Mondelez Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2h ago
0mins
Should l Buy MDLZ?
Source: seekingalpha
- Chocolate Strategy Execution: Mondelez successfully implemented its chocolate strategy in 2025, achieving significant price increases globally, particularly in markets like India, Brazil, Australia, and South Africa, although facing high elasticity challenges in Northern Europe, necessitating strategic adjustments for 2026.
- Increased Brand Investment: Management plans to increase investments behind brands in 2026, enabled by improved cocoa cost coverage, with a successful collaboration with Biscoff expected to drive innovation and enhance market competitiveness.
- Cocoa Price Volatility Impact: A recent decline in cocoa prices has introduced short-term pressures, prompting management to emphasize the need for flexibility; while 2026 may face cost headwinds, the return of cocoa prices to historical levels is expected to benefit profit recovery in 2027.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Despite strong performance in emerging markets, management maintains a cautious outlook for the U.S. market, highlighting the need to balance brand-building investments with operational cost management to mitigate potential risks.
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Analyst Views on MDLZ
Wall Street analysts forecast MDLZ stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MDLZ is 66.82 USD with a low forecast of 62.00 USD and a high forecast of 84.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
18 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 58.690
Low
62.00
Averages
66.82
High
84.00
Current: 58.690
Low
62.00
Averages
66.82
High
84.00
About MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc. is a snack company. The Company’s core business is making and selling chocolate, biscuits and baked snacks. The Company also has additional businesses in adjacent, locally relevant categories including gum and candy, cheese and grocery and powdered beverages. Its portfolio includes global and local brands such as Oreo, Ritz, LU, Clif Bar and Tate’s Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, as well as Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka and Toblerone chocolate. The Company’s segments include Latin America, AMEA, Europe and North America. It sells its products in over 150 countries and has operations in approximately 80 countries, including 147 principal manufacturing and processing facilities across 46 countries. It sells its products to supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores and other retail food outlets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Mondelez Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Chocolate Strategy Execution: Mondelez successfully implemented its chocolate strategy in 2025, achieving significant price increases globally, particularly in markets like India, Brazil, Australia, and South Africa, although facing high elasticity challenges in Northern Europe, necessitating strategic adjustments for 2026.
- Increased Brand Investment: Management plans to increase investments behind brands in 2026, enabled by improved cocoa cost coverage, with a successful collaboration with Biscoff expected to drive innovation and enhance market competitiveness.
- Cocoa Price Volatility Impact: A recent decline in cocoa prices has introduced short-term pressures, prompting management to emphasize the need for flexibility; while 2026 may face cost headwinds, the return of cocoa prices to historical levels is expected to benefit profit recovery in 2027.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Despite strong performance in emerging markets, management maintains a cautious outlook for the U.S. market, highlighting the need to balance brand-building investments with operational cost management to mitigate potential risks.
See More
RITZ® Crackers Launches New Ad for Super Bowl Celebration
- Star-Studded Cast: RITZ® Crackers' new ad titled 'RITZ Island' features actors Jon Hamm, comedian Bowen Yang, and Scarlett Johansson, showcasing the brand's strong appeal during the Super Bowl and aiming to attract younger consumers while enhancing brand image.
- Creative Concept: The ad humorously and warmly highlights the salty flavor of RITZ® Crackers, emphasizing their significance in social gatherings, with the goal of engaging more consumers through this cultural fusion.
- Marketing Strategy: The RITZ® brand is executing a 360° multichannel marketing strategy during the Super Bowl, including the launch of limited-edition football-shaped crackers, which enhances the brand's in-store presence throughout the season and boosts consumer purchasing desire.
- Brand Collaboration: The ad was developed in collaboration with MARTIN*, Hungryman, Inc., and Publicis Production, directed by Dan Opsal, known for his comedic style, ensuring the ad's entertainment value and appeal, further solidifying RITZ® as a modern snack brand.
See More
Multiple Companies Show Poor After-Hours Trading Performance
- Chipotle Traffic Decline: Chipotle reported a fourth consecutive quarter of declining restaurant traffic, leading to a 6% drop in stock price and projecting flat same-store sales growth for 2026, which could hinder its market competitiveness and future growth potential.
- Corteva Sales Miss: Corteva's stock fell 5% after reporting a fourth-quarter sales miss, impacted by falling crop prices and geopolitical tensions, which may lead to weakened demand and affect the company's performance going forward.
- AMD Revenue Guidance Below Analysts: AMD shares declined about 7% as it projected first-quarter revenue at $9.8 billion, below analysts' expectations of $9.38 billion, although its non-GAAP gross margin aligned with market estimates, potentially affecting investor confidence.
- Enphase Energy Strong Guidance: Enphase Energy's stock jumped about 19% as it issued a revenue guidance range of $270 million to $300 million for the first quarter, exceeding market expectations, indicating robust growth potential in the renewable energy sector.
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Mondelēz Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations with Strong Revenue Growth
- Strong Earnings Performance: Mondelēz reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.72, beating expectations by $0.02, indicating a sustained enhancement in profitability and reflecting its competitive position in the market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $10.5 billion, a 9.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $210 million, demonstrating robust demand for its products, particularly in the global snack market.
- Cautious Future Outlook: For 2026, Mondelēz expects organic net revenue growth to range from flat to 2%, and adjusted EPS growth from flat to 5%, indicating a cautious stance regarding future market conditions.
- Stable Cash Flow Expectations: The company anticipates approximately $3 billion in free cash flow for 2026, with currency translation expected to boost net revenue growth by about 2%, supporting future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Mondelez International Reports Q4 Earnings Decline
- Sales Growth Overview: Mondelez International reported a 5.1% increase in organic sales for Q4, driven by a 7.5% rise in the Asia, Middle East & Africa segment and a 4.5% gain in Latin America, while North America saw a 0.5% decline, indicating uneven regional performance.
- Revenue and Profit Analysis: Total revenue increased by 9.4% year-over-year to $10.5 billion; however, the adjusted gross profit margin fell by 580 basis points to 32.0% due to rising raw material costs and an unfavorable product mix, highlighting challenges in cost management.
- Earnings Per Share Performance: The adjusted EPS of $0.72 exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.70 and last year's $0.68, although this increase was primarily driven by higher income taxes, indicating a slight improvement in profitability despite operational challenges.
- Future Outlook: Mondelez anticipates free cash flow of $3 billion in 2026 and expects organic revenue growth between 0% and 2% for the full year, with adjusted EPS growth projected at 0% to 5%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future growth prospects.
See More
Mondelez International Q4 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Release Announcement: Mondelez International is set to release its Q4 earnings after the market close on February 3, with analysts projecting earnings per share of 70 cents, an increase from 65 cents in the same period last year, indicating sustained improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts anticipate quarterly revenue to reach $10.29 billion, up approximately 13.5% from $9.6 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's strong performance amid recovering market demand.
- Executive Appointment: On January 29, Mondelez appointed Luca Zaramella as COO and CFO, a leadership change that may bring new strategic direction and optimization in financial management for the company.
- Stock Price Increase: Mondelez shares rose 0.4% to close at $58.69 on Monday, reflecting market optimism ahead of the upcoming earnings report and investor confidence in the company's future performance.
See More
Mondelez Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Chocolate Strategy Execution: Mondelez successfully implemented its chocolate strategy in 2025, achieving significant price increases globally, particularly in markets like India, Brazil, Australia, and South Africa, although facing high elasticity challenges in Northern Europe, necessitating strategic adjustments for 2026.
- Increased Brand Investment: Management plans to increase investments behind brands in 2026, enabled by improved cocoa cost coverage, with a successful collaboration with Biscoff expected to drive innovation and enhance market competitiveness.
- Cocoa Price Volatility Impact: A recent decline in cocoa prices has introduced short-term pressures, prompting management to emphasize the need for flexibility; while 2026 may face cost headwinds, the return of cocoa prices to historical levels is expected to benefit profit recovery in 2027.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Despite strong performance in emerging markets, management maintains a cautious outlook for the U.S. market, highlighting the need to balance brand-building investments with operational cost management to mitigate potential risks.
See More
RITZ® Crackers Launches New Ad for Super Bowl Celebration
- Star-Studded Cast: RITZ® Crackers' new ad titled 'RITZ Island' features actors Jon Hamm, comedian Bowen Yang, and Scarlett Johansson, showcasing the brand's strong appeal during the Super Bowl and aiming to attract younger consumers while enhancing brand image.
- Creative Concept: The ad humorously and warmly highlights the salty flavor of RITZ® Crackers, emphasizing their significance in social gatherings, with the goal of engaging more consumers through this cultural fusion.
- Marketing Strategy: The RITZ® brand is executing a 360° multichannel marketing strategy during the Super Bowl, including the launch of limited-edition football-shaped crackers, which enhances the brand's in-store presence throughout the season and boosts consumer purchasing desire.
- Brand Collaboration: The ad was developed in collaboration with MARTIN*, Hungryman, Inc., and Publicis Production, directed by Dan Opsal, known for his comedic style, ensuring the ad's entertainment value and appeal, further solidifying RITZ® as a modern snack brand.
See More
Multiple Companies Show Poor After-Hours Trading Performance
- Chipotle Traffic Decline: Chipotle reported a fourth consecutive quarter of declining restaurant traffic, leading to a 6% drop in stock price and projecting flat same-store sales growth for 2026, which could hinder its market competitiveness and future growth potential.
- Corteva Sales Miss: Corteva's stock fell 5% after reporting a fourth-quarter sales miss, impacted by falling crop prices and geopolitical tensions, which may lead to weakened demand and affect the company's performance going forward.
- AMD Revenue Guidance Below Analysts: AMD shares declined about 7% as it projected first-quarter revenue at $9.8 billion, below analysts' expectations of $9.38 billion, although its non-GAAP gross margin aligned with market estimates, potentially affecting investor confidence.
- Enphase Energy Strong Guidance: Enphase Energy's stock jumped about 19% as it issued a revenue guidance range of $270 million to $300 million for the first quarter, exceeding market expectations, indicating robust growth potential in the renewable energy sector.
See More
Mondelēz Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations with Strong Revenue Growth
- Strong Earnings Performance: Mondelēz reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.72, beating expectations by $0.02, indicating a sustained enhancement in profitability and reflecting its competitive position in the market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $10.5 billion, a 9.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $210 million, demonstrating robust demand for its products, particularly in the global snack market.
- Cautious Future Outlook: For 2026, Mondelēz expects organic net revenue growth to range from flat to 2%, and adjusted EPS growth from flat to 5%, indicating a cautious stance regarding future market conditions.
- Stable Cash Flow Expectations: The company anticipates approximately $3 billion in free cash flow for 2026, with currency translation expected to boost net revenue growth by about 2%, supporting future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Mondelez International Reports Q4 Earnings Decline
- Sales Growth Overview: Mondelez International reported a 5.1% increase in organic sales for Q4, driven by a 7.5% rise in the Asia, Middle East & Africa segment and a 4.5% gain in Latin America, while North America saw a 0.5% decline, indicating uneven regional performance.
- Revenue and Profit Analysis: Total revenue increased by 9.4% year-over-year to $10.5 billion; however, the adjusted gross profit margin fell by 580 basis points to 32.0% due to rising raw material costs and an unfavorable product mix, highlighting challenges in cost management.
- Earnings Per Share Performance: The adjusted EPS of $0.72 exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.70 and last year's $0.68, although this increase was primarily driven by higher income taxes, indicating a slight improvement in profitability despite operational challenges.
- Future Outlook: Mondelez anticipates free cash flow of $3 billion in 2026 and expects organic revenue growth between 0% and 2% for the full year, with adjusted EPS growth projected at 0% to 5%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future growth prospects.
See More
Mondelez International Q4 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Release Announcement: Mondelez International is set to release its Q4 earnings after the market close on February 3, with analysts projecting earnings per share of 70 cents, an increase from 65 cents in the same period last year, indicating sustained improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts anticipate quarterly revenue to reach $10.29 billion, up approximately 13.5% from $9.6 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's strong performance amid recovering market demand.
- Executive Appointment: On January 29, Mondelez appointed Luca Zaramella as COO and CFO, a leadership change that may bring new strategic direction and optimization in financial management for the company.
- Stock Price Increase: Mondelez shares rose 0.4% to close at $58.69 on Monday, reflecting market optimism ahead of the upcoming earnings report and investor confidence in the company's future performance.
See More
