NMRA-511 Shows Promising Results in Alzheimer's Agitation
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
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Should l Buy NMRA?
Source: Benzinga
- Clinical Trial Results: NMRA-511 demonstrated a favorable safety profile in a Phase 1b study for Alzheimer's patients, with no somnolence or sedation, and significant improvements in agitation reflected by placebo-adjusted CMAI total score changes of -2.6 and -2.1 at Weeks 6 and 8, indicating its effectiveness in alleviating anxiety.
- Market Potential Forecast: William Blair projects peak U.S. sales of $1.8 billion for NMRA-511, viewing the early data as promising despite previous setbacks with the V1a receptor antagonist approach, suggesting a strong market outlook.
- Obesity Treatment Progress: Analyst Minter notes that positive Phase 2 data for NMRA-215 by year-end 2026 could represent a major inflection point for Neumora, with William Blair adding value to its model and modeling a 15% probability of success to unlock a greater than $2 billion market opportunity.
- Depression Asset Update: The KOASTAL-2/3 trials for monotherapy navacaprant in major depressive disorder are expected to read out in the second quarter of 2026, and while there is caution regarding its de-risking value, the update in the KOR antagonist space has intrigued investors.
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Analyst Views on NMRA
Wall Street analysts forecast NMRA stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.540
Low
3.00
Averages
9.33
High
18.00
Current: 3.540
Low
3.00
Averages
9.33
High
18.00
About NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company's therapeutic pipeline consists of seven clinical and preclinical neuroscience programs that target novel mechanisms of action for a broad range of underserved neuropsychiatric disorders and neurodegenerative diseases. Its advanced product candidate, navacaprant (NMRA-140), is a novel once-daily oral kappa opioid receptor (KOR) antagonist that is being developed for the treatment of depressive disorder (MDD). Navacaprant is being investigated in the KOASTAL pivotal Phase 3 program, evaluating navacaprant monotherapy in patients with moderate to severe MDD. The Company's next advanced product candidate is NMRA-511, which is a highly selective, novel antagonist of the vasopressin 1a receptor (V1aR) being developed for the treatment of agitation associated with dementia due to Alzheimer's disease (AD).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Clinical Trial Results: NMRA-511 demonstrated a favorable safety profile in a Phase 1b study for Alzheimer's patients, with no somnolence or sedation, and significant improvements in agitation reflected by placebo-adjusted CMAI total score changes of -2.6 and -2.1 at Weeks 6 and 8, indicating its effectiveness in alleviating anxiety.
- Market Potential Forecast: William Blair projects peak U.S. sales of $1.8 billion for NMRA-511, viewing the early data as promising despite previous setbacks with the V1a receptor antagonist approach, suggesting a strong market outlook.
- Obesity Treatment Progress: Analyst Minter notes that positive Phase 2 data for NMRA-215 by year-end 2026 could represent a major inflection point for Neumora, with William Blair adding value to its model and modeling a 15% probability of success to unlock a greater than $2 billion market opportunity.
- Depression Asset Update: The KOASTAL-2/3 trials for monotherapy navacaprant in major depressive disorder are expected to read out in the second quarter of 2026, and while there is caution regarding its de-risking value, the update in the KOR antagonist space has intrigued investors.
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- Significant Clinical Effect: In the Phase 1b study targeting Alzheimer’s patients, NMRA-511 showed a placebo-adjusted change of -2.6 and -2.1 in CMAI total scores at Weeks 6 and 8, respectively, indicating its clinically meaningful impact on reducing agitation behaviors.
- Favorable Safety Profile: NMRA-511 demonstrated good tolerability and safety, with treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) typically mild to moderate, and a low discontinuation rate of only 2.5% due to TEAEs, establishing a solid foundation for future clinical applications.
- Clear Next Steps: Neumora plans to launch a multiple ascending dose extension study at higher doses in 2026, develop an extended-release formulation for once-daily dosing, and initiate a Phase 2/3 dose-ranging study, reflecting strong confidence in NMRA-511's long-term development.
- KOASTAL Study Expansion: Neumora also announced plans to increase enrollment in the KOASTAL studies by targeting an additional 25% beyond the original target of 332 participants, with a joint topline data readout for KOASTAL-2 and KOASTAL-3 expected in Q2 2026, further enhancing its research footprint in the depression space.
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- Clinical Trial Success: Neumora Therapeutics announced that NMRA-511 demonstrated a significant treatment effect in its Phase 1b study for agitation associated with Alzheimer's, achieving a 15.7-point reduction in the mean Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory score, indicating clinical significance across a broad patient population.
- Favorable Safety Profile: The drug exhibited an unmatched effect size in a pre-specified subgroup of patients with elevated anxiety, while also showing a favorable safety and tolerability profile, laying a solid foundation for further development.
- Future Research Plans: Following these positive results, Neumora plans to initiate a multiple ascending-dose extension study of NMRA-511 in 2026 and advance the drug into a Phase 2/3 dose-ranging study, aiming to further validate its clinical application potential.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Neumora's shares rose over 10% in premarket trading, reflecting investor optimism about the drug's prospects, despite closing at $1.66 on Friday, down 7.3% from previous levels.
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