costs, with the upcoming earnings report expected to clarify future trends.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy OPEN?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on OPEN
Wall Street analysts forecast OPEN stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.760
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
Current: 4.760
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
About OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is an e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions. By leveraging software, data science, product design and operations, the Company is engaged in building a technology platform for residential real estate that offers buyers and sellers a digital, on-demand experience. Its product offerings include Sell to Opendoor, List with Opendoor and Opendoor Marketplace. Sell to Opendoor enables sellers to utilize its core product offering to sell their home directly to it, and it resells the home to a home buyer. By selling to Opendoor, homeowners can avoid the stress of open houses, home repair coordination, overlapping mortgages, and the uncertainty that can come with listing a home on the open market. Its capital-light marketplace offering connects home sellers with both institutional and retail buyers, facilitating transactions without Opendoor taking ownership of the home. Its listing product is available in nearly all Opendoor markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Opendoor Faces Challenges but Shows Signs of Recovery
- CEO Transformation: New CEO Kaz Nejatian is implementing significant changes, including cost-cutting and leveraging artificial intelligence, aimed at enhancing Opendoor's operational efficiency and survival in a competitive real estate market.
- Declining Performance: Despite a 34% year-over-year revenue drop in Q3, with inventory falling from 6,288 to 3,319 and only 2,568 homes sold, the potential success of Nejatian's turnaround plan could be greatly enhanced if it coincides with an improving housing market.
- Rising Contract Numbers: In the last week of October, Opendoor went under contract for 230 homes, a significant increase from 120 in late September, indicating a potential rebound in market demand that could lay the groundwork for future performance recovery.
- Increased Transparency: Nejatian has launched a real-time update website for investors to track company progress, reflecting an improvement in transparency and accountability that may bolster investor confidence moving forward.
See More
Opendoor's New CEO Drives Transformation Amid Challenges
- Significant Stock Volatility: Opendoor's stock surged from $0.51 to 1,800% in 2025, and while it has since declined, investor confidence in the new CEO remains high, with anticipation for the upcoming earnings report to provide positive signals.
- Revenue Decline: Despite new CEO Kaz Nejatian implementing cost-cutting and AI initiatives, Opendoor's Q3 revenue fell 34% year-over-year, with inventory dropping from 6,288 to 3,319, indicating ongoing challenges in a tough real estate market.
- Market Opportunity: Nejatian's turnaround strategy, aligned with potential improvements in the housing market, could significantly enhance the company's chances of success, especially as he reported 230 homes under contract in the last week of October, reflecting a rebound in market demand.
- Increased Investor Transparency: The new CEO launched a real-time update website for investors to track Opendoor's progress, with weekly contracts peaking at 303 homes in the last week of January, indicating positive advancements in workflow improvements and product launches.
See More
House Passes Bipartisan Housing Bill to Tackle Affordability Crisis
- Bill Passage: The House overwhelmingly passed the Housing for the 21st Century Act with a vote of 390-9, indicating bipartisan support in a polarized Congress aimed at addressing the national affordability crisis.
- Policy Provisions: The legislation includes over 20 provisions, such as new studies on gaps in federal housing programs and updates to the HOME Investment Partnerships Program, incentivizing localities to ease construction barriers.
- Senate Review: The bill now moves to the Senate, where it is expected to be reshaped and negotiated; Waters has cautioned that policy tweaks alone won't resolve the housing shortage without adequate funding for core rental and homeownership programs.
- Broad Support: More than 50 industry and advocacy groups, including the Affordable Housing Tax Credit Coalition and the American Hotel & Lodging Association, have rallied behind the bill, showcasing a strong consensus for a supply-focused housing policy.
See More
Opendoor's Stock Decline and Future Prospects
- Significant Stock Decline: Opendoor's stock plummeted from a peak of $35.88 in February 2021 to the current $5, with a market cap of $4.65 billion, indicating a market pessimism that values it at less than one times this year's sales.
- Revenue Plummet: From 2022 to 2024, the company's revenue fell from $15.6 billion to $5.2 billion, with home purchases dropping from 34,962 to 14,684, and EBITDA margin declining from negative 1.1% to negative 2.8%, highlighting the fragility of its business model in a high-interest-rate environment.
- Management Changes: The appointment of new CEO Kaz Nejatian and the return of co-founders to the board may provide fresh strategic direction, although analysts expect a further 18% revenue decline to $4.2 billion in 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of negative 1.9%.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts project that from 2025 to 2027, Opendoor's revenue could grow at a 27% CAGR to $6.8 billion, and if achieved, its stock may be grossly undervalued, suggesting that investors should consider gradually accumulating shares before the market fully recovers.
See More
Key Earnings Reports and Economic Outlook This Week
- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.
See More
Opendoor Technologies Stock Volatility Analysis
- Significant Stock Volatility: Opendoor's stock surged over 260% in the past year, yet it is currently down 52% from its 52-week high, indicating high market uncertainty regarding its future performance.
- Declining Sales Performance: The company reported approximately $915 million in sales for Q3 2025, a substantial drop from $1.38 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting severe challenges in its iBuyer business.
- Decreased Gross Margin: Opendoor's gross margin fell from 7.6% in the previous year to 7.2%, indicating increased pressure on profitability that could affect its long-term sustainability.
- AI Integration Proving Effective: Despite the sales decline, Opendoor managed to narrow its non-GAAP net loss to $61 million in Q3, down from $70 million the previous year, showcasing positive progress in cost control through AI-driven efficiency initiatives.
See More
Opendoor Faces Challenges but Shows Signs of Recovery
- CEO Transformation: New CEO Kaz Nejatian is implementing significant changes, including cost-cutting and leveraging artificial intelligence, aimed at enhancing Opendoor's operational efficiency and survival in a competitive real estate market.
- Declining Performance: Despite a 34% year-over-year revenue drop in Q3, with inventory falling from 6,288 to 3,319 and only 2,568 homes sold, the potential success of Nejatian's turnaround plan could be greatly enhanced if it coincides with an improving housing market.
- Rising Contract Numbers: In the last week of October, Opendoor went under contract for 230 homes, a significant increase from 120 in late September, indicating a potential rebound in market demand that could lay the groundwork for future performance recovery.
- Increased Transparency: Nejatian has launched a real-time update website for investors to track company progress, reflecting an improvement in transparency and accountability that may bolster investor confidence moving forward.
See More
Opendoor's New CEO Drives Transformation Amid Challenges
- Significant Stock Volatility: Opendoor's stock surged from $0.51 to 1,800% in 2025, and while it has since declined, investor confidence in the new CEO remains high, with anticipation for the upcoming earnings report to provide positive signals.
- Revenue Decline: Despite new CEO Kaz Nejatian implementing cost-cutting and AI initiatives, Opendoor's Q3 revenue fell 34% year-over-year, with inventory dropping from 6,288 to 3,319, indicating ongoing challenges in a tough real estate market.
- Market Opportunity: Nejatian's turnaround strategy, aligned with potential improvements in the housing market, could significantly enhance the company's chances of success, especially as he reported 230 homes under contract in the last week of October, reflecting a rebound in market demand.
- Increased Investor Transparency: The new CEO launched a real-time update website for investors to track Opendoor's progress, with weekly contracts peaking at 303 homes in the last week of January, indicating positive advancements in workflow improvements and product launches.
See More
House Passes Bipartisan Housing Bill to Tackle Affordability Crisis
- Bill Passage: The House overwhelmingly passed the Housing for the 21st Century Act with a vote of 390-9, indicating bipartisan support in a polarized Congress aimed at addressing the national affordability crisis.
- Policy Provisions: The legislation includes over 20 provisions, such as new studies on gaps in federal housing programs and updates to the HOME Investment Partnerships Program, incentivizing localities to ease construction barriers.
- Senate Review: The bill now moves to the Senate, where it is expected to be reshaped and negotiated; Waters has cautioned that policy tweaks alone won't resolve the housing shortage without adequate funding for core rental and homeownership programs.
- Broad Support: More than 50 industry and advocacy groups, including the Affordable Housing Tax Credit Coalition and the American Hotel & Lodging Association, have rallied behind the bill, showcasing a strong consensus for a supply-focused housing policy.
See More
Opendoor's Stock Decline and Future Prospects
- Significant Stock Decline: Opendoor's stock plummeted from a peak of $35.88 in February 2021 to the current $5, with a market cap of $4.65 billion, indicating a market pessimism that values it at less than one times this year's sales.
- Revenue Plummet: From 2022 to 2024, the company's revenue fell from $15.6 billion to $5.2 billion, with home purchases dropping from 34,962 to 14,684, and EBITDA margin declining from negative 1.1% to negative 2.8%, highlighting the fragility of its business model in a high-interest-rate environment.
- Management Changes: The appointment of new CEO Kaz Nejatian and the return of co-founders to the board may provide fresh strategic direction, although analysts expect a further 18% revenue decline to $4.2 billion in 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of negative 1.9%.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts project that from 2025 to 2027, Opendoor's revenue could grow at a 27% CAGR to $6.8 billion, and if achieved, its stock may be grossly undervalued, suggesting that investors should consider gradually accumulating shares before the market fully recovers.
See More
Key Earnings Reports and Economic Outlook This Week
- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.
See More
Opendoor Technologies Stock Volatility Analysis
- Significant Stock Volatility: Opendoor's stock surged over 260% in the past year, yet it is currently down 52% from its 52-week high, indicating high market uncertainty regarding its future performance.
- Declining Sales Performance: The company reported approximately $915 million in sales for Q3 2025, a substantial drop from $1.38 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting severe challenges in its iBuyer business.
- Decreased Gross Margin: Opendoor's gross margin fell from 7.6% in the previous year to 7.2%, indicating increased pressure on profitability that could affect its long-term sustainability.
- AI Integration Proving Effective: Despite the sales decline, Opendoor managed to narrow its non-GAAP net loss to $61 million in Q3, down from $70 million the previous year, showcasing positive progress in cost control through AI-driven efficiency initiatives.
See More
