Nvidia Earnings Preview: Strong Performance Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Fool
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Nvidia is expected to report Q1 FY2027 revenue of $78.29 billion, representing a nearly 44% year-over-year increase, which will reinforce its leadership in the AI chip market, although short-term stock reactions may be muted.
- Profitability Improvement: The anticipated diluted adjusted EPS of $1.74 indicates a substantial 115% year-over-year growth, reflecting the company's ongoing enhancement in profitability, which may attract more long-term investor interest.
- Rising Capital Expenditures: With capital expenditure expectations for the 'Magnificent Seven' raised from $670 billion to $725 billion, Nvidia's chip demand outlook appears strong, indicating continued investment in AI infrastructure that will further boost company performance.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Despite Nvidia's potential to exceed earnings expectations, its nearly $5.4 trillion market cap means investor expectations are extremely high, suggesting that short-term stock price movements may not be significant, prompting investors to focus on long-term value.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 235.740
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 235.740
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Impact: As the leader in AI chips, Nvidia's earnings report will provide investors with insights into compute demand and customer AI usage, potentially influencing the performance of the entire AI ecosystem, especially if external news is light.
- China Market Dynamics: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent visit to China to meet with President Xi Jinping regarding future sales could boost Nvidia and its peers' stock prices if progress is made, further solidifying its market position.
- Technology Interaction Outlook: Investors should pay attention to Nvidia's comments on AI's interaction with other technologies, such as quantum computing; any positive signals could drive up stocks of companies in those sectors, highlighting AI's significance in future tech development.
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- Market Impact: As the leader in AI chips, Nvidia's earnings report will provide investors with insights into compute demand and customer AI usage, potentially influencing the performance of the entire AI ecosystem, especially if external news is light.
- China Market Dynamics: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent visit to China to meet with President Xi Jinping regarding future sales could boost Nvidia and its peers' stock prices if progress is made, further solidifying its market position.
- Technology Interaction Outlook: Investors should pay attention to Nvidia's comments on AI's interaction with other technologies, such as quantum computing; any positive signals could drive up stocks of companies in those sectors, highlighting AI's significance in future tech development.
See More
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- Strong Earnings Outlook: Nvidia anticipates first-quarter revenue of $78 billion for fiscal 2027, representing a 77% year-over-year increase, indicating sustained strong demand in the AI chip market that could further drive stock price upward.
- Robust Profitability: The company has maintained a gross margin exceeding 70% in recent quarters, with expectations of sustaining margins above 74% as production efficiency improves, showcasing its high profitability and competitive edge in the market.
- Excellent Historical Performance: Following its last three first-quarter earnings reports, Nvidia's stock rose by 23%, 20%, and 5.2%, indicating a positive market reaction to its earnings, which may recur in the upcoming report.
- Increased Market Confidence: With progress on U.S. import tariff agreements and potential peace developments in the Middle East, investor confidence is bolstered, potentially providing additional support for Nvidia's stock price and reinforcing its leadership position in the AI sector.
See More
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- Long-Term Contracts Signed: The company secured five-year LNG supply agreements with TotalEnergies for 0.85 million tonnes per annum and with Vitol, increasing supply from 1.5 million tonnes to 1.7 million tonnes, ensuring stable revenue streams.
- Improved Market Conditions: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to rising global LNG prices, benefiting Venture Global's uncontracted LNG flows, which is likely to enhance the company's market competitiveness and profitability.
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- Automated Processor Tuning: The calibration model of Ising reduces processor tuning time from days to hours, significantly improving efficiency, while its decoding models achieve real-time error correction that is 2.5 times faster and three times more accurate than legacy methods, showcasing Nvidia's technological edge in quantum computing.
- Market Expansion Potential: Although the quantum computing market remains experimental, the launch of Ising signifies that quantum technology is becoming another growth vector for Nvidia's multifaceted AI infrastructure engine, expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Future Growth Forecast: Nvidia's stock is predicted to reach $280 by year-end, reflecting a potential upside of approximately 20%, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure and positioning quantum AI as a high-conviction call option, with expectations of 70% to 80% year-over-year growth in data center revenue.
See More
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- Small Cap Retreat: The sell-off in small caps reflects increasing market concerns over risk assets, potentially leading to a shift of funds towards more stable large-cap companies.
- Earnings Anticipation: With Nvidia and Walmart's earnings reports on the horizon, market participants are keenly focused on how these companies will perform in the current economic climate, which could significantly impact overall market sentiment.
- Yield Pressure: Rising yields may exert pressure on the stock market, particularly in high-valuation sectors like technology and consumer goods, prompting investors to closely monitor future interest rate trends.
See More
