Microsoft's Commercial Backlog Soars as Amazon's Cloud Growth Accelerates
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Commercial Backlog Surge: Microsoft's commercial remaining performance obligations (RPO) reached $625 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, reflecting a 110% year-over-year increase driven by strong AI demand, although 45% of this backlog is concentrated with a single customer, OpenAI, posing a significant risk.
- Capital Expenditure Spike: Microsoft reported capital expenditures of $37.5 billion in Q2, a 66% year-over-year increase, which could impact future profit margins, raising concerns for investors about long-term profitability.
- Accelerating Cloud Growth: Amazon's cloud computing segment, AWS, saw a 24% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $35.6 billion, with operating income rising from $21.2 billion to $25 billion, indicating robust market demand and financial performance.
- Long-term Investment Edge: Amazon plans to invest approximately $200 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, and its aggressive scaling of custom silicon is expected to lower customer costs, enhancing its competitive position in the AI hardware market.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 212.650
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 212.650
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Cloud Growth Momentum: Amazon's fourth-quarter net sales rose 14% year-over-year to $213.4 billion, demonstrating its ability to maintain double-digit growth despite its massive size, reflecting strong demand and market position in cloud computing.
- Accelerating AWS Revenue: Amazon Web Services (AWS) saw a 24% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, up from 20% in Q3, which is particularly impressive for a business segment with over $140 billion in annual revenue, indicating sustained competitiveness in the cloud market.
- Strong Operating Cash Flow: Despite a sharp decline in free cash flow to $11.2 billion, Amazon's operating cash flow increased by 20% year-over-year to $139.5 billion, highlighting robust performance in core operations that investors should focus on as a key metric.
- Investment Opportunities and Risks: Amazon's capital expenditures surged by $50.7 billion year-over-year, leading to a decline in free cash flow; however, management remains optimistic about returns on investment, with CEO Andy Jassy noting that rapid AI capacity installation and monetization will yield attractive returns in the future.
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- Amazon's Financial Move: Amazon has filed a pricing terms sheet for floating rate notes amounting to up to $2.75 billion.
- Purpose of the Notes: The issuance of these floating rate notes is likely aimed at raising capital for various corporate purposes.
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- Amazon's Filing: Amazon has filed a pricing terms sheet for notes amounting to up to $34.25 billion.
- Purpose of Filing: The filing is part of a SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) submission, indicating potential financial maneuvers or capital raising efforts by the company.
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- Amazon's Bond Sale: Amazon has initiated a bond sale aimed at raising between $37 billion and $42 billion.
- Purpose of the Funds: The funds raised from this bond sale are expected to be used for various corporate purposes, including investments and operational expenses.
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- Surging Market Demand: Tech giants like Microsoft and Amazon have pledged over $660 billion in 2023 for AI infrastructure, aiming to meet the soaring demand for computing power from customers, thereby driving innovation and efficiency in the AI sector.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang predicts that AI infrastructure spending could reach $4 trillion by 2030, indicating a massive potential market size that has attracted significant investor interest and capital inflow.
- TSMC's Strategic Advantage: As a leading semiconductor manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) not only produces chips for top designers like Nvidia and AMD but also benefits from the growth of multiple design firms, positioning itself as the biggest winner in the AI infrastructure investment boom.
- Strong Financial Performance: TSMC reported double-digit revenue growth in its latest earnings report and maintains an optimistic outlook on long-term AI growth, further solidifying its leadership position and future profitability in the AI market.
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- Strong Market Performance: Over the past three years, AI has driven the S&P 500 to climb 78%, highlighting AI's critical role in market performance, and despite recent volatility, the AI narrative is far from over.
- Massive Investment Commitments: In 2023, tech giants like Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta have pledged over $660 billion for AI infrastructure build-out, with projections suggesting spending could reach $4 trillion by 2030, indicating robust demand for AI solutions.
- TSMC's Key Role: As a leading chip manufacturer, TSMC not only produces chips for top designers like Nvidia and AMD but also benefits from the growth of multiple design firms, positioning itself as the biggest winner in the AI infrastructure investment boom.
- Ongoing Growth Expectations: TSMC reported double-digit revenue growth in its latest earnings report and maintains a positive outlook on long-term AI growth, indicating its pivotal role in the construction of AI platforms will continue to drive business growth.
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