Nvidia's Q4 FY2026 EPS Expected to Rise 71%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 23 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Strong Stock Performance: Despite intense competition and spending on infrastructure, Nvidia's stock surged 38% in 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, reflecting robust demand in the AI market and investor confidence.
- Optimistic Earnings Forecast: The expected earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 FY2026 is projected at $1.52, a 71% increase year-over-year, with revenue anticipated at $65.47 billion, nearly a 66.5% year-over-year growth, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Market Focus: Investors will be looking for clues on whether AI demand is peaking, particularly through sales and backlogs of Nvidia's latest chip model, Blackwell, which will directly impact its future market performance and competitiveness.
- China Market Dynamics: Although Nvidia plans to reopen chip sales to China in response to U.S. government restrictions, recent media reports suggest that the Chinese government may block these sales, which, if true, could significantly impact its revenue.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 211.140
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 211.140
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Investor Confidence: With increasing market recognition of Nvidia, investor confidence in its stock is rising, which could lead to more capital inflows and enhance overall market performance.
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- Financial Performance: As of the morning prices on May 29, Nvidia's recent financial results indicate strong growth potential, further solidifying its leadership position in the tech industry and likely driving future stock price increases.
- Investor Confidence: With increasing market recognition of Nvidia, investor confidence in its stock is rising, which could lead to more capital inflows and enhance overall market performance.
- Strategic Implications: Nvidia's success not only reflects its innovative capabilities in AI and graphics processing but may also set investment trends across the industry, driving further advancements in related technologies.
See More
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- Platform Innovation: NVIDIA's launch of the DSX platform integrates open-source and modular software, providing a comprehensive playbook for AI factory design, deployment, and operations, aimed at accelerating production and enhancing overall operational efficiency by reducing token costs.
- New Software Release: The DSX MaxLPS software combines 45-degree liquid cooling with in-rack optimization technologies, enabling a 40% increase in token performance within a fixed power budget, significantly lowering operational costs and improving GPU utilization.
- Ecosystem Expansion: NVIDIA is partnering with leading Taiwanese system manufacturers to drive the development of the DSX ecosystem, ensuring extreme co-design for AI factories, facilitating rapid deployment and operation on a global scale.
- Market Responsiveness: The introduction of the DSX platform allows infrastructure builders to simulate the entire factory before investment, validating performance to reduce risk and enhance market responsiveness, further solidifying NVIDIA's leadership position in the AI sector.
See More
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- Increased Competitive Threats: Tesla's stock fell nearly 5% on Monday, reflecting investor concerns over intensifying competition in the humanoid robotics sector, particularly following Nvidia's partnership with China's Unitree, which poses a potential threat to Tesla's Optimus robot.
- Optimus Production Plans: Tesla aims to unveil the mass production version of Optimus in 2023, although Musk indicated that the production rate is difficult to predict due to the complexities of the new product, which could impact the company's future growth strategy.
- Market Positioning and Vision: Musk envisions Optimus as a general-purpose humanoid robot designed to enhance production efficiency and address labor shortages, with the ultimate goal of becoming an affordable household robot priced between $20,000 and $30,000 capable of performing various chores.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: Over the past 24 hours, retail sentiment around TSLA remained in the 'bearish' territory, with some users suggesting that the market's reaction may be an overreaction, yet overall sentiment remains cautious regarding Tesla's future in the robotics sector.
See More
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- Stock Surge: Shares of Nebius Group rose 14.46% on Monday to $33.41, reaching a record high, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Industry Recognition: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang praised Nebius as a 'world-class AI cloud' during his keynote at the COMPUTEX technology show in Taiwan, highlighting its collaborations with notable clients, which further enhances the company's industry standing.
- Strategic Investment: Nvidia invested $2 billion in Nebius in March, forming a strategic partnership aimed at accelerating the development of cloud computing infrastructure to meet the rapidly growing demands of the AI market.
- Investor Interest: The hedge fund Situational Awareness recently acquired over 12.4 million shares of Nebius, currently valued at approximately $3.3 billion, indicating strong interest from institutional investors in Nebius.
See More
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- AI Superchip Launch: At the GTC Taipei Conference, Nvidia unveiled the RTX Spark, an AI superchip developed in collaboration with Microsoft, which combines the Arm-based Grace CPU and Blackwell GPU to deliver a native Windows experience for personal computers, marking a reinvention of computing and potentially enhancing Nvidia's penetration into the PC market.
- Vera CPU Introduction: Nvidia introduced the Vera CPU, a high-performance processor designed for the age of agentic AI, which is 1.8 times faster than legacy x86 processors and is now in full production, with notable customers including Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX, indicating strong market demand and competitive positioning.
- Massive Market Opportunity: The global AI PC market is projected to grow from $58 billion in 2025 to $321 billion by 2035, with Nvidia's Vera CPU opening a new $200 billion total addressable market, and the company expects nearly $20 billion in CPU revenue this year, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Strong Financial Performance: Nvidia reported record revenue of $81.6 billion for Q1 of fiscal 2027, an 85% year-over-year increase, with data center revenue reaching $75 billion, up 92%, and management guiding for a 95% revenue growth in Q2, showcasing the company's robust growth potential and investment appeal.
See More
Nebius Partners with Nvidia to Build AI Factories
- Strategic Partnership: Nebius has formed a strategic partnership with Nvidia to accelerate the development of cloud computing infrastructure for the rapidly expanding AI market, with Nvidia investing $2 billion in March, indicating strong confidence in Nebius's future potential.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's high praise, Nebius's shares soared to a record high on Monday, reflecting market recognition of its status as a 'world-class AI cloud' provider and boosting investor confidence.
- Strong Customer Base: Nebius boasts a diverse clientele that includes industry leaders such as AI coding platform Cursor, spatial intelligence company World Labs, digital banking provider Revolut, and e-commerce giant Shopify, which significantly bolsters its market position.
- Investor Interest: The rising interest in Nebius is highlighted by hedge fund Situational Awareness, which disclosed in a recent regulatory filing that it acquired over 12.4 million shares of Nebius stock, currently valued at approximately $3.3 billion, showcasing market expectations for its future growth.
See More
