Monterey Car Week 2025: 3 things to watch
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 14 2025
0mins
Should l Buy RIVN?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Monterey Car Week Overview: Monterey Car Week, running from August 8 to 17, is a major automotive event featuring classic car auctions and new car reveals, with expectations for auction totals around $388 million, similar to previous years.
Luxury Automaker Unveilings: Several luxury brands, including Lamborghini, Bugatti, and Cadillac, are set to showcase new models and concepts at the event, attracting high-net-worth buyers and industry executives.
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Analyst Views on RIVN
Wall Street analysts forecast RIVN stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
7 Hold
3 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 14.760
Low
10.00
Averages
17.78
High
25.00
Current: 14.760
Low
10.00
Averages
17.78
High
25.00
About RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an automotive manufacturer, which is engaged in developing and building category-defining electric vehicles (EVs) and accessories, as well as software and services that address the entire lifecycle of the vehicle. The Company’s R1 platform consists of two vehicles: the R1T, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck, and the R1S, a three-row seven-passenger sport utility vehicle (SUV). In the commercial market, the Company offers a Rivian Commercial Vehicle (RCV) platform. The vehicle on this platform is the Electric Delivery Van (EDV), designed and engineered by Rivian in collaboration with Amazon. The Company also offers FleetOS, its proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. It also offers a variety of services, including vehicle repair and maintenance, financing, insurance, software subscriptions and FleetOS solutions. Its value-added services include vehicle electrical architecture and software development services, and more.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Price Plunge: Since going public in late 2021, Rivian's shares have plummeted by 89%, reflecting not only the challenges faced by the company but also prompting investors to reassess its market positioning and future outlook.
- Changing Industry Environment: The Trump administration's rollback of support for electric vehicles has led to a 36% year-over-year decline in U.S. EV sales; while Rivian is not directly affected, the overall market sentiment has negatively impacted its performance.
- Competitive Landscape Shift: Ford's pivot to hybrid models and cancellation of the fully electric F-150 Lightning, which directly competed with Rivian's R1T, provides Rivian with an opportunity to capture a larger market share amidst reduced competition.
- Future Growth Potential: Rivian's upcoming R2 SUV, priced at $45,000, is expected to attract a broader consumer base, while its software and services business, which soared over 300% in Q3, offers significant diversification and growth prospects for the future.
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- Sales Price Improvement: Rivian achieved nearly $5,500 improvement in average sales price and approximately $9,500 reduction in automotive cost of goods sold per unit in 2025, indicating significant progress in cost control and pricing strategy, thereby enhancing profitability and market competitiveness.
- Positive Gross Profit: Rivian reported its first positive gross profit in 2025, exceeding $1.3 billion for the year, demonstrating improvements in sales and operational efficiency, which are expected to lay a solid foundation for future financial stability.
- R2 Vehicle Launch: Rivian plans to launch the R2 model in 2026, featuring a dual motor all-wheel drive setup with over 650 horsepower and more than 300 miles of range, aimed at attracting more consumers and expanding market share while enhancing brand influence.
- Delivery Growth Expectations: The company anticipates delivering between 62,000 and 67,000 vehicles in 2026, with first-quarter deliveries projected at 9,000 to 11,000 units, reflecting confidence in future growth and gradual improvements in production capacity.
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- Earnings Highlights: Rivian's Q4 revenue reached $1.29 billion, down from $1.73 billion year-over-year but exceeding the $1.27 billion market estimate, showcasing the company's resilience amid challenges.
- Automotive Revenue Decline: Automotive revenue totaled $839 million, a 45% year-over-year drop primarily due to reduced regulatory credit sales, fewer vehicle deliveries, and lower average selling prices, reflecting intensified market pressures.
- Software Services Surge: Software and services revenue soared 109% to $447 million, indicating significant progress in diversifying revenue streams, which could lay the groundwork for future profitability.
- Production and Delivery Metrics: The company produced 10,974 vehicles and delivered 9,745 in Q4, bringing total annual deliveries to 42,247 units, demonstrating ongoing efforts and potential in scaling production despite challenges.
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- Applied Materials Earnings Beat: California-based semiconductor equipment company Applied Materials reported adjusted earnings of $2.38 per share and revenue of $7.01 billion, both exceeding analyst expectations, leading to an 11% stock price increase that reflects strong market demand and profitability.
- Coinbase Trading Volume Surge: Coinbase announced a total trading volume of $5.2 trillion in 2025, up 156% year-over-year, and despite missing fourth-quarter revenue expectations, its stock rose nearly 2%, indicating robust performance in the crypto market.
- Rivian Delivery Forecast Upgrade: Electric truck manufacturer Rivian expects vehicle deliveries for 2026 to range from 62,000 to 67,000 units, representing a 47% to 59% increase compared to 2025, resulting in a 14% stock price surge that reflects market confidence in its growth potential.
- Airbnb's Upbeat Guidance: Airbnb reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.56 per share on $2.78 billion in revenue, falling short of analyst expectations, yet the company anticipates full-year revenue growth of at least low double digits, leading to a stock increase of about 2%, showcasing market confidence in its future growth.
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- Market Reaction: Following the Trump administration's revocation of the greenhouse gas endangerment finding, shares of pure-play EV manufacturers like Tesla (TSLA), Rivian (RIVN), and Lucid (LCID) fell by as much as 5%, while traditional automakers such as General Motors (GM), Ford (F), and Stellantis (STLA) saw their stocks rise, with STLA increasing by 4% at its peak.
- Economic Impact: The EPA stated that the new final rule will save Americans over $1.3 trillion, primarily by reducing the costs of new vehicles and EV equipment purchases, potentially stimulating growth in the traditional automotive market.
- Policy Background: Trump claimed that the revoked scientific finding lacked factual and legal basis, asserting that it “severely damaged the American auto industry” and criticized existing EV promotion laws as “mandates,” which could lead to significant price increases for consumers.
- Consumer Impact: The EPA alleged that the repeal of the finding would result in average cost savings of over $2,400 per vehicle, although this could negatively affect EV sales, especially after the federal tax credit of $7,500 was eliminated last year.
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- Earnings Beat: Rivian reported a Q4 2025 loss of $0.66 per share, better than the expected $0.67 loss, indicating improvements in cost management and operational efficiency, which led to a 14% surge in after-hours trading.
- Revenue Growth: The company generated $1.29 billion in revenue for the quarter, surpassing Wall Street's expectation of $1.27 billion, reflecting positive progress in market demand and sales strategies, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Increased Delivery Outlook: Rivian anticipates delivering 62,000 to 67,000 vehicles in fiscal 2026, significantly up from 42,284 in 2025, showcasing confidence in the market potential of its upcoming R2 SUV, which is expected to enhance market share.
- Core Loss Guidance: The company expects an adjusted core loss of $1.80 to $2.10 billion for FY26, in line with the $2.06 billion loss recorded in 2025, indicating a need to maintain financial health and profitability amid expansion efforts.
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