Nvidia Forecasts $3-4 Trillion Data Center Spending by 2030
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 12 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AMD?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Strong Market Demand: Global data center capital expenditures are projected to reach $3-4 trillion by 2030, which will drive Nvidia's continued strong performance in AI infrastructure, thereby solidifying its market leadership.
- Technological Edge: Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) are regarded as the best parallel processing option, and with ongoing investments from AI hyperscalers in data center buildouts, Nvidia's business outlook appears increasingly promising.
- Shifting Competitive Landscape: AMD forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60% for its data center division revenues over the next three to five years, indicating that its competitiveness in the GPU market is strengthening and could pose a challenge to Nvidia.
- Investment Opportunities: As AI technology rapidly evolves, investors should focus on AI hardware companies, including Nvidia, which are expected to deliver significant shareholder returns in the coming years, especially against the backdrop of sustained growth in data center demand.
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Analyst Views on AMD
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMD is 284.10 USD with a low forecast of 200.00 USD and a high forecast of 377.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
36 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 192.500
Low
200.00
Averages
284.10
High
377.00
Current: 192.500
Low
200.00
Averages
284.10
High
377.00
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is a global semiconductor company. The Company is focused on high-performance computing, graphics and visualization technologies. Its segments include Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Data Center segment includes artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors (CPUs) for servers, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerated processing units (APUs), data processing units (DPUs), Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), smart network interface Cards (SmartNICs) and Adaptive system-on-Chip (SoC) products for data centers. Client and Gaming segment includes CPUs, APUs, chipsets for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs, and semi-custom SoC products and development services. Embedded segment includes embedded CPUs, GPUs, APUs, FPGAs, system on modules (SOMs), and Adaptive SoC products. It markets and sells its products under the AMD trademark. Its products include AMD EPYC, AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Virtex UltraScale+, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Beat: AMD reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.53 for Q4, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.32, with revenue rising 34% year-over-year to nearly $10.3 billion, significantly exceeding Wall Street's forecast of $9.7 billion, indicating strong market performance.
- Negative Market Reaction: Despite the impressive results, AMD's stock plummeted over 17% post-report and fell nearly 4% more the following day, reflecting market anxiety regarding tech stocks and concerns over AMD's high valuation.
- Valuation Concerns: Prior to the report, AMD's price-to-earnings ratio was around 90, indicating that market expectations for perfection were too high; thus, even a strong earnings beat was not enough to satisfy investors, leading to a sell-off and highlighting sensitivity to high valuations.
- Long-Term Investment Opportunity: Although the stock may continue to decline in the short term with a current P/E ratio of 74, AMD could still represent a worthwhile buying opportunity for long-term investors, especially given its robust fundamentals.
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- Capital Expenditure Trends: Gary Black, managing partner at Future Fund, noted that capital expenditure budgets typically start high at the beginning of the year and shrink as companies reassess their needs, indicating that short-term financial impacts will be minimal.
- Return on Investment Expectations: Black emphasized that despite big tech companies planning to invest over $630 billion in AI buildouts for 2026, tech CEOs will eventually realize that declining ROI necessitates scaling back future capex plans.
- Company Financial Performance: Alphabet, Google's parent company, is guiding its 2026 capex between $175 billion and $185 billion, significantly above the street's $120 billion expectation, while Meta's capex has also risen sharply to between $115 billion and $135 billion, reflecting strong confidence in future growth.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Despite market concerns over massive expenditures, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang stated that these investments are “appropriate and sustainable,” noting that companies will see positive cash flow impacts during this critical infrastructure buildout phase.
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- Dow Jones Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed the historic 50,000 mark on Friday, climbing nearly 2.5%, indicating a strong market rebound after three consecutive days of losses, reflecting renewed investor confidence.
- Chip Stocks Rally: Chip stocks like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom surged by approximately 7% to 8% on expectations of increased AI data center spending by Amazon and Alphabet, which not only boosted their market valuations but also signaled optimism in AI sector investments.
- Amazon's Stock Decline: Despite the overall market rally, Amazon's shares fell about 5.5% after the company announced plans to increase AI spending by over 50% this year, raising investor concerns about its profitability.
- Healthcare Stock Volatility: Molina Healthcare's stock plummeted over 25% after forecasting 2026 profits below Wall Street expectations, while Hims & Hers fell more than 12% in after-hours trading following the FDA's plan to restrict GLP-1 ingredients, highlighting uncertainties in the healthcare sector.
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- Record Stock Price: On October 29, 2025, Nvidia's stock closed at $207.03, marking a historic high and making it the first company to surpass a $5 trillion market cap, underscoring its strong leadership in the AI sector.
- Market Correction Impact: Despite an 11% decline from its peak, reducing its market cap to approximately $4.5 trillion, analysts anticipate that Nvidia's stock could rebound above $5 trillion by year-end, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth trajectory amid AI market expansion.
- Industry Dominance: Nvidia commands over 90% of the discrete GPU market, with its CUDA programming platform enhancing customer stickiness, allowing it to maintain a competitive edge in AI applications, even as it faces competition from AMD and Broadcom.
- Future Growth Expectations: Analysts project Nvidia's revenue and EPS to grow at CAGRs of 47% and 46% from fiscal 2025 to 2028, indicating robust growth potential in the AI space, despite a current P/E ratio of 24 times next year's earnings.
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- Unexpected Quarterly Loss: Molina Healthcare reported an unexpected quarterly loss, causing its stock to plummet 29% in a single day, marking the largest drop since 2012 and indicating significant challenges in profitability.
- Weak 2026 Outlook: The company issued a weak earnings outlook for 2026, which may undermine investor confidence and further pressure the stock price, reflecting market concerns about its future growth potential.
- Strong Overall Market Performance: Despite Molina Healthcare's stock decline, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged nearly 2% on Friday, reaching a new all-time high, indicating a market preference for value stocks that may overshadow individual stock weaknesses.
- Small Caps Outperform: Small caps showed outstanding performance on Friday, with the Russell 2000 index soaring over 3%, suggesting increased investor confidence in smaller companies, contrasting sharply with Molina's performance.
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